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Sofadon vs Papagou Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 77-72
Projected total 148.9
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game71.6
Vs
66%
34%
■ SOFA 66%■ PAPA 34%
Pythia win probability
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.6
GreeceA2Round 9
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sofadon v Papagou
21 Nov 2026
SOFA v PAPA
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
SOFA59
PAPA60
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Sofadon host Papagou in the A2. Pythia makes Sofadon the favourite at 66% and projects 77-72, about 149 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Sofadon are 4-4 this season (74.2 scored, 71.6 allowed a game), form WWLWL; Papagou are 4-4 this season (77.1 scored, 78.6 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sofadon win
66.3%fair 1.51
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Papagou win
33.7%fair 2.96
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SofadonGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volos
#14
W
86-47
86
47
+39
H08/04
A2
Volos
#14
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A15/04
A2
Amyntas
#11
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H03/10
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A12/10
A2
Psychikou
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H17/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A22/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A31/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H06/11
A2
Anagennisi
#15
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A14/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
23-8
25-13
23-15
20-13
20-24
22-17
14-11
17-18
17-18
22-14
14-11
28-23
24-31
19-20
20-18
20-20
17-21
29-22
14-18
35-25
18-25
21-12
22-23
16-18
21-17
20-12
15-15
9-14
13-20
12-17
16-12
21-12
12-16
16-10
21-17
11-21
19-17
9-18
26-18
144.1Avg total
75.6Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.271.6145.9+2.650%
Season at home (4)73.064.8137.8+8.275%
Season away (4)75.578.5154.0-3.025%
Last 10 (10)75.668.5144.1+7.160%
Last 5 (5)70.667.8138.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.578.5151.0-6.025%
vs Similar (12)80.080.6160.6-0.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.670.1150.6+10.571%
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PapagouGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NE Megaridas
#3
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
L
92-111
92
111
-19
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H24/10
A2
Panionios
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H02/11
A2
Lavrio
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A07/11
A2
Chalkida
#7
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H14/11
A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-9
19-22
21-22
25-21
16-23
18-21
18-15
20-28
25-25
20-29
19-29
28-28
21-26
21-16
14-12
15-20
21-28
22-24
12-10
14-19
15-15
20-20
19-17
17-15
13-14
18-24
31-16
13-15
26-22
13-14
24-24
18-22
16-21
29-14
11-20
15-15
21-21
27-19
17-19
22-16
157.1Avg total
78.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.178.6155.8-1.550%
Season at home (5)80.883.6164.4-2.840%
Season away (3)71.070.3141.3+0.767%
Last 10 (10)78.179.0157.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.072.6149.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.478.2153.6-2.840%
vs Similar (20)77.874.0151.8+3.870%
vs Weaker (5)82.066.6148.6+15.480%
This opponent (Sofadon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148.5
Over 148.5
50.3%
Under 148.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153.5
Over 153.5
38.4%
Under 153.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
27.6%
Under 158.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sofadon total 74.5
Over 74.5
59.0%
Under 74.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sofadon total 78.5
Over 78.5
43.4%
Under 78.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sofadon total 82.5
Over 82.5
28.7%
Under 82.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Papagou total 71
Over 71
53.8%
Under 71
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Papagou total 75
Over 75
38.0%
Under 75
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Papagou total 79
Over 79
24.2%
Under 79
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sofadon -3
SOFA -3
57.9%
PAPA +3
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
SOFA
No market prices yet.
PAPA
No market prices yet.
Spread Sofadon 0
SOFA 0
66.3%
PAPA 0
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
SOFA
No market prices yet.
PAPA
No market prices yet.
Spread Sofadon +3
SOFA +3
74.4%
PAPA -3
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
SOFA
No market prices yet.
PAPA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
SofadonPapagou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SofadonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volos
#14
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H08/04
A2
Volos
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A15/04
A2
Amyntas
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H03/10
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#9
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A12/10
A2
Psychikou
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/10
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A31/10
A2
Komotini
#10
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H06/11
A2
Anagennisi
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/11
A2
74.8Avg total
37.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.179.0+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.475.1+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.982.9+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.274.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.072.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.079.0-1.025%-
vs Similar (12)41.239.180.3+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.036.877.8+4.271%-
This opponent (Papagou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PapagouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NE Megaridas
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A01/05
A2
Vikos
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H03/05
A2
Panerythraikos
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H03/10
A2
Glafkos Esperos
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/10
A2
Proteas Voulas
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H16/10
A2
Komotini
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A21/10
A2
Anagennisi
#15
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H24/10
A2
Panionios
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/11
A2
Lavrio
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A07/11
A2
Chalkida
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/11
A2
81.5Avg total
40.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.778.0+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.040.680.6-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)40.633.974.5+6.785%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.781.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.876.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.239.079.2+1.260%-
vs Similar (20)39.738.578.2+1.260%-
vs Weaker (5)42.633.275.8+9.480%-
This opponent (Sofadon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sofadon wins
1
Papagou wins
DateGameScore
18/03/26Papagou v Sofadon80-83
13/12/25Sofadon v Papagou59-60
Sofadonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAnagennisi65-74
06/11/26HKomotini70-55
31/10/26AProteas Voulas50-63
25/10/26HGlafkos Esperos72-62
22/10/26APanerythraikos96-85
17/10/26HPsychikou80-81
12/10/26APeiramatiko Machites91-92
03/10/26HAmyntas70-61
15/04/26AVolos76-65
08/04/26HVolos86-47
Papagoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HChalkida87-75
07/11/26ALavrio71-70
02/11/26HPanionios81-82
24/10/26HAnagennisi75-69
21/10/26AKomotini71-67
16/10/26HProteas Voulas69-81
10/10/26AGlafkos Esperos71-74
03/10/26HPanerythraikos92-111
03/05/26HVikos72-87
01/05/26ANE Megaridas92-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sofadon
A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game74.273.075.5
Allowed / game71.664.878.5
Point differential+2.6+8.2-3.0
Avg total145.9137.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Papagou
A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game77.180.871.0
Allowed / game78.683.670.3
Point differential-1.5-2.8+0.7
Avg total155.8164.4141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panionios880100%86.572.2+14.2
2 Lavrio86275%82.972.0+10.9
3 NE Megaridas85362%75.970.0+5.9
4 Psychikou85362%74.473.6+0.8
5 Proteas Voulas74357%72.370.0+2.3
6 Sofadon84450%74.271.6+2.6
7 Chalkida84450%80.580.0+0.5
8 Papagou84450%77.178.6-1.5
9 Peiramatiko Machites84450%77.979.8-1.9
10 Komotini84450%73.076.2-3.2
11 Amyntas84450%69.978.4-8.5
12 Panerythraikos83538%86.489.2-2.9
13 Koroivos83538%77.581.0-3.5
14 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou72529%72.673.4-0.9
15 Anagennisi82625%73.078.4-5.4
16 Glafkos Esperos81712%71.580.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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