Sporting CP vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 89-84

24-24 21-19 28-24 16-17

Position#1

Record19-2

FormLWWLW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game67.5

Sporting CP 🏆

Lusitania

Position#6

Record13-7

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game79.1

LPBRound 22

Other2020-21

Meetings · Sporting CP v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nes Ziona

81-86

-5

H26/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ostrow Wielkopolski

83-85

-2

A28/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Szolnoki Olaj

#15

67-78

-11

A29/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Imortal

79-67

+12

H06/02

Taca da Liga

FC Porto

68-72

-4

H07/02

Taca da Liga

Imortal

98-102

102

-4

A09/02

LPB

Academica

82-47

+35

H13/02

LPB

Vitoria

82-77

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

78-81 OT

-3

A07/03

LPB

Barreirense

#14

101-50

101

+51

H10/03

LPB

20-22

16-20

27-16

18-28

19-24

26-21

16-27

22-13

23-19

16-23

18-20

10-16

20-11

14-18

17-22

28-16

23-9

16-20

13-20

16-23

26-24

22-29

17-29

33-20

29-10

21-9

15-20

17-8

20-15

17-17

23-19

22-26

17-18

24-17

9-22

21-14

34-5

22-18

24-17

21-10

156.4Avg total

81.9Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	88.7	67.5	156.2	+21.2	90%
Season at home (11)	90.8	62.9	153.7	+27.9	100%
Season away (10)	86.4	72.6	159.0	+13.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	81.9	74.5	156.4	+7.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	71.4	159.6	+16.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	82.0	85.5	167.5	-3.5	0%
vs Similar (6)	70.8	71.5	142.3	-0.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	90.5	67.9	158.4	+22.5	95%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#13

76-65

+11

A03/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

102-97 OT

102

H09/01

LPB

Imortal

62-76

-14

H15/01

LPB

Academica

84-83

A17/01

LPB

Vitoria

87-70

+17

H24/01

LPB

Oliveirense

95-102

102

-7

A07/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

82-86

-4

A14/02

LPB

Ovarense

#10

97-87

+10

A27/02

LPB

Benfica

89-93

-4

A05/03

LPB

Esgueira

#12

79-75

H07/03

LPB

27-14

17-21

15-15

17-15

28-19

21-25

15-22

21-19

15-20

14-19

18-16

15-21

24-28

26-23

19-13

15-19

17-24

16-13

31-15

23-18

23-24

24-26

24-27

24-25

23-22

14-25

23-8

22-31

25-18

23-24

21-18

28-27

9-20

24-32

26-15

30-26

20-18

22-24

20-16

17-17

168.7Avg total

85.3Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	81.8	79.1	160.9	+2.7	65%
Season at home (10)	79.2	77.5	156.7	+1.7	60%
Season away (10)	84.4	80.7	165.1	+3.7	70%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	83.4	168.7	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	88.6	177.0	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	75.9	83.7	159.6	-7.8	15%
vs Similar (1)	83.0	78.0	161.0	+5.0	100%
vs Weaker (14)	86.1	77.3	163.4	+8.8	93%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sporting CPLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	15.4	38.9	+8.1	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	13.0	37.8	+11.8	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	15.7	38.8	+7.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	14.4	39.6	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	14.2	32.8	+4.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.2	15.1	40.3	+10.2	95%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	31%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.6	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	17.9	39.6	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	16.3	33.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	23.2	43.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	26.2	47.6	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	23%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.8	57%	-

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nes Ziona

36-42

-6

H26/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ostrow Wielkopolski

45-45

A28/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Szolnoki Olaj

#15

39-42

-3

A29/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Imortal

34-29

H06/02

Taca da Liga

FC Porto

39-29

+10

H07/02

Taca da Liga

Imortal

48-53

-5

A09/02

LPB

Academica

50-19

+31

H13/02

LPB

Vitoria

37-32

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

41-35

A07/03

LPB

Barreirense

#14

56-23

+33

H10/03

LPB

77.4Avg total

42.5Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	33.4	77.4	+10.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.3	31.1	75.4	+13.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	36.1	79.7	+7.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	34.9	77.4	+7.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	32.4	78.8	+14.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	43.5	84.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.8	30.5	66.3	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.6	33.2	79.9	+13.4	80%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

