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Spain W vs Canada W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-48
14-10 19-12 15-16 20-10
Position-
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Spain W 🏆
vs
Canada W
Position-
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International Women
Women2024
Meetings · Spain W v Canada W
24 Jul 2024
SPAI68
CANA48
14 Aug 2016
SPAI73
CANA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canada W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Montenegro W
#16
W
78-57
78
57
+21
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
67-42
67
42
+25
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 67
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 67
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 67
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
60-55
60
55
+5
47avg 67
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 67
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-15
10-22
26-6
20-18
15-9
20-22
21-11
20-7
13-9
20-13
14-13
18-14
20-14
12-18
19-14
17-13
15-12
16-18
10-21
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
18-26
18-20
21-23
18-17
16-12
20-13
9-23
15-7
19-24
8-22
23-18
23-8
129.6Avg total
70.1Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.159.5129.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)70.662.4133.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.666.4130.0-2.820%
vs Similar (4)66.064.5130.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (21)79.756.8136.4+22.990%
Canada WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
88-48
88
48
+40
no box
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
no box
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
63-67
63
67
-4
no box
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
81-39
81
39
+42
79avg 70
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
70-53
70
53
+17
67avg 70
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
83avg 70
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
67-55
67
55
+12
65avg 70
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
55-60
55
60
-5
48avg 70
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
L
82-86
82
86
-4
77avg 70
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-7
19-18
23-10
24-13
18-20
20-10
16-21
14-9
17-22
12-17
21-15
13-13
22-17
16-20
26-21
16-15
23-8
19-7
22-10
17-14
17-13
17-18
18-8
18-14
18-12
25-13
22-27
12-16
25-11
16-19
14-9
12-16
12-16
13-20
23-9
7-15
20-20
26-30
21-20
15-16
134.0Avg total
73.1Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.160.9134.0+12.270%
Last 5 (5)70.264.4134.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.084.3144.3-24.30%
vs Similar (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (26)75.960.5136.5+15.473%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Spain WCanada W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro W
#16
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
64.7Avg total
35.4Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.928.665.5+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.329.267.6+9.172%-
Last 30 away (12)34.827.662.4+7.375%-
Last 10 (10)35.429.364.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.668.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.827.457.2+2.480%-
vs Similar (4)29.834.264.0-4.550%-
vs Weaker (21)40.027.867.8+12.276%-
Canada WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
69.5Avg total
37.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.369.2+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.533.170.6+4.559%-
Last 30 away (13)38.528.967.4+9.585%-
Last 10 (10)37.731.869.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.472.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.344.777.0-12.30%-
vs Similar (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (26)38.729.468.1+9.381%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.622.0
44.4%
46.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.44.2
25.6%
31.0%12.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
71.3%13.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canada Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada W: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.321.1
43.7%
46.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.55.0
27.0%
31.0%15.0
🏀 Free throws20.615.3
74.3%
71.3%15.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 24 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
WWLWWLWWWW
Canada W
LLWWWWWLWW
+10.5
Net rating
+17.0
93.7
Offensive rating
97.6
83.3
Defensive rating
80.7
42.9%
Effective FG%
42.8%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
38.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
21.8%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
43.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
25.6%
3-point %
27.0%
78.6%
Assist %
61.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 97.6Defence83.3 · 80.7Shooting42.9% · 42.8%3-point %25.6% · 27.0%Ball care16.2% · 21.8%Off. rebounds26.9% · 43.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Spain W   ■ Canada W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Spain W wins
0
Canada W wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Canada W v Spain W55-60
01/08/21Canada W v Spain W66-76
14/08/16Spain W v Canada W73-60
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HHungary W73-72
09/02/24ACanada W60-55
08/02/24HJapan W75-86
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
25/06/23HBelgium W58-64
24/06/23HHungary W69-60
22/06/23HGermany W67-42
18/06/23HGreece W76-60
16/06/23HMontenegro W78-57
Canada Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HJapan W82-86
09/02/24HSpain W55-60
08/02/24AHungary W67-55
12/11/23HPuerto Rico W77-68
11/11/23AColombia W70-53
09/11/23HVenezuela W81-39
09/07/23APuerto Rico W80-73
09/07/23HUSA W63-67
07/07/23HArgentina W68-60
05/07/23ADominican Republic W88-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Canada W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain W1419152068
Canada W1012161048
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