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Sporting CP vs SCM Craiova Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 87-81
Projected total 168.0
Scheduled
Position#28
Record3-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.3
Sporting CP
Vs
70%
30%
■ SCP 70%■ SCM 30%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
SCM Craiova
Position#34
Record2-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game96.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Pavilhão João Rocha
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Sporting CP will host SCM Craiova in the FIBA Europe Cup on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 70% to 30% for the visitors. Sporting CP finished the season 3-3, scoring 76.7 points per game while conceding 80.3, and sit 28th in the league; at home they are unbeaten 2-0, averaging 75.0 points and allowing 72.0. Their last five games yielded one win and four losses, including a 76-86 defeat to Rilski Sportist away, a 91-48 home victory over Vitoria, and a 70-106 loss to Esenler Erokspor away. SCM Craiova are 2-4 overall, posting 88.0 points per game and 96.3 allowed, positioned 34th; on the road they are 0-2, averaging 80.5 points and 97.5 allowed. Their recent five games show three wins and two losses, with a 105-96 home win over Gence, a 107-105 away win against CSU Sibiu, and an 82-104 home loss to Kolossos Rhodes. In the only prior meeting, Sporting CP prevailed 97-77 on 14 October 2026. The model projects a 87-81 scoreline, 168 total points, and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP win
70.3%fair 1.42
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SCM Craiova win
29.7%fair 3.37
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#12
W
88-60
88
60
+28
88avg 79
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#34
W
97-77
97
77
+20
99avg 79
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 79
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
66avg 79
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 79
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 79
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 79
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
70-106
70
106
-36
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
91-48
91
48
+43
no box
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
23-8
23-18
22-17
23-20
25-23
25-14
24-20
22-23
20-26
20-25
22-19
15-21
22-20
15-10
14-15
16-24
22-12
14-16
19-18
18-20
15-18
14-16
20-15
23-24
19-22
21-20
23-32
17-19
18-32
16-29
19-26
21-10
34-11
22-12
14-15
18-23
16-25
23-23
19-15
157.7Avg total
80.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.780.3157.0-3.750%
Season at home (2)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season away (4)77.584.5162.0-7.025%
Last 10 (10)80.177.6157.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)78.081.4159.4-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.287.6160.8-14.440%
vs Similar (8)80.682.1162.8-1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.974.4160.3+11.571%
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SCM CraiovaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCraiova
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#8
W
113-98
113
98
+15
118avg 83
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
50avg 83
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#13
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 83
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#28
L
77-97
77
97
-20
67avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
73avg 83
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
96-118
96
118
-22
89avg 83
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
103-86
103
86
+17
99avg 83
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
107-105
107
105
+2
95avg 83
A01/11
Divizia A
Gence
#43
W
105-96
105
96
+9
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
82-104
82
104
-22
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
31-18
29-19
27-42
19-12
16-20
11-20
19-25
30-22
17-31
28-26
33-20
20-23
23-25
14-25
20-24
28-20
22-26
22-23
12-26
14-34
22-34
29-27
31-23
16-16
21-17
37-22
29-31
23-26
33-26
26-24
25-29
20-23
32-27
22-25
31-21
14-24
13-25
26-26
29-29
191.5Avg total
94.0Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.096.3184.3-8.333%
Season at home (4)91.895.8187.5-4.050%
Season away (2)80.597.5178.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)94.097.5191.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)98.6101.8200.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.195.9176.0-15.80%
vs Similar (13)95.087.5182.5+7.569%
vs Weaker (8)101.691.4193.0+10.275%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1354%1405%1458%15010%15511%16012%16512%17010%1758%1806%1854%1903%1951%2001%2050%2100%215
1%1252%1355%14510%15512%16510%1756%1853%1951%2050%215
Pythia expects about 168 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
68.8%
Under 160
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
56.8%
Under 165
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
44.2%
Under 170
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sporting CP total 80.5
Over 80.5
74.1%
Under 80.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP total 84.5
Over 84.5
60.9%
Under 84.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP total 88.5
Over 88.5
46.2%
Under 88.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCM Craiova total 76.5
Over 76.5
64.5%
Under 76.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCM Craiova total 80.5
Over 80.5
49.6%
Under 80.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCM Craiova total 84.5
Over 84.5
34.9%
Under 84.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-270%-241%-211%-183%-154%-125%-97%-68%-36%+010%+310%+69%+98%+127%+156%+185%+213%+242%+272%+301%+331%+360%+39
0%-241%-184%-127%-66%+010%+68%+126%+183%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Sporting CP's side (positive = Sporting CP win). Pythia's expected margin is +6.9; Sporting CP win by 1+ in 64% of simulations.
