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Sporting CP vs CAB Madeira Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.6
Sporting CP
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
CAB Madeira
Portugal
Position#10
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
PortugalLPBRound 14· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sporting CP v CAB Madeira
23 Jan 2027
SCP v CAB
upcoming
25 Nov 2022
SCP72
CAB 68
26 Mar 2022
SCP94
CAB 75
22 Jan 2021
SCP104
CAB 69
14 Dec 2019
SCP76
CAB 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
97-77
97
77
+20
99avg 77
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
66avg 77
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 77
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 77
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 77
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
91-48
91
48
+43
no box
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
23-24
19-22
21-20
23-32
17-19
18-32
16-29
19-26
21-10
34-11
22-12
14-15
18-23
16-25
23-23
19-15
25-19
17-15
29-13
23-22
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.674.6158.1+9.057%
Season at home (4)86.061.8147.8+24.2100%
Season away (3)80.391.7172.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.481.4164.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.890.0159.8-20.225%
vs Similar (8)80.682.1162.8-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.374.1160.4+12.272%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 75
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 75
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 75
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 75
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 75
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 75
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 75
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 75
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
18-20
18-23
30-20
20-27
18-11
13-29
14-12
17-17
164.7Avg total
80.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.4169.1-3.714%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (4)74.881.2156.0-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.284.5164.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.983.3163.2-3.433%
vs Similar (12)78.876.2155.0+2.558%
vs Weaker (9)84.077.9161.9+6.178%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
Sporting CPCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/11
LPB
81.3Avg total
40.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.380.5+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.485.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.781.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.546.080.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (8)44.645.189.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.237.080.2+6.267%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/11
LPB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.779.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.177.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.080.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.942.183.0-1.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.736.874.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker (9)44.637.882.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.5
49.2%
51.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
31.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
71.1%15.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
WLWLLLWWLW
CAB Madeira
LLLLWLLLLW
#5
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
+0.5
89.3
Offensive rating
92.5
87.2
Defensive rating
92.1
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.4%
3-point %
36.1%
62.5%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 92.5Defence87.2 · 92.1Shooting47.7% · 52.8%3-point %30.4% · 36.1%Ball care15.9% · 16.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Sporting CP   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sporting CP wins
1
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26CAB Madeira v Sporting CP93-84
15/02/23CAB Madeira v Sporting CP84-93
25/11/22Sporting CP v CAB Madeira72-68
26/03/22Sporting CP v CAB Madeira94-75
05/03/22CAB Madeira v Sporting CP83-86
19/12/21CAB Madeira v Sporting CP83-95
22/01/21Sporting CP v CAB Madeira104-69
24/10/20CAB Madeira v Sporting CP72-87
14/12/19Sporting CP v CAB Madeira76-62
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCD Povoa94-69
11/11/26ARilski Sportist76-86
07/11/26HVitoria91-48
04/11/26AEsenler Erokspor70-106
01/11/26ABraga86-98
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABenfica62-69
07/11/26ACA Queluz86-90
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game83.686.080.3
Allowed / game74.661.891.7
Point differential+9.0+24.2-11.3
Avg total158.1147.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.793.374.8
Allowed / game86.493.381.2
Point differential-3.7+0.0-6.5
Avg total169.1186.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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