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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs South Dakota St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-72
36-40 37-32
Position#57
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#108
Record10-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v South Dakota St.
28 Jan 2027
ST. v SOUT
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
ST. 80
SOUT67
22 Jan 2026
ST. 74
SOUT69
08 Jan 2025
ST. 73
SOUT72
11 Jan 2024
ST. 80
SOUT81
26 Jan 2023
ST. 60
SOUT54
20 Jan 2022
ST. 77
SOUT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Dakota St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H14/12
NCAA
Crown College
#535
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H15/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A21/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A29/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A03/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
43-37
47-25
51-51
47-32
40-43
40-39
48-42
36-34
41-37
53-29
47-32
46-20
47-48
36-26
37-47
41-39
48-46
41-29
47-51
161.1Avg total
86.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.573.8159.3+11.671%
Season at home (7)90.670.7161.3+19.986%
Season away (10)81.976.0157.9+5.960%
Last 10 (10)86.474.7161.1+11.780%
Last 5 (5)89.875.0164.8+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.173.0148.1+2.143%
vs Weaker (20)78.271.8150.0+6.365%
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
75-55
75
55
+20
A26/11
NCAA
Dakota Wesleyan
#402
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A05/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H08/12
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A12/12
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A14/12
NCAA
Chadron S.
#390
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
82-105
82
105
-23
A29/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-44
40-39
36-24
39-31
39-28
39-34
27-38
40-33
42-22
32-31
37-30
26-47
35-40
35-41
47-30
40-42
33-57
49-48
46-19
45-51
149.8Avg total
76.9Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.771.0149.7+7.762%
Season at home (10)83.168.7151.8+14.480%
Season away (6)71.374.8146.2-3.533%
Last 10 (10)76.972.9149.8+4.050%
Last 5 (5)78.681.0159.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.577.5150.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.974.3145.2-3.433%
vs Weaker (18)80.767.6148.2+13.183%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.2-1.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -1.2-1.2
St. Thomas (Minn.)South Dakota St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A24/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A05/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Crown College
#535
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A21/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A29/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A03/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#312
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A04/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
40.9Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.531.569.9+7.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.432.073.4+9.471%-
Last 30 away (16)35.931.066.9+4.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.930.571.4+10.490%-
Last 5 (5)43.428.672.0+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.132.469.6+4.757%-
vs Weaker (20)37.231.668.8+5.660%-
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#55
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A26/11
NCAA
Dakota Wesleyan
#402
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A05/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H08/12
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/12
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Chadron S.
#390
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H20/12
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A29/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H03/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
38.4Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.270.8+4.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.031.671.6+8.467%-
Last 30 away (12)34.035.869.8-1.825%-
Last 10 (10)38.433.271.6+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.274.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.036.569.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.838.271.0-5.422%-
vs Weaker (18)40.030.670.6+9.467%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ANorth Dakota88-80
03/01/25ANorth Dakota St89-85
29/12/24AUC Riverside79-81 OT
21/12/24ABowling Green93-68
15/12/24HCrown College100-61
14/12/24HWestern Michigan77-71
07/12/24HMontana88-81
05/12/24ANorthern Colorado87-75
03/12/24HChicago State98-76
24/11/24AWisc. Milwaukee65-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HDenver91-70
29/12/24AAlabama82-105
20/12/24HChadron S.87-72
14/12/24AColorado70-81
12/12/24ANevada63-77
08/12/24HEast. Washington74-53
05/12/24AMontana67-71
03/12/24HDakota Wesleyan78-62
26/11/24AMissouri State75-55
25/11/24HBoise State82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %71%86%60%
Points / game85.590.681.9
Allowed / game73.870.776.0
Point differential+11.6+19.9+5.9
Avg total159.3161.3157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
South Dakota St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game78.783.171.3
Allowed / game71.068.774.8
Point differential+7.7+14.4-3.5
Avg total149.7151.8146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1712571%85.573.8+11.6
2 North Dakota St1711665%80.972.2+8.8
3 South Dakota St.1610662%78.771.0+7.7
4 UMKC1710759%77.464.6+12.8
5 South Dakota Coyotes1710759%84.979.5+5.4
6 Nebraska O.178947%72.574.9-2.5
7 North Dakota1761135%75.977.2-1.2
8 Denver1761135%75.980.4-4.5
9 Oral Roberts1441029%73.575.7-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)363773
South Dakota St.403272
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