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Melbourne Tigers vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 May 2017
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 55-86
24-23 14-25 9-19 8-19
Position#13
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#5
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.5
AustraliaSEABL
Other2017
Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat
26 Jul 2025
MELB89
BALL77
18 May 2024
MELB80
BALL78
04 Jun 2023
MELB106
BALL88
07 Aug 2022
MELB86
BALL78
27 Jun 2021
MELB77
BALL92
20 May 2017
MELB55
BALL86
08 May 2016
MELB82
BALL103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
L
69-105
69
105
-36
H07/08
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
93-115
93
115
-22
A13/08
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H01/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A02/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
89-115
89
115
-26
A07/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
W
94-93
94
93
+1
A08/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H23/04
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A29/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
H06/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H13/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
10-23
24-24
21-28
28-34
20-32
23-27
22-22
17-15
25-11
12-21
15-21
25-23
17-18
7-22
20-20
20-33
26-19
19-28
24-35
27-26
22-27
17-23
28-17
20-23
17-24
15-17
28-19
20-19
12-12
14-12
24-21
24-22
22-30
24-32
18-18
18-38
16-35
13-19
18-15
172.1Avg total
78.6Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.089.4167.4-11.438%
Season at home (4)75.590.0165.5-14.525%
Season away (4)80.588.8169.2-8.250%
Last 10 (10)78.693.5172.1-14.930%
Last 5 (5)79.489.8169.2-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.391.5166.8-16.114%
vs Similar (2)68.069.5137.5-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#3
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H06/08
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
105-86
105
86
+19
H14/08
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
A31/03
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H06/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A08/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H22/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H29/04
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H06/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
95-79
95
79
+16
A07/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A13/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
25-29
19-21
22-19
36-21
12-24
25-23
32-18
20-23
17-32
16-18
23-27
31-27
23-26
19-24
26-17
22-18
19-20
14-13
14-12
14-33
22-13
22-29
21-16
26-26
21-21
18-13
22-13
27-27
18-24
26-6
31-35
26-11
15-25
28-25
26-18
19-20
18-24
20-19
25-29
174.3Avg total
88.3Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.185.5171.6+0.662%
Season at home (4)91.887.5179.2+4.275%
Season away (4)80.583.5164.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)88.386.0174.3+2.360%
Last 5 (5)89.085.4174.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.589.7173.2-6.217%
vs Similar (10)89.493.8183.2-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)96.187.9184.0+8.371%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
Melbourne TigersBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H07/08
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
48-66
48
66
-18
A13/08
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H01/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A07/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A08/04
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H23/04
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A29/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H06/05
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#7
L
34-73
34
73
-39
H13/05
SEABL
89.4Avg total
40.0Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.546.484.8-7.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.346.283.5-8.920%-
Last 30 away (15)39.746.586.2-6.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.049.489.4-9.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.651.290.8-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.947.386.2-8.429%-
vs Similar (2)32.533.065.5-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H06/08
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H14/08
SEABL
Geelong
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A31/03
SEABL
Frankston
#12
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H06/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H22/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/04
SEABL
Albury
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H06/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A07/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A13/05
SEABL
89.9Avg total
43.4Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.645.792.4+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.545.794.2+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)44.745.890.5-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.446.589.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.886.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.046.388.3-4.317%-
vs Similar (10)44.645.289.8-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)50.145.995.9+4.264%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
2
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
31/07/16Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers118-87
08/05/16Melbourne Tigers v Ballarat82-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/17HNW Tasmania65-107
06/05/17HNunawading88-102
29/04/17ACanberra70-64
23/04/17HGeelong80-83
08/04/17ANW Tasmania94-93
07/04/17AHobart Chargers89-115
02/04/17ADandenong69-83
01/04/17HSouthern Sabres69-68
13/08/16AGeelong93-115
07/08/16HNunawading69-105
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/17ANunawading82-92
07/05/17ADandenong95-79
06/05/17HAlbury102-92
29/04/17HBendigo87-73
22/04/17HMt Gambier79-91
08/04/17AKilsyth69-63
06/04/17HFrankston99-94
31/03/17AGeelong76-100
14/08/16HCanberra105-86
06/08/16HMt Gambier89-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers
SEABL 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game78.075.580.5
Allowed / game89.490.088.8
Point differential-11.4-14.5-8.2
Avg total167.4165.5169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
SEABL 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game86.191.880.5
Allowed / game85.587.583.5
Point differential+0.6+4.2-3.0
Avg total171.6179.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nunawading109190%89.579.0+10.5
2 Mt Gambier109190%90.480.6+9.8
3 Hobart Chargers108280%100.679.9+20.7
4 Geelong107370%86.675.7+10.9
5 Ballarat85362%86.185.5+0.6
6 Dandenong116555%79.381.5-2.2
7 Kilsyth105550%77.178.6-1.5
8 Albury94544%92.293.0-0.8
9 Southern Sabres94544%77.881.0-3.2
10 Bendigo125742%82.281.8+0.4
11 Melbourne Tigers83538%78.089.4-11.4
12 NW Tasmania93633%78.283.9-5.7
13 BA CoE61517%76.390.5-14.2
14 Frankston101910%79.192.3-13.2
15 Canberra8080%75.987.8-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne Tigers24149855
Ballarat2325191986
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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