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South Florida vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 104-86
54-37 50-49
Position#20
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#277
Record4-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game89.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · South Florida v Arkansas-Pine Bluff
12 Nov 2024
SOUT85
ARKA69
12 Dec 2023
SOUT104
ARKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas-Pine Bluff winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A01/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A02/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-20
37-36
33-36
16-33
33-41
25-32
47-23
49-29
29-31
34-37
32-22
42-43
29-31
30-39
23-44
40-38
23-30
33-36
38-24
50-48
135.1Avg total
67.8Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.367.9139.1+3.443%
Season at home (5)76.065.4141.4+10.660%
Season away (2)59.574.0133.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)67.867.3135.1+0.540%
Last 5 (5)68.071.0139.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.882.6160.4-4.938%
vs Similar (12)65.170.7135.8-5.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.167.4146.5+11.770%
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
116-73
116
73
+43
H10/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#595
W
112-68
112
68
+44
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A14/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
81-100
81
100
-19
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A22/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A24/11
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#453
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
86-107
86
107
-21
A01/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
71-111
71
111
-40
A06/12
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-32
62-41
56-34
56-34
39-43
46-40
41-50
40-50
36-51
31-35
46-40
28-52
36-27
49-33
34-52
52-55
30-59
41-52
33-45
30-56
172.1Avg total
84.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.589.3172.8-5.736%
Season at home (4)98.575.2173.8+23.275%
Season away (7)75.097.3172.3-22.314%
Last 10 (10)84.088.1172.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)75.894.2170.0-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.895.7167.5-23.80%
vs Similar (12)67.271.0138.2-3.825%
vs Weaker (9)80.676.1156.7+4.456%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -1.3-1.3
South FloridaArkansas-Pine Bluff
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A01/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A02/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H09/12
NCAA
62.4Avg total
32.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.870.4+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.832.867.6+2.050%-
Last 30 away (12)36.737.974.6-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.262.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)29.030.259.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.640.579.1-1.938%-
vs Similar (12)32.434.266.6-1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.831.167.9+5.760%-
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Champion Christian Tigers
#614
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#595
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/11
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#453
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
30-59
30
59
-29
A06/12
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/12
NCAA
83.8Avg total
40.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.272.3-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.130.868.9+7.371%-
Last 30 away (16)34.440.975.2-6.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.383.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.844.680.4-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.346.881.2-12.517%-
vs Similar (12)31.833.164.8-1.367%-
vs Weaker (9)38.836.275.0+2.644%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
0
Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HFlorida State88-72
02/12/23AUMass56-66
01/12/23AHofstra63-82
23/11/23HMaine Black Bears59-70
19/11/23HNorthern Iowa74-65
16/11/23HCentral Michigan63-68
10/11/23HSouth Carolina St96-52
09/03/23HEast Carolina58-73
05/03/23AWichita State49-69
02/03/23HTulsa72-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AUconn63-101
06/12/23AGonzaga71-111
01/12/23AOklahoma86-107
28/11/23HArkansas Baptist85-60
24/11/23ABall State74-92
22/11/23AMinnesota67-86
19/11/23HIncarnate Word81-100
14/11/23ACentral Arkansas85-83
12/11/23HSouthwestern Christian112-68
10/11/23HChampion Christian Tigers116-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game71.376.059.5
Allowed / game67.965.474.0
Point differential+3.4+10.6-14.5
Avg total139.1141.4133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%75%14%
Points / game83.598.575.0
Allowed / game89.375.297.3
Point differential-5.7+23.2-22.3
Avg total172.8173.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic97278%84.470.6+13.9
2 Memphis97278%79.774.1+5.6
3 Tulane86275%86.979.2+7.6
4 Wichita State107370%78.371.0+7.3
5 Temple96367%78.872.6+6.2
6 Tulsa85362%76.869.8+7.0
7 East Carolina106460%75.070.4+4.6
8 North Texas95456%68.758.4+10.2
9 Charlotte95456%66.963.9+3.0
10 UTSA Roadrunners95456%79.879.9-0.1
11 UAB94544%72.676.2-3.7
12 South Florida73443%71.367.9+3.4
13 Rice93633%72.879.0-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bethune-Cookman95456%78.871.0+7.8
2 Alabama State84450%77.175.2+1.9
3 Prairie View A&M84450%72.578.6-6.1
4 Southern Univ.104640%71.277.9-6.7
5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff114736%83.589.3-5.7
6 Florida A&M72529%69.781.7-12.0
7 Grambling St.92722%67.180.3-13.2
8 Jackson State92722%67.382.3-15.0
9 Alabama A&M Bulldogs102820%72.784.9-12.2
10 Alcorn State91811%67.985.2-17.3
11 Texas Southern7070%55.977.1-21.3
12 Miss. Valley St.100100%48.782.5-33.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida5450104
Arkansas-Pine Bluff374986
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