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Sporting CP vs Portimonense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 86-71
Projected total 157.3
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.6
Vs
89%
■ SCP 89%■ PORT 11%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game89.0
PortugalLPBRound 8· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sporting CP v Portimonense
21 Nov 2026
SCP v PORT
upcoming
05 Nov 2023
SCP94
PORT73
14 Oct 2023
SCP101
PORT67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Sporting CP host Portimonense in the LPB. Pythia makes Sporting CP the favourite at 89% and projects 86-71, about 157 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Sporting CP are 4-3 this season (83.6 scored, 74.6 allowed a game), form LLWLW; Portimonense are 1-6 this season (78.7 scored, 89.0 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP win
89.4%fair 1.12
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense win
10.6%fair 9.47
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
97-77
97
77
+20
99avg 77
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 77
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
66avg 77
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 77
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 77
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 77
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
91-48
91
48
+43
no box
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
23-24
19-22
21-20
23-32
17-19
18-32
16-29
19-26
21-10
34-11
22-12
14-15
18-23
16-25
23-23
19-15
25-19
17-15
29-13
23-22
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.674.6158.1+9.057%
Season at home (4)86.061.8147.8+24.2100%
Season away (3)80.391.7172.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.481.4164.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.890.0159.8-20.225%
vs Similar (8)80.682.1162.8-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.374.1160.4+12.272%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 73
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
58avg 73
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
81avg 73
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
44avg 73
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
62avg 73
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 73
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 73
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
68avg 73
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
21-24
13-19
20-15
18-16
19-16
19-27
16-14
18-29
15-19
14-19
15-23
30-23
41-21
13-25
15-14
18-27
167.2Avg total
79.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.789.0167.7-10.314%
Season at home (4)83.590.0173.5-6.525%
Season away (3)72.387.7160.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)79.887.4167.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.283.1159.3-6.825%
vs Similar (6)73.874.7148.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (12)82.177.9160.0+4.258%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161
Over 161
40.3%
Under 161
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
28.8%
Under 166
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
19.3%
Under 171
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sporting CP total 81
Over 81
69.4%
Under 81
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP total 85
Over 85
53.4%
Under 85
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP total 89
Over 89
36.9%
Under 89
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense total 77.5
Over 77.5
27.1%
Under 77.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense total 81.5
Over 81.5
16.0%
Under 81.5
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense total 85.5
Over 85.5
8.6%
Under 85.5
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sporting CP -3
SCP -3
85.5%
PORT +3
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
SCP
No market prices yet.
PORT
No market prices yet.
Spread Sporting CP 0
SCP 0
89.4%
PORT 0
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
SCP
No market prices yet.
PORT
No market prices yet.
Spread Sporting CP +3
SCP +3
92.9%
PORT -3
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
SCP
No market prices yet.
PORT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
Sporting CPPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
CD Povoa
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/11
LPB
81.3Avg total
40.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.380.5+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.485.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.781.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.546.080.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (8)44.645.189.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.237.080.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/11
LPB
84.7Avg total
39.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.577.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.680.0-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.476.1-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.184.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.343.080.3-5.725%-
vs Similar (6)36.538.575.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (12)38.138.977.0-0.842%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.5
49.2%
51.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
31.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
71.1%15.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.914.1
61.6%
71.1%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
WLWLLLWWLW
Portimonense
WLLLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#11
+2.1
Net rating
-10.0
89.3
Offensive rating
79.5
87.2
Defensive rating
89.5
47.7%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.4%
3-point %
28.5%
62.5%
Assist %
76.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 79.5Defence87.2 · 89.5Shooting47.7% · 47.0%3-point %30.4% · 28.5%Ball care15.9% · 20.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sporting CP wins
0
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Portimonense v Sporting CP62-86
05/11/23Sporting CP v Portimonense94-73
14/10/23Sporting CP v Portimonense101-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCD Povoa94-69
11/11/26ARilski Sportist76-86
07/11/26HVitoria91-48
04/11/26AEsenler Erokspor70-106
01/11/26ABraga86-98
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEsgueira97-96 OT
07/11/26ACD Povoa74-84
31/10/26HBenfica72-86
24/10/26AVitoria72-74
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game83.686.080.3
Allowed / game74.661.891.7
Point differential+9.0+24.2-11.3
Avg total158.1147.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game78.783.572.3
Allowed / game89.090.087.7
Point differential-10.3-6.5-15.3
Avg total167.7173.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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