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Mercer vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-84
38-40 50-44
Position#223
Record11-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game70.5
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#12
Record23-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mercer v Samford
13 Jan 2027
MERC v SAMF
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
MERC89
SAMF86
15 Jan 2025
MERC74
SAMF75
17 Feb 2024
MERC88
SAMF84
08 Feb 2023
MERC69
SAMF70
05 Jan 2022
MERC83
SAMF80
05 Mar 2021
MERC87
SAMF59
08 Feb 2021
MERC89
SAMF82
19 Feb 2020
MERC106
SAMF66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#56
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A25/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A28/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
46-79
46
79
-33
A10/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-29
27-35
23-31
37-43
33-46
47-41
35-21
31-47
41-31
29-33
20-26
29-28
49-38
41-31
34-40
44-29
19-33
27-46
31-26
29-47
135.2Avg total
65.1Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)68.870.5139.3-1.742%
Season at home (13)69.667.1136.7+2.554%
Season away (13)68.073.8141.8-5.831%
Last 10 (10)65.170.1135.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)64.668.8133.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)64.475.2139.6-10.820%
vs Similar (13)66.068.8134.8-2.838%
vs Weaker (4)78.556.0134.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#365
W
134-96
134
96
+38
H13/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
72-54
62-42
37-29
38-42
46-33
41-47
25-34
43-44
36-34
39-38
40-36
41-43
43-23
35-33
35-42
43-27
56-35
46-28
38-29
50-33
159.2Avg total
86.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.073.4161.4+14.588%
Season at home (15)97.075.8172.8+21.2100%
Season away (11)75.670.2145.8+5.573%
Last 10 (10)86.672.6159.2+14.090%
Last 5 (5)85.465.8151.2+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)74.079.8153.8-5.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.773.0161.6+15.791%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +6.1+6.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +6.1+6.1
MercerSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#56
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A25/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H01/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/02
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H15/02
NCAA
63.1Avg total
31.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.632.465.9+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.130.164.2+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)33.034.767.7-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)31.032.163.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.663.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.536.666.1-7.120%-
vs Similar (13)33.231.764.8+1.562%-
vs Weaker (4)39.525.264.8+14.2100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VMI
#365
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/02
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A10/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H15/02
NCAA
77.7Avg total
42.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.933.775.6+8.280%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.835.081.8+11.888%-
Last 30 away (13)35.532.067.5+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)42.834.977.7+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.075.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.239.873.0-6.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.032.775.7+10.291%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mercer wins
4
Samford wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Samford v Mercer87-80
09/02/23Mercer v Samford69-70 OT
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
06/03/21Mercer v Samford87-59
11/02/21Samford v Mercer70-77 OT
09/02/21Mercer v Samford89-82 OT
20/02/20Mercer v Samford106-66
18/01/20Samford v Mercer75-90
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HWofford60-73
10/02/24AWestern Carolina46-79
08/02/24HFurman78-69
03/02/24HVMI90-69
01/02/24HEast Tennessee St49-54
28/01/24ANC Greensboro70-64
25/01/24ACitadel66-68
20/01/24ASamford80-87
18/01/24HChattanooga Mocs60-74
13/01/24HWestern Carolina52-64
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HWestern Carolina88-62
10/02/24AVMI102-63
09/02/24ANC Greensboro78-69
03/02/24AChattanooga Mocs78-56
01/02/24HWofford81-79
27/01/24AEast Tennessee St75-72
25/01/24AFurman68-78
20/01/24HMercer87-80
16/01/24AWestern Carolina75-71
13/01/24HVMI134-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeLLWWL54%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game68.869.668.0
Allowed / game70.567.173.8
Point differential-1.7+2.5-5.8
Avg total139.3136.7141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %88%100%73%
Points / game88.097.075.6
Allowed / game73.475.870.2
Point differential+14.5+21.2+5.5
Avg total161.4172.8145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2623388%88.073.4+14.5
2 Western Carolina2618869%76.868.9+7.9
3 NC Greensboro2618869%76.770.7+6.0
4 Chattanooga Mocs2517868%79.470.8+8.6
5 Wofford26151158%76.374.4+1.8
6 Furman26141254%80.075.9+4.1
7 East Tennessee St25131252%69.568.5+1.0
8 Mercer26111542%68.870.5-1.7
9 Citadel27101737%70.169.7+0.3
10 VMI2742315%70.381.7-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer385088
Samford404484
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