Ballarat vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Aug 2017

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 94-102 (OT)

25-26 12-15 25-11 23-33 9-17

Position#5

Record17-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game83.7

Ballarat

Dandenong 🏆

Position#2

Record18-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game80.7

SEABLSEABL - Semi-finals

Other2017

Meetings · Ballarat v Dandenong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dandenong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

104-70

104

+34

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

75-100

100

-25

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

107-84

107

+23

H07/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

93-104

104

-11

A14/07

SEABL

Dandenong

100-87

100

+13

H16/07

SEABL

Bendigo

80-94

-14

A22/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

89-82

A29/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

98-79

+19

H30/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

87-76

+11

H05/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

81-77

H12/08

SEABL

32-18

25-14

24-14

23-24

27-25

11-35

19-13

18-27

25-22

37-18

23-28

22-16

20-19

30-25

24-24

19-36

25-23

20-19

30-23

25-22

22-26

22-29

22-13

14-26

20-27

24-17

23-22

22-16

21-19

15-15

26-22

36-23

26-16

23-13

21-22

17-25

14-26

23-16

23-11

21-24

176.7Avg total

91.4Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	88.3	83.7	172.0	+4.6	68%
Season at home (13)	92.7	81.4	174.1	+11.3	92%
Season away (12)	83.5	86.2	169.8	-2.8	42%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	85.3	176.7	+6.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	81.6	168.6	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.6	88.6	170.1	-7.0	29%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	92.0	88.4	180.4	+3.6	60%
vs Weaker (18)	91.4	82.2	173.7	+9.2	78%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

98-78

+20

H01/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

74-67

H07/07

SEABL

Nunawading

87-75

+12

H15/07

SEABL

Ballarat

87-100

100

-13

A16/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

90-85

H22/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-79

+10

A29/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

81-58

+23

A30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

97-108

108

-11

H05/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

92-91

H12/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

105-98

105

A18/08

SEABL

22-30

31-16

23-15

22-17

20-10

20-24

12-25

22-8

19-23

24-20

17-17

27-15

23-25

19-20

23-30

22-25

26-24

14-18

17-28

33-15

20-19

27-23

16-22

26-15

12-13

30-15

15-16

24-14

20-27

28-20

17-18

32-43

26-26

26-27

16-17

24-21

26-25

30-27

25-21

24-25

173.9Avg total

90.0Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	84.3	80.7	165.0	+3.6	69%
Season at home (13)	85.9	79.2	165.2	+6.7	77%
Season away (13)	82.7	82.2	164.9	+0.5	62%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	83.9	173.9	+6.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	86.8	179.6	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	86.2	89.0	175.2	-2.8	60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	84.4	88.4	172.9	-4.0	44%
vs Weaker (16)	84.8	75.0	159.8	+9.8	81%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratDandenong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	23.5	46.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	23.2	47.8	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	23.7	45.6	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.1	45.3	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	26.3	45.1	-7.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	25.2	23.4	48.6	+1.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.9	42.9	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	20.1	43.9	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	22.9	42.6	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	21.0	45.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	22.4	50.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.6	20.8	43.3	+1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	56%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

57-32

+25

H24/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

38-60

-22

A01/07

SEABL

Geelong

62-40

+22

H07/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

50-44

A14/07

SEABL

Dandenong

45-42

H16/07

SEABL

Bendigo

44-55

-11

A22/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

44-44

A29/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

36-34

H30/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

49-29

+20

H05/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

37-42

-5

H12/08

SEABL

88.4Avg total

46.2Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	44.8	90.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.4	43.3	91.7	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	46.6	88.3	-4.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	42.2	88.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.8	82.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.0	49.1	89.1	-9.1	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	44.4	43.4	87.8	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	47.6	43.6	91.1	+4.0	67%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