Spread Sporting CP -3
SCP -3
63.5%
SCM +3
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
SCP
No market prices yet.
SCM
No market prices yet.
Spread Sporting CP 0
SCP 0
70.3%
SCM 0
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
SCP
No market prices yet.
SCM
No market prices yet.
Spread Sporting CP +3
SCP +3
77.0%
SCM -3
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
SCP
No market prices yet.
SCM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
Sporting CPSCM Craiova
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#12
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H10/10
LPB
SCM Craiova
#34
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CAB Madeira
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/10
LPB
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/10
LPB
Gence
#43
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/11
LPB
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#9
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H07/11
LPB
Rilski Sportist
#41
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
80.5Avg total
40.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.282.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.436.580.9+7.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.143.484.6-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.880.5+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.880.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.442.680.0-5.240%-
vs Similar (8)44.645.189.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.237.280.4+6.165%-
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SCM CraiovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#8
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#13
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#28
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#9
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A01/11
Divizia A
Gence
#43
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
90.8Avg total
44.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.789.1-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.543.688.1+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)44.245.789.9-1.562%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.890.8-2.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.650.492.0-8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.949.887.7-11.911%-
vs Similar (13)46.641.588.2+5.169%-
vs Weaker (8)47.944.292.1+3.675%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.5
49.2%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.515.4
68.4%
72.8%15.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SCM Craiovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SCM Craiova: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.7
60.2%
53.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.6
36.3%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
72.8%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
LWLLLWWLWW
SCM Craiova
LWWWLLLWLW
#28
League position
#34
+2.1
Net rating
+2.3
89.3
Offensive rating
105.0
87.2
Defensive rating
102.7
47.7%
Effective FG%
57.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.4%
3-point %
36.3%
62.5%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 105.0Defence87.2 · 102.7Shooting47.7% · 57.7%3-point %30.4% · 36.3%Ball care15.9% · 14.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sporting CP   ■ SCM Craiova
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sporting CP wins
0
SCM Craiova wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26SCM Craiova v Sporting CP77-97
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ARilski Sportist76-86
07/11/26HVitoria91-48
04/11/26AEsenler Erokspor70-106
01/11/26ABraga86-98
29/10/26AGence67-69
24/10/26HOvarense71-70
21/10/26HKolossos Rhodes71-69 OT
17/10/26ACAB Madeira84-93
14/10/26ASCM Craiova97-77
10/10/26HEsgueira88-60
SCM Craiovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HKolossos Rhodes82-104
04/11/26HGence105-96
01/11/26ACSU Sibiu107-105
28/10/26HRilski Sportist103-86
21/10/26AEsenler Erokspor96-118
17/10/26AArges Pitesti84-95
14/10/26HSporting CP77-97
11/10/26HMunicipal Galati108-99
07/10/26AKolossos Rhodes65-77
03/10/26ACorona Brasov113-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game76.775.077.5
Allowed / game80.372.084.5
Point differential-3.7+3.0-7.0
Avg total157.0147.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %33%100%0%
SCM Craiova
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game88.091.880.5
Allowed / game96.395.897.5
Point differential-8.3-4.0-17.0
Avg total184.3187.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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