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Southern Sabres vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 May 2019
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 66-100
19-28 15-29 11-22 21-21
Position#18
Record2-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game75.0
AustraliaNBL 1
Other2019
Meetings · Southern Sabres v Ballarat
26 May 2019
SOUT66
BALL100
18 Jun 2017
SOUT86
BALL92
01 Jul 2016
SOUT100
BALL93
20 Jun 2015
SOUT79
BALL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A29/03
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
L
63-96
63
96
-33
A30/03
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H06/04
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
78-100
78
100
-22
H13/04
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
107-97
107
97
+10
H27/04
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
101-113 OT
101
113
-12
A04/05
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
106-92
106
92
+14
A05/05
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
91-116
91
116
-25
H11/05
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A18/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
L
80-97
80
97
-17
H19/05
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
20-19
24-17
22-34
21-26
14-29
18-20
10-21
14-15
25-24
21-23
23-28
21-27
16-25
19-18
22-30
31-19
27-26
30-21
19-31
24-21
14-26
29-25
30-25
22-21
23-21
26-17
35-33
26-31
28-31
24-25
13-29
15-24
20-25
22-24
16-23
26-22
24-20
15-32
15-23
184.7Avg total
86.2Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.298.5184.7-12.320%
Season at home (5)87.8100.0187.8-12.220%
Season away (5)84.697.0181.6-12.420%
Last 10 (10)86.298.5184.7-12.320%
Last 5 (5)90.2102.8193.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)84.294.3178.4-10.125%
vs Similar (5)87.680.4168.0+7.260%
vs Weaker (5)89.075.4164.4+13.680%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#2
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
H26/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#2
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A30/03
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H06/04
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A13/04
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
90-68
90
68
+22
A27/04
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
126-63
126
63
+63
A04/05
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A11/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
104-80
104
80
+24
A12/05
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H18/05
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H25/05
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
12-15
25-11
23-33
24-14
16-31
27-21
27-21
30-15
17-29
23-21
24-21
22-13
34-18
13-19
11-23
18-7
28-16
24-24
20-21
31-17
35-18
34-20
26-8
26-23
18-16
12-15
31-17
27-20
21-20
29-19
27-21
27-16
15-16
17-21
14-20
24-15
28-20
22-10
20-22
171.7Avg total
94.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.075.0169.0+19.089%
Season at home (3)88.377.7166.0+10.767%
Season away (6)96.873.7170.5+23.2100%
Last 10 (10)94.077.7171.7+16.380%
Last 5 (5)97.672.2169.8+25.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.087.0168.0-6.050%
vs Similar (5)95.688.8184.4+6.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.178.9171.0+13.281%
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +8.8+8.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -7.2-7.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Southern SabresBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Huskies
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A29/03
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A30/03
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/04
NBL 1
Knox
#13
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H13/04
NBL 1
Hobart Huskies
#9
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H27/04
NBL 1
Melbourne Tigers
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/05
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A05/05
NBL 1
Nunawading
#2
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H11/05
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H19/05
NBL 1
89.5Avg total
42.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.844.089.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)38.744.983.6-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.547.089.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.492.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.347.188.4-5.920%-
vs Similar (5)44.439.083.4+5.460%-
vs Weaker (5)45.238.884.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H26/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A30/03
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/04
NBL 1
Dandenong
#8
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A13/04
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/04
NBL 1
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#12
W
66-35
66
35
+31
A04/05
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A12/05
NBL 1
BA CoE
#15
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H18/05
NBL 1
NW Tasmania
#14
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H25/05
NBL 1
84.3Avg total
47.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.141.087.1+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.639.486.0+7.379%-
Last 30 away (16)45.642.488.1+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)47.836.584.3+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)50.436.286.6+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.050.089.0-11.025%-
vs Similar (5)44.440.685.0+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.939.487.2+8.576%-
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern Sabres wins
2
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HEltham80-97
18/05/19ARingwood73-96
11/05/19HNunawading91-116
05/05/19AKilsyth106-92
04/05/19AMelbourne Tigers101-113 OT
27/04/19HHobart Huskies107-97
13/04/19HKnox78-100
06/04/19HDandenong83-90
30/03/19ANW Tasmania63-96
29/03/19AHobart Huskies80-88
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/19HNW Tasmania94-67
18/05/19HBA CoE77-80 OT
12/05/19AEltham104-80
11/05/19AKilsyth87-71
04/05/19AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits126-63
27/04/19AKnox90-68
13/04/19ADandenong80-73
06/04/19HBendigo Braves94-86
30/03/19ANunawading94-87
26/08/17HDandenong94-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Sabres
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game86.287.884.6
Allowed / game98.5100.097.0
Point differential-12.3-12.2-12.4
Avg total184.7187.8181.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%0%20%
Ballarat
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %89%67%100%
Points / game94.088.396.8
Allowed / game75.077.773.7
Point differential+19.0+10.7+23.2
Avg total169.0166.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat98189%94.075.0+19.0
2 Nunawading118373%91.281.1+10.1
3 Kilsyth106460%88.185.4+2.7
4 Melbourne Tigers106460%83.683.9-0.3
5 Waverley106460%88.489.3-0.9
6 Geelong127558%82.280.3+1.9
7 Bendigo Braves105550%84.783.0+1.7
8 Frankston105550%88.888.2+0.6
9 Hobart Huskies105550%92.193.4-1.3
10 NW Tasmania105550%90.493.5-3.1
11 Albury-Wodonga Bandits105550%91.595.6-4.1
12 BA CoE136746%84.384.4-0.1
13 Dandenong115645%86.884.3+2.5
14 Knox94544%79.781.1-1.4
15 Ringwood93633%91.294.6-3.3
16 Diamond Valley124833%83.888.3-4.6
17 Eltham103730%88.194.5-6.4
18 Southern Sabres102820%86.298.5-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern Sabres1915112166
Ballarat28292221100
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