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St. Marys (CA) vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 75-58
33-36 42-22
Position#35
Record10-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game58.0
vs
Position#49
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Missouri State
23 Dec 2023
ST. 64
MISS69
07 Dec 2022
ST. 66
MISS46
22 Dec 2021
ST. 75
MISS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#132
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H18/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Oregon
#148
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H24/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H30/11
NCAA
Utah State
#170
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A03/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A04/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H11/12
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#456
W
76-39
76
39
+37
H15/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
37-36
31-31
31-28
23-15
39-35
31-25
24-36
30-28
37-22
16-20
44-38
24-35
34-39
38-22
42-37
27-28
49-11
25-26
28-37
122.3Avg total
64.6Scored
57.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.958.0124.9+8.977%
Season at home (10)69.955.9125.8+14.090%
Season away (3)57.065.0122.0-8.033%
Last 10 (10)64.657.7122.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)65.458.6124.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)58.068.4126.4-10.425%
vs Similar ◀ (14)62.658.1120.6+4.571%
vs Weaker (7)69.655.7125.3+13.986%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
92-66
92
66
+26
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
A02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H04/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A09/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-22
44-33
55-25
37-41
43-45
33-32
32-19
40-35
34-32
30-32
27-35
41-39
42-28
39-27
27-25
42-35
40-33
35-30
45-30
61-40
144.3Avg total
79.0Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.267.7147.8+12.567%
Season at home (8)79.869.6149.4+10.162%
Season away (4)81.063.8144.8+17.275%
Last 10 (10)79.065.3144.3+13.770%
Last 5 (5)79.864.4144.2+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.871.8131.6-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.561.2134.7+12.383%
vs Weaker (18)77.866.9144.7+10.878%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +5.8+5.8
St. Marys (CA)Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#132
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H23/11
NCAA
Oregon
#148
W
23-15
23
15
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#38
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H24/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H30/11
NCAA
Utah State
#170
L
16-20
16
20
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A04/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H11/12
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#456
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H15/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A18/12
NCAA
53.9Avg total
28.1Scored
25.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.628.657.2-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (20)30.626.657.2+4.065%-
Last 30 away (10)24.532.557.0-8.020%-
Last 10 (10)28.125.853.9+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)26.026.252.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)26.534.060.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)28.425.453.8+3.157%-
vs Weaker (7)30.927.658.4+3.371%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
55-25
55
25
+30
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H04/12
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A09/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#119
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H11/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#294
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H19/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
37.8Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.267.5+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.730.865.5+3.867%-
Last 30 away (12)38.831.770.5+7.275%-
Last 10 (10)37.829.467.2+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.266.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.038.669.6-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.028.063.0+7.083%-
vs Weaker (18)38.130.568.6+7.678%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21ASan Diego State53-63
15/12/21HCalifornia State-Stanislaus Warriors76-39
11/12/21HUC Santa Barbara80-59
04/12/21AColorado State58-74
03/12/21AUtah State60-58
30/11/21HUC Riverside67-50
24/11/21HWisconsin55-61
24/11/21HOregon62-50
23/11/21HNotre Dame62-59
18/11/21HBellarmine73-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21HCentral Arkansas106-70
16/12/21HSouth Dakota St.75-63
11/12/21HOral Roberts69-60
09/12/21AUALR81-55
04/12/21HBrigham Young68-74
02/12/21AIllinois State74-79 OT
24/11/21HGeorge Washington72-54
24/11/21HEast Tennessee St76-77
23/11/21ALong Beach State92-66
18/11/21ASam Houston St.77-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %77%90%33%
Points / game66.969.957.0
Allowed / game58.055.965.0
Point differential+8.9+14.0-8.0
Avg total124.9125.8122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%62%75%
Points / game80.279.881.0
Allowed / game67.769.663.8
Point differential+12.5+10.1+17.2
Avg total147.8149.4144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Francisco1312192%73.461.9+11.5
2 Gonzaga1210283%85.062.5+22.5
3 St. Marys (CA)1310377%66.958.0+8.9
4 Seattle139469%76.365.1+11.2
5 Santa Clara1510567%76.567.9+8.6
6 Washington State138562%75.763.3+12.4
7 Portland159660%74.972.1+2.7
8 San Diego Toreros127558%67.358.7+8.7
9 Loyola Marymount127558%68.868.6+0.2
10 Pacific145936%66.467.3-0.9
11 Pepperdine145936%67.772.9-5.1
12 Oregon State1221017%67.272.1-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State1311285%76.568.3+8.2
2 Louisiana Tech129375%80.770.5+10.2
3 Middle Tenn. St.139469%77.166.9+10.2
4 Delaware139469%75.469.5+5.8
5 Liberty128467%70.256.8+13.4
6 Missouri State128467%80.267.7+12.5
7 Western Kentucky138562%77.267.9+9.2
8 UTEP127558%70.065.1+4.9
9 Jacksonville State126650%72.167.5+4.6
10 Sam Houston St.135838%72.566.5+6.0
11 Kennesaw State124833%76.273.4+2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)334275
Missouri State362258
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