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Mercer vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-78
41-38 46-40
Position#223
Record12-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game71.0
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#311
Record10-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mercer v Citadel
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CITA
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
MERC101
CITA63
29 Jan 2025
MERC80
CITA46
08 Mar 2024
MERC84
CITA76
21 Feb 2024
MERC87
CITA78
03 Mar 2023
MERC66
CITA41
25 Feb 2023
MERC72
CITA50
23 Feb 2022
MERC67
CITA71
22 Feb 2021
MERC88
CITA52
01 Feb 2020
MERC76
CITA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A25/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A28/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
46-79
46
79
-33
A10/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H15/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-31
37-43
33-46
47-41
35-21
31-47
41-31
29-33
20-26
29-28
49-38
41-31
34-40
44-29
19-33
27-46
31-26
29-47
38-40
50-44
140.8Avg total
68.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.571.0140.5-1.444%
Season at home (14)70.968.3139.2+2.657%
Season away (13)68.073.8141.8-5.831%
Last 10 (10)68.772.1140.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)72.474.8147.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.576.6143.1-10.130%
vs Similar ◀ (13)66.068.8134.8-2.838%
vs Weaker (4)78.556.0134.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#80
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A18/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
62-90
62
90
-28
A27/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
H01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H15/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
38-35
29-35
34-35
21-35
47-31
36-45
26-45
42-30
30-42
26-28
34-34
26-29
38-42
33-31
31-46
26-42
35-34
34-30
42-21
138.2Avg total
66.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.169.7139.8+0.337%
Season at home (14)74.467.9142.4+6.557%
Season away (13)65.471.7137.1-6.315%
Last 10 (10)66.471.8138.2-5.420%
Last 5 (5)65.067.4132.4-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.976.4140.2-12.57%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.866.0130.8-1.233%
vs Weaker (7)82.362.3144.6+20.086%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -1.0-1.0
MercerCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A25/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H01/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H15/02
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.666.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.430.765.1+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)33.334.868.1-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.265.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.469.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.437.367.7-6.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.231.764.8+1.562%-
vs Weaker (4)39.525.264.8+14.2100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#80
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H25/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A11/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H15/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/02
NCAA
64.5Avg total
30.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.033.364.3-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.332.265.5+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)28.934.363.2-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)30.234.364.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.032.061.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.436.164.6-7.77%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)28.231.759.9-3.444%-
vs Weaker (7)39.629.969.4+9.786%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mercer wins
2
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
25/01/24Citadel v Mercer68-66
03/03/23Mercer v Citadel66-41
25/02/23Mercer v Citadel72-50
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
20/01/21Citadel v Mercer63-83
27/02/20Citadel v Mercer57-73
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HSamford88-84
15/02/24HWofford60-73
10/02/24AWestern Carolina46-79
08/02/24HFurman78-69
03/02/24HVMI90-69
01/02/24HEast Tennessee St49-54
28/01/24ANC Greensboro70-64
25/01/24ACitadel66-68
20/01/24ASamford80-87
18/01/24HChattanooga Mocs60-74
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HVMI76-51
15/02/24HNC Greensboro61-76
11/02/24AWofford64-77
08/02/24AWestern Carolina64-71
03/02/24AEast Tennessee St60-62
01/02/24HFurman79-82 OT
27/01/24AChattanooga Mocs62-90
25/01/24HMercer68-66
20/01/24AVMI63-70
18/01/24ANC Greensboro67-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%57%31%
Points / game69.570.968.0
Allowed / game71.068.373.8
Point differential-1.4+2.6-5.8
Avg total140.5139.2141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW37%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %37%57%15%
Points / game70.174.465.4
Allowed / game69.767.971.7
Point differential+0.3+6.5-6.3
Avg total139.8142.4137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2723485%87.874.0+13.9
2 NC Greensboro2820871%75.869.6+6.2
3 Western Carolina2819968%76.168.9+7.3
4 Chattanooga Mocs2617965%78.971.3+7.6
5 Furman27151256%80.075.5+4.6
6 Wofford27151256%75.273.8+1.4
7 East Tennessee St26131350%69.368.5+0.8
8 Mercer27121544%69.571.0-1.4
9 Citadel27101737%70.169.7+0.3
10 VMI2742315%70.381.7-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer414687
Citadel384078
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