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South Florida vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-95
33-51 55-44
Position#282
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#76
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#190
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H15/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H16/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#23
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A20/03
NIT
VCU Rams
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H24/03
NIT
Florida
#6
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H13/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-31
0-0
33-45
0-0
44-30
0-0
37-29
0-0
30-38
0-0
53-55
0-0
49-35
0-0
34-42
0-0
30-32
0-0
35-38
0-0
40-39
0-0
43-59
0-0
32-33
0-0
39-53
0-0
50-34
0-0
35-35
0-0
37-24
0-0
37-31
0-0
38-33
0-0
36-35
152.0Avg total
76.9Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.475.2152.6+2.260%
Season at home (2)79.562.0141.5+17.5100%
Season away (3)76.084.0160.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)76.975.1152.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)77.475.2152.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)83.098.0181.0-15.00%
vs Similar (9)73.870.2144.0+3.678%
vs Weaker (19)76.568.2144.7+8.384%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A14/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
54-85
54
85
-31
A15/03
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#669
W
97-51
97
51
+46
H04/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
79-56
79
56
+23
A10/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-48
28-33
33-30
36-31
37-40
33-44
27-32
43-35
27-46
27-39
51-22
46-29
44-30
35-26
41-38
39-25
30-44
37-44
32-31
43-44
145.0Avg total
73.3Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.267.8149.0+13.480%
Season at home (4)81.870.8152.5+11.075%
Season away (1)79.056.0135.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.371.7145.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)81.267.8149.0+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.974.7138.6-10.832%
vs Similar (7)71.172.4143.6-1.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.054.2139.2+30.8100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
South FloridaMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#190
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H15/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H16/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#23
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A20/03
NIT
VCU Rams
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H24/03
NIT
Florida
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/11
NCAA
Charleston
#47
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H13/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
38.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.271.2+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.734.373.0+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)34.634.268.8+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)38.732.971.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.672.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (9)33.934.868.7-0.933%-
vs Weaker (19)37.633.771.3+3.968%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A15/03
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#669
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H04/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A10/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H16/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H21/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
35.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.565.9-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.530.664.1+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)31.236.868.0-5.614%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.171.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.072.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.333.864.2-3.526%-
vs Similar (7)30.635.966.4-5.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.827.873.5+18.0100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Florida wins
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24APortland74-68
16/11/24HWest Georgia74-55
13/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff85-69
09/11/24ACharleston71-86
05/11/24AFlorida83-98
24/03/24HVCU Rams65-70
20/03/24AUCF Knights83-77
16/03/24HUAB83-93
15/03/24HEast Carolina81-59
09/03/24ATulsa70-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HOhio83-81 OT
16/11/24HMurray State67-88
14/11/24HEvansville80-63
10/11/24AAbilene Christian79-56
04/11/24HOglethorpe97-51
15/03/24AWestern Kentucky54-85
14/03/24ALouisiana Tech70-67
09/03/24ALouisiana Tech70-84
06/03/24HLiberty69-61
03/03/24ASam Houston St.64-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game77.479.576.0
Allowed / game75.262.084.0
Point differential+2.2+17.5-8.0
Avg total152.6141.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game81.281.879.0
Allowed / game67.870.856.0
Point differential+13.4+11.0+23.0
Avg total149.0152.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis440100%81.270.8+10.5
2 Wichita State440100%82.273.0+9.2
3 East Carolina65183%82.871.5+11.3
4 Tulane54180%75.857.8+18.0
5 North Texas54180%69.657.2+12.4
6 Rice54180%73.665.8+7.8
7 Temple43175%80.569.2+11.2
8 Charlotte43175%71.871.0+0.8
9 Tulsa53260%86.681.2+5.4
10 South Florida53260%77.475.2+2.2
11 Florida Atlantic74357%90.379.9+10.4
12 UAB63350%82.874.0+8.8
13 UTSA Roadrunners31233%79.781.0-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech440100%87.565.0+22.5
2 Kennesaw State54180%91.470.6+20.8
3 Jacksonville State54180%81.663.8+17.8
4 Liberty54180%74.459.2+15.2
5 Middle Tenn. St.54180%81.267.8+13.4
6 UTEP43175%79.869.5+10.2
7 Missouri State43175%86.076.8+9.2
8 New Mexico State43175%76.069.0+7.0
9 Western Kentucky53260%81.072.8+8.2
10 Sam Houston St.53260%84.681.4+3.2
11 Delaware42250%75.576.2-0.8
12 Florida International51420%76.669.4+7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida335588
Middle Tenn. St.514495
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