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South Florida vs SMU Mustangs Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position#244
Record7-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#62
Record11-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · South Florida v SMU Mustangs
25 Feb 2024
SOUT79
SMU 68
25 Feb 2023
SOUT71
SMU 67
26 Jan 2022
SOUT54
SMU 74
20 Feb 2021
SOUT v SMU
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
SOUT61
SMU 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#102
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A30/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H06/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H14/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-24
33-32
43-41
31-30
29-22
41-48
23-25
34-33
34-35
34-26
24-26
27-35
25-26
44-37
35-43
30-39
23-27
36-35
31-39
34-42
132.0Avg total
64.3Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.569.3136.8-1.947%
Season at home (10)68.969.1138.0-0.250%
Season away (5)64.669.8134.4-5.240%
Last 10 (10)64.367.7132.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)61.869.8131.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)61.467.4128.7-6.024%
vs Similar (10)64.863.7128.5+1.160%
vs Weaker (3)77.768.0145.7+9.7100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#300
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A30/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H11/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A23/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A31/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
42-39
33-32
27-42
37-32
32-44
37-34
42-34
32-33
46-32
31-34
41-42
33-23
34-42
24-28
24-42
29-23
36-40
30-24
41-32
137.2Avg total
68.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.366.6140.9+7.773%
Season at home (8)79.466.8146.1+12.675%
Season away (7)68.466.4134.9+2.071%
Last 10 (10)68.868.4137.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)64.666.0130.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.871.8132.5-11.025%
vs Similar (11)66.167.1133.2-1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.767.1144.9+10.680%
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -2.4-2.4
South FloridaSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#102
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A30/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H06/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H14/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
29.2Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.230.059.2-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (18)29.929.459.4+0.539%-
Last 30 away (12)28.230.859.0-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)29.230.860.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)27.632.259.8-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)27.129.356.4-2.229%-
vs Similar (10)32.030.462.4+1.650%-
vs Weaker (3)32.032.764.7-0.733%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#300
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H08/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H11/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A27/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A04/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A08/02
NCAA
61.8Avg total
32.3Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.661.8+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.528.765.1+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)27.930.658.5-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)32.329.561.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)29.426.455.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.029.858.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (11)30.129.559.5+0.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)34.629.764.3+4.967%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
South Florida wins
1
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
08/03/20South Florida v SMU Mustangs61-60
01/01/20SMU Mustangs v South Florida82-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21AUCF Knights65-81
14/02/21HTulane59-62
11/02/21HHouston65-82
09/01/21AEast Carolina69-63
06/01/21HTulsa51-61
03/01/21HUCF Knights68-61
30/12/20AMemphis57-58
23/12/20HWichita State77-82 OT
17/12/20ACincinnati74-71
12/12/20HWofford58-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/21AEast Carolina71-56
04/02/21ATulsa65-63
31/01/21AHouston48-70
29/01/21HMemphis67-65
27/01/21AMemphis72-76
23/01/21AUCF Knights78-65
11/01/21HTemple79-68
08/01/21HCincinnati69-76
04/01/21HHouston60-74
30/12/20ATemple79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %47%50%40%
Points / game67.568.964.6
Allowed / game69.369.169.8
Point differential-1.9-0.2-5.2
Avg total136.8138.0134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%10%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game74.379.468.4
Allowed / game66.666.866.4
Point differential+7.7+12.6+2.0
Avg total140.9146.1134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB2117481%72.659.5+13.1
2 Wichita State1713476%72.668.0+4.6
3 North Texas1812667%72.361.6+10.8
4 Memphis1812667%72.762.9+9.8
5 Rice2112957%77.173.3+3.8
6 UTSA Roadrunners2112957%77.975.1+2.7
7 Tulane179853%63.162.8+0.3
8 Tulsa1910953%66.263.9+2.3
9 East Carolina168850%67.467.1+0.3
10 South Florida157847%67.569.3-1.9
11 Charlotte2091145%64.265.0-0.8
12 Florida Atlantic167944%78.469.6+8.8
13 Temple134931%64.769.1-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1512380%79.368.9+10.4
2 Virginia1915479%69.459.9+9.5
3 Virginia Tech1814478%72.565.6+6.9
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%74.366.6+7.7
5 Louisville1511473%69.564.2+5.3
6 Clemson1813572%65.663.1+2.5
7 Syracuse1812667%76.670.4+6.2
8 North Carolina2013765%73.269.5+3.6
9 Stanford2214864%71.768.0+3.7
10 Georgia Tech1810856%74.671.1+3.5
11 Duke179853%76.171.5+4.6
12 Pittsburgh179853%72.269.8+2.4
13 NC State189950%73.570.7+2.8
14 Notre Dame1991047%72.971.8+1.1
15 Wake Forest1661038%69.670.9-1.2
16 Miami (FL)1971237%66.470.0-3.6
17 California2481633%66.370.6-4.2
18 Boston College1631319%71.477.6-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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