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Southern Miss vs North Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 92-83
35-46 57-37
Position#174
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#361
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game89.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Southern Miss v North Florida
22 Nov 2025
SOUT92
NORT83
14 Dec 2019
SOUT69
NORT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H01/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A05/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Tougaloo
#443
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-28
35-34
36-46
46-42
26-32
32-38
29-29
37-34
24-33
40-45
38-36
41-49
52-35
41-22
34-38
36-32
30-42
40-33
38-28
44-31
145.3Avg total
73.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.671.8152.4+8.840%
Season at home (2)87.558.0145.5+29.5100%
Season away (3)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)73.372.0145.3+1.330%
Last 5 (5)80.671.8152.4+8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.778.4146.1-10.713%
vs Similar (12)72.073.5145.5-1.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#337
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A03/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
64-104
64
104
-40
A07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
66-99
66
99
-33
A13/11
NCAA
New College (FL)
#595
W
122-67
122
67
+55
H15/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-32
21-38
39-30
40-41
34-35
43-38
41-43
41-43
39-44
42-42
45-38
24-52
28-52
36-52
30-47
36-52
55-43
67-24
35-34
43-52
164.7Avg total
80.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.589.0171.5-6.525%
Season at home (1)122.067.0189.0+55.0100%
Season away (3)69.396.3165.7-27.00%
Last 10 (10)80.184.6164.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)79.889.2169.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.288.8163.1-14.619%
vs Similar (5)81.486.2167.6-4.840%
vs Weaker (9)95.283.1178.3+12.178%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -4.1-4.1
Southern MissNorth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H01/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H04/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
NCAA
Tougaloo
#443
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H07/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NCAA
William Carey
#444
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H19/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
33.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.969.9-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.333.568.8+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)32.938.271.1-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)33.234.767.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.874.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.337.770.9-4.427%-
vs Similar (12)33.234.867.9-1.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.731.373.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (North Florida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#337
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A13/11
NCAA
New College (FL)
#595
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A20/11
NCAA
79.3Avg total
39.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.378.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.240.581.7+0.750%-
Last 30 away (18)36.140.276.2-4.139%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.879.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.881.4-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.143.677.6-9.519%-
vs Similar (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
vs Weaker (9)43.937.981.8+6.078%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Miss wins
1
North Florida wins
DateGameScore
14/12/19Southern Miss v North Florida69-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HWilliam Carey82-59
14/11/25AGrambling St.70-75
09/11/25ASouth Carolina79-83 OT
07/11/25HTougaloo93-57
03/11/25ABuffalo79-85
05/03/25AGeorgia Southern64-78
04/03/25HCoastal Carolina66-63
01/03/25HTroy58-70
27/02/25HSouth Alabama82-88
23/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette60-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25AWofford78-86
15/11/25HNew College (FL)122-67
13/11/25ATennessee66-99
07/11/25AFlorida64-104
03/03/25AAustin Peay69-90
27/02/25HEastern Kentucky81-86
25/02/25AFlorida Gulf Coast82-86
21/02/25HJacksonville Dolphins77-73
19/02/25AStetson79-71
15/02/25ACentral Arkansas83-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game80.687.576.0
Allowed / game71.858.081.0
Point differential+8.8+29.5-5.0
Avg total152.4145.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
North Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game82.5122.069.3
Allowed / game89.067.096.3
Point differential-6.5+55.0-27.0
Avg total171.5189.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall54180%87.081.6+5.4
2 Texas State75271%74.065.4+8.6
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 Coastal Carolina64267%81.763.7+18.0
5 Appalachian State64267%72.866.2+6.7
6 Troy74357%92.985.1+7.7
7 Old Dominion63350%75.874.7+1.2
8 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
9 Georgia Southern63350%85.586.8-1.3
10 Arkansas State63350%79.385.3-6.0
11 Southern Miss52340%80.671.8+8.8
12 Louisiana Monroe61517%73.779.5-5.8
13 Georgia State61517%64.074.0-10.0
14 Louisiana Lafayette61517%59.275.7-16.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Georgia64267%78.077.8+0.2
2 Florida Gulf Coast53260%85.680.6+5.0
3 Austin Peay63350%79.366.5+12.8
4 Queens Royals63350%83.082.7+0.3
5 Stetson63350%76.281.3-5.2
6 Lipscomb62433%75.276.0-0.8
7 North Alabama62433%71.880.5-8.7
8 North Florida41325%82.589.0-6.5
9 Eastern Kentucky51420%84.885.4-0.6
10 Bellarmine51420%77.887.4-9.6
11 Central Arkansas51420%70.681.6-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss355792
North Florida463783
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