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Southern Miss vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 58-70
26-32 32-38
Position#324
Record10-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#68
Record19-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game65.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Southern Miss v Troy
13 Jan 2027
SOUT v TROY
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
SOUT69
TROY65
28 Feb 2025
SOUT58
TROY70
20 Jan 2024
SOUT64
TROY63
29 Dec 2022
SOUT64
TROY60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
67-101
67
101
-34
A13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
78-87
78
87
-9
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
35-31
41-37
27-44
36-23
36-45
28-31
30-29
37-35
39-42
36-55
31-46
45-39
29-42
29-36
49-51
25-28
35-34
36-46
46-42
147.1Avg total
69.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.176.5148.7-4.433%
Season at home (15)74.972.3147.2+2.560%
Season away (15)69.480.7150.1-11.37%
Last 10 (10)69.677.5147.1-7.910%
Last 5 (5)72.283.8156.0-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.279.2149.4-9.024%
vs Similar (7)72.371.1143.4+1.143%
vs Weaker (2)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H01/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
31-35
41-40
40-34
50-15
37-35
28-32
33-32
29-32
33-37
29-20
45-36
30-34
41-36
38-29
31-43
33-33
50-33
36-37
38-32
138.3Avg total
73.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.165.6138.7+7.666%
Season at home (15)79.866.5146.3+13.373%
Season away (14)65.964.5130.4+1.457%
Last 10 (10)73.265.1138.3+8.170%
Last 5 (5)74.266.6140.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar (9)64.067.4131.4-3.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.165.9144.0+12.174%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +2.6+2.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +2.6+2.6
Southern MissTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A27/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H23/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H27/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
33.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.837.872.6-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.033.969.9+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.741.775.3-8.013%-
Last 10 (10)33.936.970.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.875.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.039.673.7-5.624%-
vs Similar (7)34.734.168.9+0.629%-
vs Weaker (2)43.531.575.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#324
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
50-15
50
15
+35
H01/02
NCAA
James Madison
#110
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Texas State
#207
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A26/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
35.3Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.330.665.9+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.430.270.7+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)29.430.960.4-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)35.329.865.1+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.663.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (9)28.732.661.2-3.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.130.169.1+9.074%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Southern Miss wins
2
Troy wins
DateGameScore
27/01/25Troy v Southern Miss70-61
20/01/24Southern Miss v Troy64-63
13/01/24Troy v Southern Miss82-56
03/02/23Troy v Southern Miss65-74
30/12/22Southern Miss v Troy64-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HSouth Alabama82-88
23/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette60-62
21/02/25HCoastal Carolina78-87
15/02/25ALouisiana Monroe74-81
13/02/25AArkansas State67-101
08/02/25ABall State76-77
05/02/25AAppalachian State58-60
01/02/25HGeorgia Southern72-68
30/01/25HArkansas State68-81
27/01/25ATroy61-70
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ATexas State74-69
22/02/25HCoastal Carolina83-66
21/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette69-72
16/02/25AArkansas State71-70
13/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette74-56
08/02/25AMiami (Ohio)62-69
06/02/25AJames Madison61-64
01/02/25HLouisiana Monroe87-50
31/01/25HGeorgia Southern81-74
27/01/25HSouthern Miss70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWLLL60%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%60%7%
Points / game72.174.969.4
Allowed / game76.572.380.7
Point differential-4.4+2.5-11.3
Avg total148.7147.2150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)67% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%73%57%
Points / game73.179.865.9
Allowed / game65.666.564.5
Point differential+7.6+13.3+1.4
Avg total138.7146.3130.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State3122971%79.469.2+10.1
2 South Alabama30201067%73.265.0+8.2
3 Troy29191066%73.165.6+7.6
4 James Madison31201165%74.470.2+4.1
5 Marshall30181260%75.771.9+3.8
6 Appalachian State29171259%68.663.2+5.3
7 Texas State31161552%76.773.6+3.1
8 Georgia Southern31161552%74.276.2-2.0
9 Georgia State31131842%74.978.5-3.5
10 Old Dominion31121939%68.572.9-4.4
11 Louisiana Lafayette30111937%66.573.6-7.1
12 Southern Miss30102033%72.176.5-4.4
13 Coastal Carolina31102132%66.971.3-4.4
14 Louisiana Monroe3172423%68.975.6-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss263258
Troy323870
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