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Spirou Charleroi vs Donar Groningen Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 28 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeBNXT League· Dome Charleroi (Spiroudome)
Other2026-27
Meetings · Spirou Charleroi v Donar Groningen
28 Apr 2027
SCH v DGR
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
SCH100
DGR97
17 Nov 2024
SCH80
DGR68
26 Apr 2024
SCH76
DGR74
24 Mar 2023
SCH68
DGR71
31 Oct 2018
SCH92
DGR64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spirou Charleroi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCharleroi
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 73
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
96avg 73
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
79avg 73
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
65-69
65
69
-4
21avg 73
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-60
98
60
+38
102avg 73
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
90-63
90
63
+27
90avg 73
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
65-70
65
70
-5
50avg 73
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
W
81-66
81
66
+15
82avg 73
A30/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H05/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H13/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
13-14
17-22
24-21
32-20
26-19
18-20
25-20
19-28
16-19
17-24
30-24
15-20
17-25
18-16
15-8
26-22
24-8
25-15
23-15
27-19
28-11
20-13
15-20
21-14
12-18
12-23
20-15
24-18
21-10
20-20
16-18
20-17
11-13
24-17
22-27
12-19
22-20
21-20
22-15
154.1Avg total
81.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.068.0147.0+11.071%
Season at home (4)79.269.5148.8+9.875%
Season away (3)78.766.0144.7+12.767%
Last 10 (10)81.372.8154.1+8.560%
Last 5 (5)78.069.4147.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.183.8161.9-5.833%
vs Similar (7)82.681.4164.0+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.471.5154.8+11.973%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 74
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 74
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
42avg 74
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
90-114
90
114
-24
72avg 74
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
87avg 74
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
94avg 74
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
no box
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
25-14
13-23
18-22
11-13
29-17
22-23
19-25
19-27
11-28
13-20
20-15
24-31
29-28
12-30
25-25
23-22
20-13
24-18
23-18
24-17
19-22
25-26
28-18
22-25
28-15
25-24
17-16
10-31
26-23
20-19
17-23
22-16
28-27
14-21
19-17
24-24
21-8
22-22
16-16
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.686.7168.3-5.157%
Season at home (3)72.388.0160.3-15.733%
Season away (4)88.585.8174.2+2.875%
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.370%
Last 5 (5)85.482.0167.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.890.8168.6-13.125%
vs Similar (14)85.378.9164.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (4)90.581.8172.2+8.875%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Spirou CharleroiDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#14
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H05/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/11
BNXT League
76.4Avg total
40.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.980.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.839.679.4+0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.282.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.576.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.871.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.244.284.4-3.942%-
vs Similar (7)38.139.978.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.335.378.5+8.082%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#13
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A02/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H14/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A25/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/10
ENBL
Leiden
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A31/10
BNXT League
Alkar
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/11
ENBL
Limburg
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H08/11
BNXT League
AEL
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
ENBL
Rotterdam
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A15/11
BNXT League
86.2Avg total
44.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.881.9+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.286.3+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.886.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.846.287.9-4.425%-
vs Similar (14)42.436.178.4+6.371%-
vs Weaker (4)49.242.091.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
53.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.8
30.5%
32.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.212.8
66.7%
71.0%12.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
32.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
71.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spirou Charleroi
WWWLWWLLWL
Donar Groningen
WWLWWWLLWW
#2
League position
#9
+3.4
Net rating
-1.6
88.7
Offensive rating
94.9
85.3
Defensive rating
96.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
19.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.5%
3-point %
35.5%
60.5%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 94.9Defence85.3 · 96.5Shooting51.1% · 53.5%3-point %30.5% · 35.5%Ball care19.8% · 14.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Spirou Charleroi   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCB Liege77-74
05/11/26HRotterdam77-74
30/10/26ABrussels Basketball81-66
23/10/26HOostende65-70
14/10/26ADonar Groningen90-63
09/10/26HBelfius Mons98-60
03/10/26ALeuven Bears65-69
09/05/26HAntwerp Giants82-95
06/05/26ABelfius Mons101-79
03/05/26AZwolle77-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ARotterdam83-70
11/11/26HAEL83-81
08/11/26HLimburg73-96
03/11/26AAlkar92-80
31/10/26ALeiden96-83
27/10/26HVoluntari90-71
25/10/26AOkapi Aalst90-114
14/10/26HSpirou Charleroi63-90
06/10/26HLeuven Bears81-78
02/10/26AKortrijk85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game79.079.278.7
Allowed / game68.069.566.0
Point differential+11.0+9.8+12.7
Avg total147.0148.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game81.672.388.5
Allowed / game86.788.085.8
Point differential-5.1-15.7+2.8
Avg total168.3160.3174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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