Sporting CP vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 May 2023

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 99-65

19-22 29-14 24-11 27-18

Position#2

Record25-7

FormWLWLW

Points / game90.8

Allowed / game78.4

Sporting CP 🏆

Lusitania

Position#10

Record12-20

FormLLWLL

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game84.7

LPBLPB - Quarter-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Sporting CP v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

89-56

+33

A12/03

LPB

FC Porto

71-72

-1

A19/03

LPB

Oliveirense

94-70

+24

H22/03

LPB

Ovarense

78-70

A25/03

LPB

Benfica

86-99

-13

A01/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

98-59

+39

H08/04

LPB

FC Porto

106-110 OT

106

110

-4

H15/04

LPB

Oliveirense

87-79

A22/04

LPB

Benfica

80-96

-16

H29/04

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

91-77

+14

H06/05

LPB

24-17

19-11

19-14

27-14

18-13

18-21

15-23

20-15

23-16

31-21

14-11

26-22

18-21

20-13

18-18

22-18

24-21

19-25

17-23

26-30

15-19

28-19

25-11

30-10

27-34

16-19

25-24

30-21

22-20

21-19

28-20

16-20

19-27

23-18

16-24

22-27

19-19

28-17

23-28

21-13

166.8Avg total

88.0Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	90.8	78.4	169.2	+12.4	78%
Season at home (16)	91.7	75.9	167.6	+15.8	81%
Season away (16)	89.9	80.9	170.9	+9.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	88.0	78.8	166.8	+9.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	84.2	176.6	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.4	90.6	176.0	-5.2	40%
vs Similar (3)	85.7	85.3	171.0	+0.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.0	74.7	163.6	+14.3	85%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

56-89

-33

H12/03

LPB

Ovarense

66-72

-6

H18/03

LPB

FC Porto

72-94

-22

A22/03

LPB

Benfica

75-91

-16

H26/03

LPB

Oliveirense

71-72

-1

H02/04

LPB

Sporting CP

59-98

-39

A08/04

LPB

Ovarense

67-72

-5

A15/04

LPB

FC Porto

97-92

H22/04

LPB

Imortal

77-82

-5

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

74-107

107

-33

A06/05

LPB

17-24

11-19

14-19

14-27

18-25

20-14

12-13

16-20

17-32

18-22

17-22

20-18

9-31

26-17

15-25

25-18

11-26

20-17

20-19

20-10

19-15

19-28

11-25

10-30

18-14

9-16

21-24

19-18

32-18

16-26

24-21

25-27

17-14

16-25

26-21

18-22

18-31

18-26

19-24

19-26

158.3Avg total

71.4Scored

86.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	77.7	84.7	162.3	-7.0	38%
Season at home (16)	79.4	80.4	159.9	-1.0	56%
Season away (16)	75.9	88.9	164.8	-12.9	19%
Last 10 (10)	71.4	86.9	158.3	-15.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	90.2	165.0	-15.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	76.2	86.8	163.0	-10.5	25%
vs Similar (7)	79.7	78.6	158.3	+1.1	43%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	81.0	167.5	+5.5	100%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sporting CPLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	19.8	43.6	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.5	43.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.8	44.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.6	25.2	49.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.8	18.8	42.5	+5.1	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.9	39.9	-3.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.7	23.1	41.8	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.9	21.9	38.7	-5.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	18.5	45.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	18.3	41.0	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	19.7	36.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.5	18.5	42.0	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.2	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.9	38.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	24.2	39.8	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	15.4	35.4	+4.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

43-28

+15

A12/03

LPB

FC Porto

36-34

A19/03

LPB

Oliveirense

54-37

+17

H22/03

LPB

Ovarense

38-34

A25/03

LPB

Benfica

43-46

-3

A01/04

LPB

Lusitania

#10

43-38

H08/04

LPB

FC Porto

43-53

-10

H15/04

LPB

Oliveirense

43-39

A22/04

LPB

Benfica

42-45

-3

H29/04

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

47-36

+11

H06/05

LPB

82.2Avg total

43.2Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	38.1	84.6	+8.5	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.7	38.7	85.4	+7.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.5	37.4	83.9	+9.1	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	39.0	82.2	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	42.2	85.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	47.0	43.4	90.4	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	47.3	37.2	84.5	+10.0	90%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

