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Southern Tigers vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 80-90
27-21 22-29 11-21 20-19
Position#10
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game76.1
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2023
Meetings · Southern Tigers v Sturt Sabres
03 May 2025
SOUT92
STUR99
27 Apr 2024
SOUT79
STUR89
13 May 2023
SOUT80
STUR90
30 Apr 2022
SOUT79
STUR93
10 Apr 2021
SOUT62
STUR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
81-111
81
111
-30
H06/08
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
L
88-101
88
101
-13
H07/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
59-101
59
101
-42
H25/03
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A01/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H06/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
A15/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
80-104
80
104
-24
H22/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
56-100
56
100
-44
A25/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H29/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
53-97
53
97
-44
A06/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
25-30
22-24
17-25
20-14
27-30
18-32
23-25
12-23
17-30
21-26
9-22
20-19
29-21
16-22
21-31
8-22
15-15
13-20
25-18
16-22
21-18
24-27
23-17
20-24
15-21
23-29
22-30
14-33
16-21
17-26
9-20
10-30
24-14
16-14
26-32
14-25
11-28
6-22
22-22
171.5Avg total
73.9Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.295.5166.8-24.20%
Season at home (4)69.092.5161.5-23.50%
Season away (4)73.598.5172.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)73.997.6171.5-23.70%
Last 5 (5)72.899.0171.8-26.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.289.9165.1-14.713%
vs Similar (5)78.884.0162.8-5.240%
vs Weaker (2)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H30/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A06/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
102-66
102
66
+36
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
99-55
99
55
+44
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H06/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
28-22
13-20
10-26
12-29
12-19
28-20
36-16
23-17
35-21
27-12
17-16
23-21
14-25
13-9
14-21
23-23
20-18
22-16
9-18
24-18
14-25
25-19
18-16
11-22
16-25
22-28
10-24
11-23
19-22
30-14
28-17
27-20
19-11
16-17
37-7
18-13
13-27
33-14
25-30
160.1Avg total
81.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.076.1158.1+5.962%
Season at home (4)75.083.8158.8-8.850%
Season away (4)89.068.5157.5+20.575%
Last 10 (10)81.678.5160.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.278.4161.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.092.3168.3-16.333%
vs Similar (7)83.786.9170.6-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.075.5160.5+9.564%
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
Southern TigersSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H06/08
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H07/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H25/03
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H06/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H22/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A25/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A06/05
NBL1 Central
82.3Avg total
35.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.944.682.5-6.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.446.484.8-7.936%-
Last 30 away (16)37.443.180.4-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)35.147.282.3-12.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.247.279.4-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.344.982.2-7.530%-
vs Similar (5)38.644.082.6-5.440%-
vs Weaker (2)42.043.085.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H30/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A06/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H06/05
NBL1 Central
80.8Avg total
38.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.385.3-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.343.985.2-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)42.842.685.4+0.257%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.580.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.275.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.846.487.2-5.744%-
vs Similar (7)44.044.488.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.840.782.5+1.157%-
This opponent (Southern Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Tigers wins
3
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23ASouth Adelaide Panthers53-97
29/04/23HNorth Adelaide Rockets76-90
25/04/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats56-100
22/04/23HCentral Districts Lions80-104
15/04/23ANorwood Flames99-104 OT
06/04/23HWoodville Warriors61-75
01/04/23AEastern Mavericks86-93
25/03/23HForestville Eagles59-101
07/08/22HEastern Mavericks88-101
06/08/22HCentral Districts Lions81-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23HWoodville Warriors89-84
29/04/23ACentral Districts Lions99-55
25/04/23HEastern Mavericks88-76
20/04/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats59-99
15/04/23AForestville Eagles81-78
06/04/23ANorth Adelaide Rockets74-75
01/04/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers64-76
26/03/23ANorwood Flames102-66
06/08/22ANorwood Flames88-84
30/07/22HSouth Adelaide Panthers72-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Tigers
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.269.073.5
Allowed / game95.592.598.5
Point differential-24.2-23.5-25.0
Avg total166.8161.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game82.075.089.0
Allowed / game76.183.868.5
Point differential+5.9-8.8+20.5
Avg total158.1158.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forestville Eagles87188%94.175.2+18.9
2 South Adelaide Panthers87188%89.976.0+13.9
3 West Adelaide Bearcats86275%101.980.2+21.6
4 Sturt Sabres85362%82.076.1+5.9
5 Woodville Warriors85362%82.478.9+3.5
6 North Adelaide Rockets84450%84.287.4-3.1
7 Norwood Flames84450%83.689.0-5.4
8 Central Districts Lions81712%81.292.6-11.4
9 Eastern Mavericks81712%82.0101.6-19.6
10 Southern Tigers8080%71.295.5-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern Tigers2722112080
Sturt Sabres2129211990
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