PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Spirou Charleroi vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-74
21-20 23-21 15-21 20-12
Position#11
Record10-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#8
Record15-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 25· Dome Charleroi (Spiroudome)
Other2025-26
Meetings · Spirou Charleroi v Mechelen
07 Mar 2027
SCH v MECH
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
SCH79
MECH74
03 May 2025
SCH89
MECH75
21 Jan 2024
SCH74
MECH66
22 Sep 2023
SCH90
MECH84
11 Dec 2022
SCH90
MECH74
18 Nov 2022
SCH76
MECH88
17 Dec 2021
SCH79
MECH88
26 Apr 2020
SCH v MECH
upcoming
26 Apr 2019
SCH88
MECH70
03 Nov 2018
SCH85
MECH87
18 Apr 2018
SCH89
MECH61
05 Jan 2018
SCH80
MECH75
24 Mar 2017
SCH87
MECH56
12 Nov 2016
SCH62
MECH78
20 Feb 2016
SCH84
MECH69
10 Oct 2014
SCH80
MECH69
26 Mar 2014
SCH96
MECH78
04 Mar 2014
SCH60
MECH63
24 Jan 2014
SCH105
MECH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spirou Charleroi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCharleroi
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
96-80
96
80
+16
no box
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 70
A24/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 70
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 70
A07/02
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
W
98-85
98
85
+13
96avg 70
A14/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 70
H18/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
94-103
94
103
-9
83avg 70
A21/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 70
H07/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
82-72
82
72
+10
73avg 70
H13/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
86-55
86
55
+31
91avg 70
A15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
24-21
17-19
26-14
16-18
24-19
22-24
18-29
16-23
19-9
14-22
18-19
12-22
13-23
21-29
19-10
24-26
23-17
26-19
25-23
23-28
28-20
16-25
17-23
24-31
18-27
25-16
27-29
14-20
19-30
16-12
25-20
19-16
22-19
26-17
15-20
27-10
22-14
21-15
16-16
164.6Avg total
82.6Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.186.4169.5-3.345%
Season at home (12)80.681.2161.8-0.650%
Season away (10)86.292.7178.9-6.540%
Last 10 (10)82.682.0164.6+0.640%
Last 5 (5)84.081.6165.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.884.5159.3-9.623%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.988.9172.7-5.043%
vs Weaker (9)86.177.1163.2+9.078%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
92avg 71
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
66-106
66
106
-40
no box
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
67avg 71
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
40-81
40
81
-41
22avg 71
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 71
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
67avg 71
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 71
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
77-71 OT
77
71
+6
70avg 71
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 71
H13/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
75-59
75
59
+16
71avg 71
A15/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-19
24-28
18-15
16-21
20-31
15-30
15-24
15-16
21-15
18-22
20-25
7-19
14-22
6-26
13-14
18-25
17-14
15-17
17-16
20-15
18-13
16-27
22-11
19-14
23-24
32-19
19-27
13-21
15-16
18-15
19-13
10-21
22-25
25-12
11-20
18-19
11-13
23-19
23-8
149.9Avg total
72.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.578.4155.9-0.962%
Season at home (12)81.876.8158.6+5.175%
Season away (12)73.280.1153.2-6.950%
Last 10 (10)72.577.4149.9-4.950%
Last 5 (5)77.871.6149.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.584.2156.8-11.831%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.775.0154.7+4.771%
vs Weaker (6)83.074.5157.5+8.583%
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
Spirou CharleroiMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spirou CharleroiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H31/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A07/02
Belgian Cup
Den Bosch
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A14/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/02
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A21/02
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H13/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A15/03
BNXT League
83.5Avg total
41.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.783.2-2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.780.3+0.873%-
Last 30 away (15)40.645.686.2-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.983.5-0.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.544.881.4-8.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.344.685.9-3.357%-
vs Weaker (9)44.037.681.6+6.478%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A16/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A30/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H18/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H13/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/03
BNXT League
72.4Avg total
34.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.378.7-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.479.7+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.441.277.6-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.438.072.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.270.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.142.278.3-6.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.338.077.3+1.343%-
vs Weaker (6)40.838.879.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Spirou Charleroi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spirou Charleroitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spirou Charleroi: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.117.1
56.8%
54.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.617.8
72.4%
72.4%17.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.2
49.3%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.8
34.9%
34.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
72.4%12.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spirou Charleroi
WWLLLWLLLW
Mechelen
WLWWWLLLLW
#11
League position
#8
-1.8
Net rating
-2.2
92.5
Offensive rating
89.0
94.3
Defensive rating
91.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.6%
3-point %
34.9%
56.6%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 89.0Defence94.3 · 91.1Shooting50.8% · 50.2%3-point %29.6% · 34.9%Ball care16.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds- · 22.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Spirou Charleroi   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Spirou Charleroi wins
4
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ABAL Weert86-55
13/03/26HBAL Weert82-72
07/03/26HBrussels Basketball74-82
21/02/26ADen Helder94-103
18/02/26HLimburg84-96
14/02/26ADen Bosch98-85
07/02/26ALeuven Bears65-84
31/01/26HOkapi Aalst67-73
24/01/26ALWD Basket80-90
17/01/26HRotterdam96-80
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26ALeiden75-59
13/03/26HLeiden68-78
07/03/26ALeuven Bears77-71 OT
21/02/26HKortrijk93-84
18/02/26HBelfius Mons76-66
15/02/26AZwolle67-72
30/01/26AAntwerp Giants40-81
24/01/26HDen Bosch74-78
16/01/26ALimburg66-106
10/01/26HLWD Basket89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game83.180.686.2
Allowed / game86.481.292.7
Point differential-3.3-0.6-6.5
Avg total169.5161.8178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game77.581.873.2
Allowed / game78.476.880.1
Point differential-0.9+5.1-6.9
Avg total155.9158.6153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2319483%96.377.5+18.7
2 Oostende2519676%89.880.6+9.2
3 Okapi Aalst2518772%95.487.4+8.0
4 Kortrijk2416867%87.180.5+6.7
5 Den Bosch2315865%87.982.1+5.8
6 Mechelen2415962%77.578.4-0.9
7 Limburg24141058%89.580.6+8.8
8 Leiden24141058%85.480.2+5.2
9 Donar Groningen2112957%83.284.1-1.0
10 Brussels Basketball24131154%84.181.5+2.7
11 Leuven Bears24111346%80.580.5+0.0
12 Spirou Charleroi22101245%83.186.4-3.3
13 Belfius Mons2491538%85.091.3-6.2
14 Den Helder2481633%81.385.5-4.1
15 Zwolle2481633%80.284.3-4.1
16 LWD Basket2371630%84.394.7-10.5
17 Rotterdam2432112%75.292.1-16.9
18 BAL Weert242228%69.488.1-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spirou Charleroi2123152079
Mechelen2021211274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.