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Sporting CP vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-75 (OT)
20-16 23-18 15-13 10-21 11-7
Position#28
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sporting CP 🏆
vs
Rilski Sportist
Position#42
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Pavilhão João Rocha
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
68avg 80
H11/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 80
H18/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
61-64
61
64
-3
37avg 80
A25/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
109-67
109
67
+42
116avg 80
H10/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
85-73
85
73
+12
83avg 80
A14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 80
H23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 80
H25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
60avg 80
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
72avg 80
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 80
A03/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
14-18
20-23
21-18
12-13
19-18
26-27
26-11
17-19
17-20
16-10
11-15
27-21
30-20
25-9
27-17
25-18
23-18
19-21
18-16
20-23
19-23
18-17
13-18
30-20
27-20
14-14
17-19
20-21
21-27
19-21
16-17
14-30
33-27
28-19
11-18
19-19
22-19
13-19
17-27
157.6Avg total
80.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.377.3157.6+3.040%
Last 5 (5)78.283.6161.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.086.2159.2-13.217%
vs Similar (7)81.483.3164.7-1.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.274.6164.8+15.682%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
85avg 84
H30/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 84
A02/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
76avg 84
H10/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
97-75
97
75
+22
98avg 84
H12/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
85avg 84
A15/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 84
A17/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
85avg 84
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
108-99
108
99
+9
106avg 84
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 84
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#10
L
80-126
80
126
-46
66avg 84
A14/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-15
22-17
23-18
19-14
23-25
23-18
25-23
19-19
23-23
24-22
21-15
24-15
27-17
16-21
30-22
17-20
21-26
20-27
31-26
22-22
19-31
21-28
26-18
21-24
16-26
28-17
22-25
33-22
25-28
28-29
22-20
25-22
26-17
26-23
23-32
16-25
22-32
18-37
24-32
182.7Avg total
91.5Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.591.2182.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)92.6102.0194.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)86.883.5170.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (23)94.382.0176.2+12.383%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Sporting CPRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H18/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H10/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A29/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A31/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
LPB
84.5Avg total
42.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.784.7+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.482.7+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.186.6+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.784.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.890.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.241.577.7-5.350%-
vs Similar (7)46.146.692.7-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.838.183.8+7.782%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/04
NBL
Beroe
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H12/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A15/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A17/05
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H20/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H23/05
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#10
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A14/09
Champions League
88.4Avg total
44.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.787.4+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.841.488.2+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)44.841.986.7+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.288.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.049.894.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)44.239.283.3+5.067%-
vs Weaker (23)46.441.788.1+4.774%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.8
54.3%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.1
27.4%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.217.6
69.8%
72.8%17.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.325.0
62.0%
53.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.717.6
71.3%
72.8%17.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
LLLWLWWLWL
Rilski Sportist
LWWLLLWWWW
#28
League position
#42
+3.4
Net rating
-0.2
92.2
Offensive rating
105.0
88.9
Defensive rating
105.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
56.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.4%
3-point %
32.2%
64.3%
Assist %
65.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 105.0Defence88.9 · 105.2Shooting48.2% · 56.9%3-point %27.4% · 32.2%Ball care13.2% · 12.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sporting CP wins
0
Rilski Sportist wins
No previous meetings.
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26ABenfica71-84
31/05/26AFC Porto86-94
29/05/26AFC Porto76-86
25/05/26HFC Porto88-73
23/05/26HFC Porto70-81
14/05/26AEsgueira85-73
10/05/26HEsgueira109-67
25/04/26AImortal61-64
18/04/26HCA Queluz83-69
11/04/26HOliveirense74-82
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/26ABreogan80-126
25/05/26ACherno More100-94
23/05/26HCherno More108-99
20/05/26HLok. Plovdiv87-92
17/05/26ALok. Plovdiv88-99
15/05/26ALok. Plovdiv89-99
12/05/26HLok. Plovdiv97-75
10/05/26HLok. Plovdiv87-79
02/05/26ABeroe90-80
30/04/26HBeroe89-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rilski Sportist
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier110100%92.059.0+33.0
2 Esenler Erokspor110100%92.063.0+29.0
3 Dziki Warszawa110100%103.076.0+27.0
4 CSM Oradea110100%93.067.0+26.0
5 VEF Riga110100%106.083.0+23.0
6 Geneva Lions110100%105.083.0+22.0
7 Mykonos110100%78.058.0+20.0
8 Keravnos110100%88.070.0+18.0
9 Denizli Basket110100%83.069.0+14.0
10 Promitheas110100%91.077.0+14.0
11 Basquet Girona110100%87.075.0+12.0
12 Kolossos Rhodes110100%77.065.0+12.0
13 Benfica110100%91.081.0+10.0
14 Zielona Gora110100%90.080.0+10.0
15 AEK Larnaca110100%73.065.0+8.0
16 Chalon/Saone110100%79.072.0+7.0
17 Oostende110100%76.069.0+7.0
18 Szczecin110100%88.081.0+7.0
19 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%84.078.0+6.0
20 Split110100%74.068.0+6.0
21 Iraklis110100%64.059.0+5.0
22 Bashkimi110100%79.077.0+2.0
23 Nancy110100%66.065.0+1.0
24 Dinamo Bucharest32167%92.076.0+16.0
25 BC Prievidza32167%90.077.0+13.0
26 Neftchi IK31233%66.372.7-6.3
27 Parnu31233%70.076.3-6.3
28 Vienna Basket1010%65.066.0-1.0
29 Valmiera Glass Via1010%77.079.0-2.0
30 MZT Skopje1010%59.064.0-5.0
31 Korfez Basket1010%78.084.0-6.0
32 Opava1010%68.074.0-6.0
33 Levice1010%69.076.0-7.0
34 Manchester Basketball1010%72.079.0-7.0
35 Nitra Blue Wings1010%81.088.0-7.0
36 Wurzburg1010%65.073.0-8.0
37 Bakken Bears1010%81.091.0-10.0
38 Szolnoki Olaj1010%80.090.0-10.0
39 SCM Craiova1010%65.077.0-12.0
40 Trepca1010%77.091.0-14.0
41 Absheron Lions1010%83.0105.0-22.0
42 Lok. Plovdiv1010%83.0106.0-23.0
43 Fribourg Olympic1010%67.093.0-26.0
44 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
45 Tartu Ulikool1010%76.0103.0-27.0
46 Gence1010%63.092.0-29.0
47 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
48 Batumi1010%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sporting CP202315101179
Rilski Sportist16181321775
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