PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

South Florida vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-68
34-26 45-42
Position#20
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game68.5
South Florida 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#99
Record19-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · South Florida v SMU Mustangs
25 Feb 2024
SOUT79
SMU 68
25 Feb 2023
SOUT71
SMU 67
26 Jan 2022
SOUT54
SMU 74
20 Feb 2021
SOUT v SMU
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
SOUT61
SMU 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A25/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H27/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A01/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A03/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A10/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H18/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
40-33
31-35
44-34
44-30
45-42
40-28
31-32
26-31
34-24
37-47
35-22
25-38
44-27
44-28
25-22
46-31
44-55
32-30
34-31
138.8Avg total
73.3Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.168.5143.6+6.680%
Season at home (16)79.569.1148.6+10.488%
Season away (9)67.267.3134.6-0.167%
Last 10 (10)73.365.5138.8+7.8100%
Last 5 (5)73.266.2139.4+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.075.0157.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.670.8137.3-4.256%
vs Weaker (20)76.467.0143.4+9.485%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#190
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H20/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
52-33
51-37
32-33
34-35
41-37
31-40
38-32
42-44
32-27
40-42
40-37
55-32
30-34
41-34
37-41
50-38
58-36
48-43
37-41
33-39
155.7Avg total
82.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.566.2143.7+11.370%
Season at home (15)80.264.3144.5+15.987%
Season away (12)74.168.7142.8+5.450%
Last 10 (10)82.273.5155.7+8.770%
Last 5 (5)85.875.0160.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.784.7153.3-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.869.8141.5+2.038%
vs Weaker (19)79.964.7144.6+15.284%
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
South FloridaSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#254
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A25/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A01/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A10/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H18/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A22/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.969.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.532.870.3+4.758%-
Last 30 away (11)31.635.967.5-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.733.369.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.871.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.040.088.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.038.370.3-6.311%-
vs Weaker (20)36.231.667.8+4.660%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#190
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
39.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.169.4+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.630.569.1+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)35.833.969.7+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.174.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.878.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.743.078.7-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.630.867.4+5.962%-
vs Weaker (19)37.830.968.8+6.979%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
South Florida wins
4
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
26/02/23South Florida v SMU Mustangs71-67
29/01/23SMU Mustangs v South Florida82-80
27/01/22South Florida v SMU Mustangs54-74
13/01/22SMU Mustangs v South Florida77-65
08/03/20South Florida v SMU Mustangs61-60
01/01/20SMU Mustangs v South Florida82-64
South Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AUTSA Roadrunners66-61
18/02/24HFlorida Atlantic90-86
15/02/24HTulsa69-50
10/02/24ARice69-65
07/02/24HCharlotte72-69
03/02/24ANorth Texas60-55
01/02/24AEast Carolina71-60
27/01/24HUTSA Roadrunners89-72
25/01/24ATemple75-69
21/01/24HWichita State72-68
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24AFlorida Atlantic70-80
18/02/24HMemphis106-79
16/02/24ATulane87-79
11/02/24HNorth Texas71-68
08/02/24ARice95-69
04/02/24HUAB72-69
02/02/24HTulane80-76
28/01/24AWichita State72-77
26/01/24ANorth Texas66-68
20/01/24HTulsa103-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %80%88%67%
Points / game75.179.567.2
Allowed / game68.569.167.3
Point differential+6.6+10.4-0.1
Avg total143.6148.6134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)80% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %70%87%50%
Points / game77.580.274.1
Allowed / game66.264.368.7
Point differential+11.3+15.9+5.4
Avg total143.7144.5142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Florida2520580%75.168.5+6.6
2 Florida Atlantic2721678%83.372.7+10.6
3 Memphis2719870%80.075.6+4.4
4 UAB2617965%76.675.3+1.3
5 Charlotte27171063%69.165.3+3.7
6 North Texas26141254%67.261.2+6.0
7 Tulane25131252%83.880.1+3.7
8 Tulsa27141352%75.073.3+1.7
9 East Carolina27141352%69.267.8+1.4
10 Wichita State27111641%72.473.2-0.9
11 Rice27111641%73.975.6-1.7
12 Temple2691735%71.274.2-3.0
13 UTSA Roadrunners2891932%77.682.0-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2721678%80.467.7+12.7
2 North Carolina2721678%81.870.4+11.4
3 Virginia2820871%63.458.4+5.0
4 SMU Mustangs2719870%77.566.2+11.3
5 Clemson2719870%78.771.1+7.6
6 Wake Forest2718967%79.669.7+9.9
7 Pittsburgh2718967%75.167.1+8.0
8 Syracuse28181064%76.375.0+1.3
9 NC State27171063%76.071.4+4.6
10 Virginia Tech27151256%74.269.9+4.3
11 Boston College27151256%76.073.5+2.4
12 Florida State27141352%76.074.8+1.2
13 Miami (FL)29151452%76.673.2+3.4
14 California28131546%74.975.8-0.9
15 Stanford27121544%76.976.4+0.4
16 Georgia Tech28121643%70.775.2-4.5
17 Notre Dame27101737%63.165.6-2.5
18 Louisville2781930%72.678.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida344579
SMU Mustangs264268
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.