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TX A&M Commerce vs McNeese State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-79
35-35 43-44
Position#277
Record13-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#318
Record9-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v McNeese State
04 Jan 2025
TX A56
MCNE75
06 Jan 2024
TX A67
MCNE73
05 Mar 2023
TX A78
MCNE79
04 Feb 2023
TX A60
MCNE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
51-37
27-29
33-29
35-36
47-52
36-42
28-30
38-50
40-34
38-38
32-32
36-36
36-35
38-36
46-44
27-40
48-39
37-39
41-39
153.5Avg total
75.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)71.473.2144.6-1.841%
Season at home (11)78.571.8150.3+6.655%
Season away (21)67.773.9141.6-6.233%
Last 10 (10)75.677.9153.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)79.080.2159.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.876.6147.3-5.833%
vs Similar (10)71.975.5147.4-3.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.463.9136.2+8.575%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H03/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
54-77
54
77
-23
H18/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-46
32-37
32-31
31-39
29-27
29-33
36-34
33-32
29-49
50-29
34-36
35-33
32-38
22-39
35-41
45-44
34-22
35-47
29-42
51-31
145.4Avg total
70.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)68.875.4144.2-6.529%
Season at home (14)74.374.1148.4+0.243%
Season away (17)64.376.4140.7-12.118%
Last 10 (10)70.874.6145.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)73.477.8151.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.577.2141.7-12.715%
vs Similar (10)73.373.9147.2-0.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.7-4.71st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: -0.1-0.1
TX A&M CommerceMcNeese State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/03
NCAA
72.3Avg total
33.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.867.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.735.072.7+2.745%-
Last 30 away (19)30.434.765.1-4.432%-
Last 10 (10)33.838.572.3-4.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.873.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.536.068.5-3.533%-
vs Similar (10)32.034.566.5-2.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.233.568.8+1.838%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H03/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H18/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/03
NCAA
69.6Avg total
33.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.835.467.2-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.536.169.6-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)30.534.865.3-4.441%-
Last 10 (10)33.036.669.6-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.868.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.435.166.5-3.740%-
vs Similar (10)32.535.968.4-3.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
0
McNeese State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23TX A&M Commerce v McNeese State60-58
07/01/23McNeese State v TX A&M Commerce80-82 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HTexas A&M-CC88-93 OT
25/02/23AIncarnate Word75-79
24/02/23ATexas A&M-CC84-80
21/02/23ANicholls State72-71
18/02/23HSE Louisiana76-78 OT
17/02/23HNew Orleans78-84
11/02/23ANorthwestern St.64-72
10/02/23HNorthwestern St.82-88
04/02/23HMcNeese State60-58
28/01/23HHouston Christian77-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HNew Orleans80-73
25/02/23ASE Louisiana75-78 OT
24/02/23AHouston Christian80-85
18/02/23HTexas A&M-CC54-77
17/02/23HIncarnate Word78-76 OT
11/02/23ANew Orleans79-78
10/02/23HSE Louisiana69-66
04/02/23ATX A&M Commerce58-60
03/02/23HLamar63-70
28/01/23ATexas A&M-CC72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL41%
HomeWLLLL55%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321121
Win %41%55%33%
Points / game71.478.567.7
Allowed / game73.271.873.9
Point differential-1.8+6.6-6.2
Avg total144.6150.3141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)40% (5)70% (10)
Overtime %16%27%10%
McNeese State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %29%43%18%
Points / game68.874.364.3
Allowed / game75.474.176.4
Point differential-6.5+0.2-12.1
Avg total144.2148.4140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %10%14%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC31211068%80.672.9+7.7
2 Northwestern St.31211068%74.872.0+2.7
3 Stephen F. Austin31201165%76.369.2+7.1
4 SE Louisiana31181358%77.675.8+1.8
5 Nicholls State30161453%75.872.5+3.2
6 UTRGV32161650%77.175.9+1.2
7 TX A&M Commerce32131941%71.473.2-1.8
8 Incarnate Word31121939%70.873.9-3.1
9 New Orleans29101934%72.379.8-7.5
10 Houston Christian31102132%77.882.8-5.0
11 McNeese State3192229%68.875.4-6.5
12 Lamar3192229%67.974.5-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce354378
McNeese State354479
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