#13

44-35

A03/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

49-44

H09/01

LPB

Imortal

29-39

-10

H15/01

LPB

Academica

50-51

-1

A17/01

LPB

Vitoria

33-37

-4

H24/01

LPB

Oliveirense

47-50

-3

A07/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

37-47

-10

A14/02

LPB

Ovarense

#10

48-42

A27/02

LPB

Benfica

33-52

-19

A05/03

LPB

Esgueira

#12

42-42

H07/03

LPB

85.1Avg total

41.2Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.7	80.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	39.3	78.1	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	43.9	85.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	46.6	88.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.3	42.7	80.0	-5.4	15%	-
vs Similar (1)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.3	38.9	80.2	+2.4	57%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.3	38.4	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.2	39.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.4	39.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	16.5	37.7	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.8	39.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	23%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.1	16.9	39.1	+5.2	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.9	39.0	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.6	38.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.0	19.3	36.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.2	17.3	39.5	+4.9	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.2	49.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.8	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	36.3	77.3	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	35.4	78.2	+7.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	37.3	76.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.6	77.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.0	77.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.8	39.3	73.2	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.2	34.5	77.7	+8.8	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.3	79.8	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	39.3	79.9	+1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	39.3	79.6	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.3	80.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	42.0	89.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.6	41.0	79.6	-2.4	23%	-
vs Similar (1)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.8	35.8	77.6	+6.0	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 72.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	15.5	41.9%	52.5%	31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.5	36.5%	32.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	21.0	12.5	59.5%	70.5%	12.5

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	52.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	6.5	25.5%	32.3%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	13.5	62.8%	70.5%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	52.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	6.5	25.5%	32.3%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	13.5	62.8%	70.5%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sporting CP wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
09/12/20	Lusitania v Sporting CP	65-74
08/02/20	Lusitania v Sporting CP	82-94
10/11/19	Sporting CP v Lusitania	91-65

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/21	H	Barreirense	101-50
07/03/21	A	FC Porto	78-81 OT
27/02/21	A	Vitoria	82-77
13/02/21	H	Academica	82-47
09/02/21	A	Imortal	98-102
07/02/21	H	FC Porto	68-72
06/02/21	H	Imortal	79-67
29/01/21	A	Szolnoki Olaj	67-78
28/01/21	A	Ostrow Wielkopolski	83-85
26/01/21	H	Nes Ziona	81-86

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/21	H	Esgueira	79-75
05/03/21	A	Benfica	89-93
27/02/21	A	Ovarense	97-87
14/02/21	A	FC Porto	82-86
07/02/21	A	Oliveirense	95-102
24/01/21	H	Vitoria	87-70
17/01/21	A	Academica	84-83
15/01/21	H	Imortal	62-76
09/01/21	H	CAB Madeira	102-97 OT
03/01/21	A	Maia	76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Points / game	88.7	90.8	86.4
Allowed / game	67.5	62.9	72.6
Point differential	+21.2	+27.9	+13.8
Avg total	156.2	153.7	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	73%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	10%	9%	10%

Lusitania

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	65%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	WWLWL	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	65%	60%	70%
Points / game	81.8	79.2	84.4
Allowed / game	79.1	77.5	80.7
Point differential	+2.7	+1.7	+3.7
Avg total	160.9	156.7	165.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	30%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	10%	10%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	21	19	2	90%	88.7	67.5	+21.2
2	FC Porto	20	18	2	90%	80.5	66.7	+13.8
3	Benfica	21	17	4	81%	90.7	75.0	+15.7
4	Imortal	21	16	5	76%	84.9	76.5	+8.4
5	Oliveirense	21	15	6	71%	84.5	74.3	+10.2
6	Lusitania	20	13	7	65%	81.8	79.1	+2.7
7	Vitoria	21	9	12	43%	77.5	81.2	-3.7
8	CAB Madeira	21	8	13	38%	80.8	85.4	-4.6
9	Academica	21	8	13	38%	74.4	81.4	-7.0
10	Galitos	21	7	14	33%	74.8	83.8	-9.0
11	Esgueira	21	6	15	29%	76.0	80.8	-4.9
12	Ovarense	21	6	15	29%	76.8	84.0	-7.2
13	Maia	21	2	19	10%	71.0	86.4	-15.3
14	Barreirense	19	1	18	5%	70.2	91.6	-21.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sporting CP	24	21	28	16	89
Lusitania	24	19	24	17	84

← all games of the day

Sporting CP vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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