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Southern District vs Gold Coast Rollers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 105-97
15-30 32-20 27-19 31-28
Position#1
Record4-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Position#3
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game93.8
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Southern District v Gold Coast Rollers
04 Jul 2025
SOUT105
GOLD97
29 Apr 2023
SOUT82
GOLD101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern District winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gold Coast Rollers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#10
W
110-109
110
109
+1
A02/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H10/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
107-114
107
114
-7
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
96-117
96
117
-21
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A13/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
104-90
104
90
+14
A14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H21/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H28/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
22-27
32-27
29-26
9-30
27-17
23-24
21-24
13-21
25-19
19-26
26-23
15-30
24-17
21-17
23-15
32-32
24-21
30-34
21-27
30-35
22-29
20-26
24-27
26-37
24-23
27-22
18-21
17-25
22-21
36-22
29-22
23-21
18-14
16-23
27-25
18-20
17-23
18-21
19-24
188.1Avg total
91.4Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.496.7188.1-5.340%
Season at home (5)83.691.2174.8-7.640%
Season away (5)99.2102.2201.4-3.040%
Last 10 (10)91.496.7188.1-5.340%
Last 5 (5)90.296.2186.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.2101.2187.5-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.088.5177.5+0.546%
vs Weaker (13)93.588.5182.1+5.062%
This opponent (Gold Coast Rollers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gold Coast RollersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H13/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H01/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
99-101
99
101
-2
H09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H17/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
89-108
89
108
-19
A23/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
98-103
98
103
-5
A24/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
110-79
110
79
+31
A31/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A07/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
109-93
109
93
+16
H21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H28/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
18-18
29-23
23-26
25-25
28-20
16-28
29-15
35-18
22-22
22-32
20-29
23-24
31-25
13-21
21-16
18-27
22-24
19-34
30-23
18-28
37-28
24-16
19-31
33-23
24-17
26-19
27-20
28-22
19-32
20-34
31-22
29-24
25-22
29-28
26-19
26-26
20-17
18-19
26-14
190.5Avg total
97.8Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.793.8191.4+3.956%
Season at home (5)96.888.8185.6+8.080%
Season away (4)98.8100.0198.8-1.225%
Last 10 (10)97.892.7190.5+5.160%
Last 5 (5)101.092.2193.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)94.0103.7197.7-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (4)100.092.5192.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (20)95.092.9187.9+2.160%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
Southern DistrictGold Coast Rollers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Logan Thunder
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A02/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A13/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A14/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H28/06
NBL1 North
92.6Avg total
43.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.689.7+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.042.385.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)47.046.693.6+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)43.549.192.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.449.693.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.047.093.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.942.285.2+0.754%-
vs Weaker (13)47.146.293.2+0.938%-
This opponent (Gold Coast Rollers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gold Coast RollersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H13/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H01/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H17/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A23/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A24/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A31/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/06
NBL1 North
96.8Avg total
51.0Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.847.397.2+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.845.995.8+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)49.849.299.0+0.738%-
Last 10 (10)51.045.896.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)51.847.899.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.351.399.7-3.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)48.244.092.2+4.275%-
vs Weaker (20)50.646.897.4+3.860%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern District wins
2
Gold Coast Rollers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HSouth West Metro Pirates72-88
21/06/25HMackay Meteors84-83
14/06/25ACairns Marlins104-90
13/06/25ATownsville Heat95-103
07/06/25HRockhampton Rockets96-117
31/05/25ABrisbane Capitals107-114
17/05/25HNorthside Wizards83-79
10/05/25HBrisbane Capitals83-89
03/05/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix80-95
02/05/25ALogan Thunder110-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HTownsville Heat90-76
21/06/25HSouth West Metro Pirates109-93
07/06/25ALogan Thunder98-110
31/05/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix110-79
24/05/25ARockhampton Rockets98-103
23/05/25AMackay Meteors89-108
17/05/25HLogan Thunder88-86
09/05/25HCairns Marlins99-101
01/05/25HIpswich Force98-88
13/07/24HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks99-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern District
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game91.483.699.2
Allowed / game96.791.2102.2
Point differential-5.3-7.6-3.0
Avg total188.1174.8201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gold Coast Rollers
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game97.796.898.8
Allowed / game93.888.8100.0
Point differential+3.9+8.0-1.2
Avg total191.4185.6198.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals97278%97.886.2+11.6
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix107370%91.484.9+6.5
3 Mackay Meteors106460%96.994.9+2.0
4 Logan Thunder95456%97.192.8+4.3
5 Gold Coast Rollers95456%97.793.8+3.9
6 Northside Wizards116555%87.586.6+0.9
7 Ipswich Force105550%90.693.1-2.5
8 Rockhampton Rockets104640%93.495.7-2.3
9 South West Metro Pirates104640%90.293.9-3.7
10 Southern District104640%91.496.7-5.3
11 Townsville Heat114736%87.087.4-0.4
12 Cairns Marlins92722%86.3100.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern District15322731105
Gold Coast Rollers3020192897
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