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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs South Dakota St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 80-67
0-0 39-37 0-0 41-30
Position#42
Record23-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game72.0
St. Thomas (Minn.) 🏆
USA
vs
South Dakota St.
USA
Position#254
Record14-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v South Dakota St.
28 Jan 2027
ST. v SOUT
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
ST. 80
SOUT67
22 Jan 2026
ST. 74
SOUT69
08 Jan 2025
ST. 73
SOUT72
11 Jan 2024
ST. 80
SOUT81
26 Jan 2023
ST. 60
SOUT54
20 Jan 2022
ST. 77
SOUT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Dakota St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
104-64
104
64
+40
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-39
0-0
53-39
0-0
43-35
0-0
37-46
0-0
52-25
0-0
47-39
0-0
31-28
0-0
46-34
0-0
39-36
0-0
53-39
0-0
42-47
0-0
52-51
0-0
43-29
0-0
61-35
0-0
39-37
0-0
41-45
0-0
50-27
0-0
34-35
0-0
31-28
0-0
37-25
158.7Avg total
86.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.372.0155.3+11.374%
Season at home (16)86.068.6154.6+17.494%
Season away (15)80.475.7156.1+4.753%
Last 10 (10)86.871.9158.7+14.970%
Last 5 (5)86.071.8157.8+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.362.0138.3+14.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.174.0158.2+10.176%
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H31/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H05/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A13/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A15/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H21/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A27/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-32
0-0
37-48
0-0
58-39
0-0
37-33
0-0
28-31
0-0
34-46
0-0
32-43
0-0
35-25
0-0
25-36
0-0
36-43
0-0
36-29
0-0
51-40
0-0
34-37
0-0
32-37
0-0
42-44
0-0
49-39
0-0
36-30
0-0
37-29
0-0
42-38
0-0
28-37
147.9Avg total
74.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.772.6148.3+3.145%
Season at home (15)80.570.5151.1+10.060%
Season away (16)71.174.6145.7-3.431%
Last 10 (10)74.373.6147.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)77.472.0149.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)61.975.5137.4-13.60%
vs Similar (10)77.179.4156.5-2.330%
vs Weaker (10)81.767.9149.6+13.880%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.3+7.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
St. Thomas (Minn.)South Dakota St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H01/03
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.733.073.7+7.683%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.930.673.5+12.294%-
Last 30 away (14)38.135.873.9+2.471%-
Last 10 (10)40.733.173.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.674.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.030.770.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.233.773.9+6.480%-
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H31/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H05/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H07/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A13/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A15/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H19/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A28/02
NCAA
72.6Avg total
36.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.970.8+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.172.4+4.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.769.2-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.972.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.673.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.934.162.0-6.20%-
vs Similar (10)36.239.575.7-3.330%-
vs Weaker (10)40.432.773.1+7.770%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
6
South Dakota St. wins
DateGameScore
05/02/26South Dakota St. v St. Thomas (Minn.)62-77
23/01/26St. Thomas (Minn.) v South Dakota St.74-69
07/02/25South Dakota St. v St. Thomas (Minn.)102-86
09/01/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v South Dakota St.73-72
11/03/24South Dakota St. v St. Thomas (Minn.)59-49
24/02/24South Dakota St. v St. Thomas (Minn.)77-72
12/01/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v South Dakota St.80-81
27/01/23St. Thomas (Minn.) v South Dakota St.60-54
31/12/22South Dakota St. v St. Thomas (Minn.)71-64
19/02/22South Dakota St. v St. Thomas (Minn.)79-60
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HNebraska O.68-53
27/02/26HNorth Dakota St84-62
21/02/26ADenver80-82
15/02/26AUMKC104-64
13/02/26ANebraska O.94-98
08/02/26HOral Roberts92-75
05/02/26ASouth Dakota St.77-62
01/02/26HUMKC99-64
30/01/26HNorth Dakota80-81
24/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes90-78
South Dakota St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes70-75
27/02/26AUMKC73-59
21/02/26HNorth Dakota91-83
19/02/26HNorth Dakota St66-74
15/02/26AOral Roberts87-69
13/02/26ADenver61-79
07/02/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes67-68
05/02/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)62-77
31/01/26HOral Roberts95-72
29/01/26ANebraska O.71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW74%
HomeLWWWW94%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %74%94%53%
Points / game83.386.080.4
Allowed / game72.068.675.7
Point differential+11.3+17.4+4.7
Avg total155.3154.6156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%69%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Dakota St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%60%31%
Points / game75.780.571.1
Allowed / game72.670.574.6
Point differential+3.1+10.0-3.4
Avg total148.3151.1145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St3225778%81.370.4+10.8
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)3123874%83.372.0+11.3
3 South Dakota Coyotes31161552%80.280.3-0.2
4 North Dakota32161650%77.178.2-1.1
5 Denver31151648%83.382.8+0.5
6 Nebraska O.31151648%76.877.0-0.2
7 South Dakota St.31141745%75.772.6+3.1
8 Oral Roberts33102330%73.377.5-4.2
9 UMKC3142713%69.383.9-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
St. Thomas (Minn.)03904180
South Dakota St.03703067
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