53-46

H01/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

40-34

H07/07

SEABL

Nunawading

43-43

H15/07

SEABL

Ballarat

42-45

-3

A16/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

40-42

-2

H22/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

47-42

A29/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

42-28

+14

A30/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

48-47

H05/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

52-53

-1

H12/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

56-52

A18/08

SEABL

89.5Avg total

46.3Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.5	84.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	41.7	84.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	41.2	83.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	43.2	89.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	44.4	93.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.2	45.2	86.4	-4.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.6	42.3	85.9	+1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	42.5	39.8	82.3	+2.7	62%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.2	42.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.1	39.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.1	21.4	39.6	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.1	18.4	38.4	+1.7	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	21.6	43.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.9	45.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	24.2	22.4	46.6	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	19.8	45.4	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	23.6	49.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.8	24.7	47.4	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	39.9	83.9	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	39.2	85.7	+7.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	40.6	81.8	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	43.1	88.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	40.8	85.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.6	39.4	81.0	+2.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	47.6	45.0	92.6	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.9	38.7	82.6	+5.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	39.9	82.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	37.9	81.1	+5.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	42.1	83.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	40.7	84.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.4	86.2	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	45.0	43.8	88.8	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.9	46.1	87.0	-5.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	42.2	35.2	77.4	+7.1	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Dandenong wins

Date	Game	Score
16/07/17	Ballarat v Dandenong	100-87
07/05/17	Dandenong v Ballarat	79-95
05/06/16	Dandenong v Ballarat	104-93 OT
14/05/16	Ballarat v Dandenong	94-92
22/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	91-85
02/08/15	Dandenong v Ballarat	80-97
23/05/15	Ballarat v Dandenong	90-101

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/08/17	H	Hobart Chargers	81-77
05/08/17	H	BA CoE	87-76
30/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	98-79
29/07/17	A	Frankston	89-82
22/07/17	A	Bendigo	80-94
16/07/17	H	Dandenong	100-87
14/07/17	A	Albury	93-104
07/07/17	H	Geelong	107-84
01/07/17	A	Mt Gambier	75-100
24/06/17	H	Canberra	104-70

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/08/17	A	Hobart Chargers	105-98
12/08/17	H	NW Tasmania	92-91
05/08/17	H	NW Tasmania	97-108
30/07/17	A	BA CoE	81-58
29/07/17	A	Canberra	89-79
22/07/17	H	Frankston	90-85
16/07/17	A	Ballarat	87-100
15/07/17	H	Nunawading	87-75
07/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	74-67
01/07/17	H	Bendigo	98-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

SEABL 2017

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	68%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WLLLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	68%	92%	42%
Points / game	88.3	92.7	83.5
Allowed / game	83.7	81.4	86.2
Point differential	+4.6	+11.3	-2.8
Avg total	172.0	174.1	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	62%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (4)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Dandenong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	69%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	WLWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	69%	77%	62%
Points / game	84.3	85.9	82.7
Allowed / game	80.7	79.2	82.2
Point differential	+3.6	+6.7	+0.5
Avg total	165.0	165.2	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	46%	46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	75% (4)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	26	23	3	88%	92.3	79.2	+13.2
2	Dandenong	26	18	8	69%	84.3	80.7	+3.6
3	Ballarat	25	17	8	68%	88.3	83.7	+4.6
4	Nunawading	27	18	9	67%	88.4	81.4	+7.0
5	Geelong	26	17	9	65%	87.3	82.1	+5.2
6	Hobart Chargers	26	16	10	62%	93.4	82.3	+11.1
7	NW Tasmania	25	13	12	52%	83.9	84.0	-0.1
8	Bendigo	24	11	13	46%	87.0	87.7	-0.8
9	Kilsyth	24	11	13	46%	79.6	81.2	-1.6
10	Southern Sabres	25	11	14	44%	83.2	84.2	-1.0
11	Albury	24	9	15	38%	91.0	94.6	-3.6
12	Frankston	24	7	17	29%	81.1	87.9	-6.8
13	Melbourne Tigers	24	7	17	29%	76.5	88.8	-12.2
14	Canberra	24	3	21	12%	79.1	91.9	-12.8
15	BA CoE	16	2	14	12%	74.8	89.0	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Ballarat	25	12	25	23	9	94
Dandenong	26	15	11	33	17	102

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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