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Spirou Charleroi vs Mechelen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game95.2
EuropeBNXT League· Dome Charleroi (Spiroudome)
Other2026-27
Meetings · Spirou Charleroi v Mechelen
07 Mar 2027
SCH v MECH
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
SCH79
MECH74
03 May 2025
SCH89
MECH75
21 Jan 2024
SCH74
MECH66
22 Sep 2023
SCH90
MECH84
11 Dec 2022
SCH90
MECH74
18 Nov 2022
SCH76
MECH88
17 Dec 2021
SCH79
MECH88
26 Apr 2020
SCH v MECH
upcoming
26 Apr 2019
SCH88
MECH70
03 Nov 2018
SCH85
MECH87
18 Apr 2018
SCH89
MECH61
05 Jan 2018
SCH80
MECH75
24 Mar 2017
SCH87
MECH56
12 Nov 2016
SCH62
MECH78
20 Feb 2016
SCH84
MECH69
10 Oct 2014
SCH80
MECH69
26 Mar 2014
SCH96
MECH78
04 Mar 2014
SCH60
MECH63
24 Jan 2014
SCH105
MECH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spirou Charleroi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Spirou Charleroi
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.7
79.8▼ 0.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.6
65.6▼ 11.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
58%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.1
17.4▲ 1.3
🔥 Form · Mechelen
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.3
89.0▲ 9.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.4
95.2▲ 12.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
59%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.7
18.2▲ 1.5
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H23/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A28/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
98-60
98
60
+38
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
W
90-63
90
63
+27
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#8
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A30/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
16-11
16-19
26-17
17-23
20-23
12-29
16-24
23-21
13-14
17-22
24-21
32-20
26-19
18-20
25-20
19-28
16-19
17-24
30-24
15-20
17-25
18-16
15-8
26-22
24-8
25-15
23-15
27-19
28-11
20-13
15-20
21-14
12-18
12-23
20-15
24-18
21-10
20-20
16-18
154.5Avg total
79.7Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.865.6145.4+14.260%
Season at home (2)81.565.0146.5+16.550%
Season away (3)78.766.0144.7+12.767%
Last 10 (10)79.774.8154.5+4.950%
Last 5 (5)79.865.6145.4+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.183.8161.9-5.833%
vs Similar (8)81.082.2163.2-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.972.9158.8+13.070%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
109-100
109
100
+9
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A30/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
18-29
13-12
20-11
14-22
11-23
15-27
23-27
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
168.9Avg total
81.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.095.2184.2-6.240%
Season at home (2)87.586.0173.5+1.550%
Season away (3)90.0101.3191.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)81.587.4168.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)89.095.2184.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.285.9161.2-10.735%
vs Similar (6)75.782.0157.7-6.333%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
Spirou CharleroiMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A28/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A06/05
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H09/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H09/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A14/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#8
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/10
BNXT League
77.7Avg total
41.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.8+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.981.5-0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.282.0+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.577.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.076.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.244.284.4-3.942%-
vs Similar (8)37.140.677.8-3.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.836.081.8+9.890%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H19/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
86.9Avg total
41.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.279.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.781.9+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)34.143.677.7-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.286.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.648.695.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.542.979.4-6.429%-
vs Similar (6)35.542.578.0-7.017%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.8
30.5%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.212.8
66.7%
71.1%12.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.1%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spirou Charleroi
WLWWLLWLLW
Mechelen
LLWLWWWLLL
#6
League position
#13
+3.4
Net rating
-5.6
88.7
Offensive rating
91.3
85.3
Defensive rating
96.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.5%
3-point %
35.7%
60.5%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 91.3Defence85.3 · 96.9Shooting51.1% · 51.8%3-point %30.5% · 35.7%Ball care19.8% · 16.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Spirou Charleroi   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Spirou Charleroi wins
4
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABrussels Basketball81-66
23/10/26HOostende65-70
14/10/26ADonar Groningen90-63
09/10/26HBelfius Mons98-60
03/10/26ALeuven Bears65-69
09/05/26HAntwerp Giants82-95
06/05/26ABelfius Mons101-79
03/05/26AZwolle77-78
28/04/26AAntwerp Giants65-99
23/04/26HLeuven Bears73-69
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
25/04/26ADonar Groningen63-99
19/04/26HOostende73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game79.881.578.7
Allowed / game65.665.066.0
Point differential+14.2+16.5+12.7
Avg total145.4146.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game89.087.590.0
Allowed / game95.286.0101.3
Point differential-6.2+1.5-11.3
Avg total184.2173.5191.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball54180%81.468.2+13.2
3 Okapi Aalst43175%95.087.0+8.0
4 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
5 Leuven Bears43175%71.569.8+1.8
6 Spirou Charleroi53260%79.865.6+14.2
7 Den Bosch53260%79.880.4-0.6
8 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
9 Leiden42250%73.273.0+0.2
10 Zwolle42250%69.875.8-6.0
11 Donar Groningen42250%79.889.5-9.8
12 Rotterdam52340%76.280.8-4.6
13 Mechelen52340%89.095.2-6.2
14 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
15 CB Liege5050%75.492.4-17.0
16 Belfius Mons4040%64.290.2-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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