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SMU Mustangs vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 90-47
46-16 44-31
Position#99
Record5-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#290
Record4-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v TX A&M Commerce
03 Dec 2023
SMU 90
TX A47
07 Nov 2022
SMU 77
TX A60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
74-97
74
97
-23
A05/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A09/03
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H09/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A21/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-51
40-46
36-28
34-48
43-39
39-24
48-22
42-31
31-19
47-48
32-39
34-40
25-36
45-22
32-24
29-45
23-30
47-27
37-35
26-30
140.8Avg total
72.4Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.563.9136.4+8.662%
Season at home (6)74.864.0138.8+10.867%
Season away (2)65.563.5129.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)72.468.4140.8+4.050%
Last 5 (5)66.065.6131.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)69.579.3148.8-9.822%
vs Similar (5)72.069.6141.6+2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)78.464.7143.1+13.786%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
46-78
46
78
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
46-73
46
73
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A11/11
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
113-63
113
63
+50
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H26/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
100-48
100
48
+52
H30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
43-44
27-42
19-36
17-41
29-32
30-38
31-43
30-46
34-40
60-30
53-33
35-28
22-26
44-45
53-41
33-42
28-29
48-30
52-18
144.2Avg total
72.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.771.1142.8+0.644%
Season at home (4)92.867.0159.8+25.875%
Season away (5)54.874.4129.2-19.620%
Last 10 (10)72.371.9144.2+0.440%
Last 5 (5)85.664.4150.0+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)66.678.2144.8-11.725%
vs Similar (7)71.975.0146.9-3.129%
vs Weaker (11)78.767.4146.1+11.473%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.2+2.2
SMU MustangsTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A05/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A09/03
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H30/11
NCAA
66.4Avg total
34.1Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.367.7-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.933.368.2+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)31.635.567.1-3.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.366.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.862.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.936.369.3-3.444%-
vs Similar (5)33.429.262.6+4.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)34.632.967.4+1.743%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A09/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A11/11
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H26/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H30/11
NCAA
73.6Avg total
35.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.670.6-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.836.475.2+2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)29.936.766.6-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.773.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)44.035.079.0+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.538.571.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (7)31.135.967.0-4.729%-
vs Weaker (11)37.534.972.5+2.636%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateGameScore
08/11/22SMU Mustangs v TX A&M Commerce77-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HDayton63-65
26/11/23HLouisiana Monroe70-57
23/11/23AWisconsin61-69
21/11/23AWest Virginia70-58
15/11/23HTexas A&M66-79
10/11/23HLamar78-67
09/11/23HWestern Illinois90-53
07/11/23HSAGU82-63
09/03/23AUCF Knights70-76
05/03/23ACincinnati74-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HDallas Christian100-48
26/11/23HDenver61-71
21/11/23HStonehill97-86
18/11/23ASaint Josephs Hawks57-54
16/11/23HUniversity of Sciences113-63
12/11/23AIPFW64-86
11/11/23AKentucky61-81
09/11/23ATexas Tech46-73
07/11/23ATexas A&M46-78
05/03/23HMcNeese State78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%67%50%
Points / game72.574.865.5
Allowed / game63.964.063.5
Point differential+8.6+10.8+2.0
Avg total136.4138.8129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW44%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game71.792.854.8
Allowed / game71.167.074.4
Point differential+0.6+25.8-19.6
Avg total142.8159.8129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson770100%80.368.7+11.6
2 North Carolina87188%86.272.0+14.2
3 Virginia87188%66.954.0+12.9
4 Miami (FL)86275%80.572.4+8.1
5 NC State75271%78.471.3+7.1
6 Georgia Tech64267%72.772.8-0.2
7 Pittsburgh85362%82.966.1+16.8
8 Duke85362%80.967.1+13.8
9 SMU Mustangs85362%72.563.9+8.6
10 Virginia Tech85362%74.468.6+5.8
11 Syracuse85362%76.471.2+5.1
12 Boston College85362%75.671.1+4.5
13 Wake Forest74357%78.972.7+6.1
14 Florida State74357%78.973.6+5.3
15 Louisville74357%76.474.6+1.9
16 Stanford73443%79.177.7+1.4
17 Notre Dame73443%61.966.1-4.3
18 California83538%74.672.9+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State97278%81.161.1+20.0
2 Stephen F. Austin85362%78.271.2+7.0
3 Lamar84450%83.677.2+6.4
4 TX A&M Commerce94544%71.771.1+0.6
5 Texas A&M-CC73443%76.768.6+8.1
6 New Orleans73443%79.478.6+0.9
7 Incarnate Word83538%78.179.5-1.4
8 Nicholls State93633%73.279.0-5.8
9 SE Louisiana82625%72.976.8-3.9
10 UTRGV92722%73.479.7-6.2
11 Northwestern St.81712%70.879.9-9.1
12 Houston Christian6060%68.290.0-21.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs464490
TX A&M Commerce163147
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