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Southern Sabres vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 May 2017
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 97-67
24-13 17-20 27-20 29-14
Position#10
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#13
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game89.1
AustraliaSEABL
Other2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A01/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H07/04
SEABL
Albury
#11
L
82-107
82
107
-25
A08/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A21/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A22/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H29/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H06/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H13/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
A20/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A27/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
11-25
21-12
21-15
17-19
11-26
19-20
16-13
15-30
20-25
26-36
21-16
17-19
17-19
18-29
17-26
11-13
26-15
11-15
22-20
22-21
18-22
19-15
25-22
19-23
15-19
30-31
17-16
30-19
23-17
20-19
16-17
17-29
25-28
25-26
13-24
27-26
22-17
19-20
16-20
161.1Avg total
77.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.583.5162.1-5.045%
Season at home (4)79.279.8159.0-0.550%
Season away (7)78.185.7163.9-7.643%
Last 10 (10)77.084.1161.1-7.140%
Last 5 (5)83.686.2169.8-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.692.8171.4-14.231%
vs Similar (10)80.479.8160.2+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.274.2156.5+8.075%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A02/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
89-115
89
115
-26
A07/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A08/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H23/04
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A29/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
H06/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H13/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
55-86
55
86
-31
H20/05
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A21/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A27/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
17-18
7-22
20-20
20-33
26-19
19-28
24-35
27-26
22-27
17-23
28-17
20-23
17-24
15-17
28-19
20-19
12-12
14-12
24-21
24-22
22-30
24-32
18-18
18-38
16-35
13-19
18-15
24-23
14-25
9-19
8-19
18-22
25-15
22-17
13-26
27-27
19-24
16-25
21-23
168.3Avg total
77.1Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.489.1165.5-12.727%
Season at home (5)71.489.2160.6-17.820%
Season away (6)80.589.0169.5-8.533%
Last 10 (10)77.191.2168.3-14.120%
Last 5 (5)73.894.8168.6-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)76.591.9168.4-15.414%
vs Similar (2)68.069.5137.5-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Southern SabresMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A01/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H07/04
SEABL
Albury
#11
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A08/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A22/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H29/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H13/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A20/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A27/05
SEABL
80.7Avg total
37.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.081.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.644.185.8-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.278.6-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.980.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.945.685.6-5.725%-
vs Similar (10)39.938.678.5+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.836.276.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A07/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A08/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H23/04
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A29/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H06/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
34-73
34
73
-39
H13/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H20/05
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A21/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A27/05
SEABL
89.8Avg total
41.3Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.285.7-6.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.746.383.9-8.620%-
Last 30 away (15)41.346.187.5-4.840%-
Last 10 (10)41.348.589.8-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.452.293.6-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.047.187.1-7.129%-
vs Similar (2)32.533.065.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Sabres wins
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/17ADandenong84-83
20/05/17ANunawading80-107
13/05/17HKilsyth89-72
06/05/17HMt Gambier81-89
29/04/17HGeelong84-80
22/04/17ANW Tasmania70-63
21/04/17AHobart Chargers69-93
08/04/17AAlbury82-107
07/04/17HBendigo63-78
01/04/17AMelbourne Tigers68-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/17ABallarat83-99
21/05/17AFrankston78-80
20/05/17HBallarat55-86
13/05/17HNW Tasmania65-107
06/05/17HNunawading88-102
29/04/17ACanberra70-64
23/04/17HGeelong80-83
08/04/17ANW Tasmania94-93
07/04/17AHobart Chargers89-115
02/04/17ADandenong69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Sabres
SEABL 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%50%43%
Points / game78.579.278.1
Allowed / game83.579.885.7
Point differential-5.0-0.5-7.6
Avg total162.1159.0163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
SEABL 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game76.471.480.5
Allowed / game89.189.289.0
Point differential-12.7-17.8-8.5
Avg total165.5160.6169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1110191%89.679.3+10.4
2 Nunawading1412286%91.180.9+10.3
3 Hobart Chargers118373%98.980.5+18.4
4 Ballarat118373%86.881.6+5.2
5 Geelong128467%87.978.6+9.3
6 Dandenong137654%79.580.9-1.4
7 Albury126650%92.492.2+0.2
8 Bendigo136746%83.582.5+0.9
9 Southern Sabres115645%78.583.5-5.0
10 Kilsyth125742%76.179.1-3.0
11 NW Tasmania124833%79.284.8-5.6
12 Melbourne Tigers113827%76.489.1-12.7
13 Frankston1331023%79.290.2-11.0
14 BA CoE81712%78.190.9-12.8
15 Canberra101910%80.889.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern Sabres2417272997
Melbourne Tigers1320201467
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