28-43

-15

H12/03

LPB

Ovarense

38-39

-1

H18/03

LPB

FC Porto

35-54

-19

A22/03

LPB

Benfica

35-48

-13

H26/03

LPB

Oliveirense

31-43

-12

H02/04

LPB

Sporting CP

38-43

-5

A08/04

LPB

Ovarense

27-30

-3

A15/04

LPB

FC Porto

48-44

H22/04

LPB

Imortal

33-39

-6

A29/04

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

36-57

-21

A06/05

LPB

78.9Avg total

34.9Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	40.7	81.4	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	41.3	78.1	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	44.0	78.9	-9.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	42.6	79.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.5	43.1	80.7	-5.6	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.9	37.3	74.1	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	36.5	83.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.9	38.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	23.2	38.0	-8.4	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.1	42.5	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.1	45%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	19.1	42.7	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	22.2	45.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	24.0	47.6	-0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.3	21.7	46.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	22.3	39.6	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.6	42.8	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	30.5	47.5	-13.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	39.6	81.7	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	38.1	79.4	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	41.1	84.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	38.6	82.6	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	39.6	86.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	47.2	85.6	-8.8	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.7	41.7	86.3	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.6	37.4	79.0	+4.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	42.9	81.9	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	41.5	81.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	44.3	82.1	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	42.9	79.4	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	47.6	86.0	-9.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	38.4	43.5	81.8	-5.1	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.9	41.3	84.1	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	44.5	84.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 71.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	14.7	36.7%	52.4%	29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	32.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	11.7	61.4%	70.4%	11.7

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sporting CP wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/23	Sporting CP v Lusitania	98-59
12/03/23	Lusitania v Sporting CP	56-89
28/01/23	Lusitania v Sporting CP	96-99
05/11/22	Sporting CP v Lusitania	90-83
15/05/22	Lusitania v Sporting CP	78-90
13/05/22	Sporting CP v Lusitania	82-66
19/03/22	Sporting CP v Lusitania	91-64
06/11/21	Lusitania v Sporting CP	83-89
13/03/21	Sporting CP v Lusitania	89-84
09/12/20	Lusitania v Sporting CP	65-74

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/23	H	Ovarense	91-77
29/04/23	H	Benfica	80-96
22/04/23	A	Oliveirense	87-79
15/04/23	H	FC Porto	106-110 OT
08/04/23	H	Lusitania	98-59
01/04/23	A	Benfica	86-99
25/03/23	A	Ovarense	78-70
22/03/23	H	Oliveirense	94-70
19/03/23	A	FC Porto	71-72
12/03/23	A	Lusitania	89-56

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/23	A	Benfica	74-107
29/04/23	A	Imortal	77-82
22/04/23	H	FC Porto	97-92
15/04/23	A	Ovarense	67-72
08/04/23	A	Sporting CP	59-98
02/04/23	H	Oliveirense	71-72
26/03/23	H	Benfica	75-91
22/03/23	A	FC Porto	72-94
18/03/23	H	Ovarense	66-72
12/03/23	H	Sporting CP	56-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	78%
Home	WWWLW	81%
Away	WLWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	78%	81%	75%
Points / game	90.8	91.7	89.9
Allowed / game	78.4	75.9	80.9
Point differential	+12.4	+15.8	+9.0
Avg total	169.2	167.6	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	56%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	38%
Home	LLLLW	56%
Away	LLLLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	38%	56%	19%
Points / game	77.7	79.4	75.9
Allowed / game	84.7	80.4	88.9
Point differential	-7.0	-1.0	-12.9
Avg total	162.3	159.9	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	6%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	62% (8)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	33	27	6	82%	93.3	75.6	+17.7
2	FC Porto	33	26	7	79%	89.3	78.7	+10.5
3	Sporting CP	32	25	7	78%	90.8	78.4	+12.4
4	Oliveirense	32	18	14	56%	76.8	77.8	-1.1
5	CD Povoa	33	16	17	48%	74.0	74.7	-0.8
6	Vitoria	33	16	17	48%	88.8	90.6	-1.8
7	Esgueira	32	14	18	44%	77.8	82.7	-4.9
8	Ovarense	32	14	18	44%	76.5	81.4	-4.9
9	Imortal	32	13	19	41%	78.7	79.9	-1.2
10	Lusitania	32	12	20	38%	77.7	84.7	-7.0
11	CAB Madeira	32	11	21	34%	79.7	83.8	-4.1
12	Sangalhos	32	2	30	6%	70.5	86.1	-15.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sporting CP	19	29	24	27	99
Lusitania	22	14	11	18	65

← all games of the day

Sporting CP vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature