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Ballarat vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2017
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 99-83
27-27 24-19 25-16 23-21
Position#5
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#13
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game88.1
AustraliaSEABL
Other2017
Meetings · Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers
10 May 2025
BALL78
MELB103
29 Jun 2024
BALL87
MELB81
01 Apr 2023
BALL92
MELB68
21 May 2022
BALL86
MELB72
20 Jul 2019
BALL78
MELB86
27 May 2017
BALL99
MELB83
31 Jul 2016
BALL118
MELB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
A31/03
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H06/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A08/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H22/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H29/04
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H06/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
95-79
95
79
+16
A07/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A13/05
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
86-55
86
55
+31
A20/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H21/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
17-32
16-18
23-27
31-27
23-26
19-24
26-17
22-18
19-20
14-13
14-12
14-33
22-13
22-29
21-16
26-26
21-21
18-13
22-13
27-27
18-24
26-6
31-35
26-11
15-25
28-25
26-18
19-20
18-24
20-19
25-29
23-24
25-14
19-9
19-8
17-16
32-26
18-11
14-23
167.1Avg total
85.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.681.5167.1+4.170%
Season at home (5)89.685.2174.8+4.480%
Season away (5)81.677.8159.4+3.860%
Last 10 (10)85.681.5167.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)89.278.8168.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.589.7173.2-6.217%
vs Similar (10)89.493.8183.2-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.483.6178.0+10.779%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#10
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H01/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A02/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
89-115
89
115
-26
A07/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A08/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H23/04
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A29/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
H06/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H13/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
55-86
55
86
-31
H20/05
SEABL
Frankston
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A21/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
25-11
12-21
15-21
25-23
17-18
7-22
20-20
20-33
26-19
19-28
24-35
27-26
22-27
17-23
28-17
20-23
17-24
15-17
28-19
20-19
12-12
14-12
24-21
24-22
22-30
24-32
18-18
18-38
16-35
13-19
18-15
24-23
14-25
9-19
8-19
18-22
25-15
22-17
13-26
163.8Avg total
75.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.788.1163.8-12.430%
Season at home (5)71.489.2160.6-17.820%
Season away (5)80.087.0167.0-7.040%
Last 10 (10)75.788.1163.8-12.430%
Last 5 (5)71.287.8159.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.891.0166.8-15.214%
vs Similar (2)68.069.5137.5-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
BallaratMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A31/03
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H06/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H22/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/04
SEABL
Albury
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H06/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A07/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A13/05
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A20/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H21/05
SEABL
88.5Avg total
43.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.545.191.6+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.844.993.7+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.245.389.5-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.545.088.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.286.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.046.388.3-4.317%-
vs Similar (10)44.645.289.8-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.844.594.3+5.371%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Sabres
#10
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H01/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A07/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A08/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H23/04
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A29/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H06/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
34-73
34
73
-39
H13/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H20/05
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A21/05
SEABL
86.9Avg total
40.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.445.885.2-6.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.746.383.9-8.620%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.486.5-4.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.086.9-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.648.286.8-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.946.886.6-6.932%-
vs Similar (2)32.533.065.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ballarat wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
DateGameScore
20/05/17Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat55-86
31/07/16Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers118-87
08/05/16Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat82-103
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/17HKilsyth81-76
20/05/17AMelbourne Tigers86-55
13/05/17ANunawading82-92
07/05/17ADandenong95-79
06/05/17HAlbury102-92
29/04/17HBendigo87-73
22/04/17HMt Gambier79-91
08/04/17AKilsyth69-63
06/04/17HFrankston99-94
31/03/17AGeelong76-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/17AFrankston78-80
20/05/17HBallarat55-86
13/05/17HNW Tasmania65-107
06/05/17HNunawading88-102
29/04/17ACanberra70-64
23/04/17HGeelong80-83
08/04/17ANW Tasmania94-93
07/04/17AHobart Chargers89-115
02/04/17ADandenong69-83
01/04/17HSouthern Sabres69-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
SEABL 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game85.689.681.6
Allowed / game81.585.277.8
Point differential+4.1+4.4+3.8
Avg total167.1174.8159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
SEABL 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game75.771.480.0
Allowed / game88.189.287.0
Point differential-12.4-17.8-7.0
Avg total163.8160.6167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1110191%89.679.3+10.4
2 Nunawading1311285%90.880.8+10.0
3 Hobart Chargers118373%98.980.5+18.4
4 Ballarat107370%85.681.5+4.1
5 Geelong117464%86.677.2+9.5
6 Dandenong127558%79.280.7-1.4
7 Bendigo136746%83.582.5+0.9
8 Albury115645%92.294.0-1.8
9 Kilsyth125742%76.179.1-3.0
10 Southern Sabres104640%78.083.6-5.6
11 NW Tasmania114736%78.983.7-4.8
12 Melbourne Tigers103730%75.788.1-12.4
13 Frankston123925%79.889.8-10.1
14 BA CoE81712%78.190.9-12.8
15 Canberra91811%79.387.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2724252399
Melbourne Tigers2719162183
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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