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St. Louis Billikens vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-70
36-33 33-37
Position#13
Record28-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game69.5
St. Louis Billikens
USA
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#65
Record22-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Louis Billikens v Dayton
09 Jan 2027
ST. v DAYT
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ST. 69
DAYT70
30 Jan 2026
ST. 102
DAYT71
31 Jan 2025
ST. 63
DAYT71
05 Mar 2024
ST. 83
DAYT100
03 Mar 2023
ST. 65
DAYT61
05 Feb 2022
ST. 72
DAYT61
26 Jan 2021
ST. 71
DAYT76
17 Jan 2020
ST. 76
DAYT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Louis Billikens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Louis BillikensUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A04/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H07/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
86-59
86
59
+27
A14/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A18/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A25/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H05/03
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
57-86
57
86
-29
A07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-46
50-36
31-27
51-31
39-29
47-30
37-43
39-38
33-42
55-33
28-44
34-33
39-41
52-35
40-32
39-33
34-43
23-43
34-48
54-33
154.0Avg total
80.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.869.5157.3+18.388%
Season at home (22)91.568.0159.5+23.595%
Season away (10)79.672.8152.4+6.870%
Last 10 (10)80.074.0154.0+6.070%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)86.170.3156.3+15.886%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-30
31-40
27-50
46-49
34-26
36-33
43-36
39-31
42-39
36-27
44-28
33-34
34-31
34-35
40-32
25-28
36-37
26-31
30-27
38-36
139.5Avg total
71.5Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.969.9144.8+5.069%
Season at home (20)77.366.5143.8+10.880%
Season away (12)70.875.5146.3-4.750%
Last 10 (10)71.568.0139.5+3.580%
Last 5 (5)68.063.8131.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.283.4154.6-12.220%
vs Similar (18)74.369.2143.5+5.172%
vs Weaker (7)76.965.0141.9+11.986%
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +0.0+0.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +0.0+0.0
St. Louis BillikensDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Louis BillikensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A04/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A18/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H21/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H05/03
NCAA
George Mason
#47
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/03
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H13/03
NCAA
75.1Avg total
35.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.032.873.8+8.270%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.032.274.2+9.875%-
Last 30 away (10)39.133.973.0+5.260%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.575.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.676.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)40.233.573.7+6.769%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.969.2+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.330.468.7+7.889%-
Last 30 away (12)33.336.770.0-3.342%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.670.7+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.067.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.839.673.4-5.820%-
vs Similar (18)36.431.467.8+5.083%-
vs Weaker (7)37.932.170.0+5.771%-
This opponent (St. Louis Billikens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
St. Louis Billikens wins
7
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26Dayton v St. Louis Billikens77-62
31/01/26St. Louis Billikens v Dayton102-71
05/03/25Dayton v St. Louis Billikens75-67
01/02/25St. Louis Billikens v Dayton63-71
06/03/24St. Louis Billikens v Dayton83-100
17/01/24Dayton v St. Louis Billikens70-65
04/03/23St. Louis Billikens v Dayton65-61
11/02/23Dayton v St. Louis Billikens70-56
05/02/22St. Louis Billikens v Dayton72-61
12/01/22Dayton v St. Louis Billikens68-63
St. Louis Billikenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HGeorge Washington88-81
07/03/26AGeorge Mason57-86
05/03/26HLoyola Chicago79-65
01/03/26HDuquesne91-76
25/02/26ADayton62-77
21/02/26HVCU Rams88-75
18/02/26ARhode Island76-81
14/02/26ALoyola Chicago86-59
07/02/26HLa Salle82-58
04/02/26ADavidson91-82
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HSt. Bonaventure68-63
07/03/26HVCU Rams62-68
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66
25/02/26HSt. Louis Billikens77-62
21/02/26HDuquesne78-66
19/02/26AGeorge Mason82-67
15/02/26HDavidson70-59
07/02/26AVCU Rams73-99
04/02/26HSt. Bonaventure72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Louis Billikens
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWLLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322210
Win %88%95%70%
Points / game87.891.579.6
Allowed / game69.568.072.8
Point differential+18.3+23.5+6.8
Avg total157.3159.5152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%82%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game74.977.370.8
Allowed / game69.966.575.5
Point differential+5.0+10.8-4.7
Avg total144.8143.8146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens3228488%87.869.5+18.3
2 VCU Rams3225778%82.172.0+10.1
3 George Mason3223972%73.367.5+5.8
4 Dayton32221069%74.969.9+5.0
5 Saint Josephs Hawks32221069%73.669.7+3.9
6 Davidson33201361%71.767.4+4.3
7 George Washington33181555%82.173.7+8.3
8 Duquesne33181555%78.375.2+3.1
9 Fordham32171553%69.865.5+4.4
10 St. Bonaventure34171750%76.474.5+1.9
11 Rhode Island32161650%69.968.2+1.7
12 Richmond Spiders32151747%76.773.9+2.8
13 La Salle3292328%67.174.1-6.9
14 Loyola Chicago3392427%66.875.8-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Louis Billikens363369
Dayton333770
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