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South Florida vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-70
41-33 32-37
Position#20
Record6-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#281
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#266
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A01/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A02/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H09/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H16/12
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-23
49-29
29-31
34-37
32-22
42-43
29-31
30-39
23-44
40-38
23-30
33-36
38-24
50-48
54-37
50-49
35-38
42-26
47-46
42-27
146.7Avg total
76.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.969.8146.7+7.160%
Season at home (8)81.268.8150.0+12.575%
Season away (2)59.574.0133.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)76.969.8146.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)82.872.2155.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.984.4162.3-6.629%
vs Similar (11)66.171.6137.7-5.527%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.069.4151.4+12.675%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
L
67-98
67
98
-31
A11/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#693
W
115-51
115
51
+64
H15/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A18/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
A25/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H03/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A14/12
NCAA
USC
#249
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H20/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-49
30-49
50-32
65-19
36-47
39-45
27-41
40-58
49-45
39-28
20-21
36-35
38-32
42-28
34-30
22-44
18-39
41-40
25-46
37-36
150.3Avg total
73.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.276.1148.3-3.936%
Season at home (3)84.763.3148.0+21.367%
Season away (8)67.580.9148.4-13.425%
Last 10 (10)73.576.8150.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)64.671.0135.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.173.5138.6-8.438%
vs Similar (8)58.968.2127.1-9.40%
vs Weaker (4)77.067.5144.5+9.575%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
South FloridaAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#266
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A01/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A02/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H09/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H13/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/12
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
35.7Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.271.4+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.333.870.1+2.553%-
Last 30 away (11)36.237.673.8-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)35.732.668.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.074.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.640.779.3-2.143%-
vs Similar (11)31.634.365.9-2.627%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.132.871.9+6.267%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#693
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A25/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/12
NCAA
USC
#249
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H20/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A23/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
33.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.635.667.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.633.566.2-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)30.837.268.0-6.424%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.271.6-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)27.033.660.6-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.436.667.0-6.225%-
vs Similar (8)26.633.860.4-7.112%-
vs Weaker (4)36.835.572.2+1.275%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HAlbany Great Danes89-73
16/12/23HLoyola Chicago77-64
13/12/23HArkansas-Pine Bluff104-86
09/12/23HFlorida State88-72
02/12/23AUMass56-66
01/12/23AHofstra63-82
23/11/23HMaine Black Bears59-70
19/11/23HNorthern Iowa74-65
16/11/23HCentral Michigan63-68
10/11/23HSouth Carolina St96-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AAuburn62-82
20/12/23HUSC59-79
14/12/23ALSU56-74
03/12/23HMUW Owls80-60
25/11/23AMerrimack Warriors66-60 OT
24/11/23AN. Carolina A&T88-73
23/11/23ASamford67-99
18/11/23AMemphis75-92
15/11/23HOglethorpe115-51
11/11/23AIowa67-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game76.981.259.5
Allowed / game69.868.874.0
Point differential+7.1+12.5-14.5
Avg total146.7150.0133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %36%67%25%
Points / game72.284.767.5
Allowed / game76.163.380.9
Point differential-3.9+21.3-13.4
Avg total148.3148.0148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic1210283%84.570.3+14.2
2 Memphis1210283%79.272.8+6.4
3 Tulane129375%89.879.8+9.9
4 Tulsa118373%75.567.2+8.4
5 Wichita State128467%76.070.6+5.4
6 South Florida106460%76.969.8+7.1
7 East Carolina127558%74.568.7+5.8
8 UAB127558%76.475.2+1.2
9 North Texas116555%68.259.1+9.1
10 Charlotte116555%68.162.1+6.0
11 Temple137654%73.973.2+0.7
12 Rice136746%73.873.8+0.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners136746%78.779.2-0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bethune-Cookman115645%75.170.9+4.2
2 Southern Univ.125742%72.977.8-4.8
3 Prairie View A&M125742%72.779.1-6.4
4 Arkansas-Pine Bluff135838%86.989.3-2.4
5 Alabama State114736%72.276.1-3.9
6 Jackson State124833%69.281.2-12.0
7 Florida A&M102820%65.682.5-16.9
8 Texas Southern112918%65.678.4-12.7
9 Grambling St.1221017%63.777.9-14.2
10 Alabama A&M Bulldogs1321115%72.985.6-12.7
11 Alcorn State131128%68.387.9-19.6
12 Miss. Valley St.120120%48.884.2-35.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida413273
Alabama State333770
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