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Stadio Italiano vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 80-82 (OT)
17-19 10-15 23-20 22-18 8-10
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game69.9
Stadio Italiano
Chile
vs
Luis Matte Larrain 🏆
Chile
Position#5
Record6-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game69.0
ChileLNB 2· Stadio Italiano
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain
13 Jun 2025
STAD80
LUIS82
17 Apr 2025
STAD74
LUIS86
13 Jul 2024
STAD60
LUIS59
23 Jul 2023
STAD74
LUIS53
07 May 2022
STAD62
LUIS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stadio Italiano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
34avg 60
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-69
90
69
+21
87avg 60
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 60
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 60
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
63-65 OT
63
65
-2
47avg 60
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
73-59
73
59
+14
65avg 60
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
55avg 60
A10/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
61-74
61
74
-13
56avg 60
A25/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-55
63
55
+8
52avg 60
H01/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 60
A08/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
23-20
14-28
6-17
27-17
24-21
18-10
21-21
15-12
14-21
21-20
21-15
20-26
20-22
8-25
26-13
11-23
17-9
18-14
14-14
22-9
16-17
26-16
9-17
19-23
17-10
15-21
16-19
19-24
22-11
4-17
16-22
18-12
19-19
18-15
8-9
25-17
11-19
19-16
30-28
142.4Avg total
70.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.969.9141.8+2.056%
Season at home (4)70.267.0137.2+3.275%
Season away (5)73.272.2145.4+1.040%
Last 10 (10)70.472.0142.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)69.868.2138.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.471.6135.0-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.370.4139.7-1.143%
vs Weaker (11)71.858.9130.7+12.982%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
96avg 66
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 66
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
53avg 66
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 66
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-71
90
71
+19
100avg 66
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 66
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
82-60
82
60
+22
83avg 66
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
70avg 66
H25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
64-58
64
58
+6
59avg 66
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 66
H08/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
32-23
22-11
23-36
19-17
13-21
20-9
13-26
17-20
22-9
10-14
14-14
26-20
22-20
25-8
13-26
22-22
22-18
17-14
29-17
14-27
24-15
19-27
14-13
18-17
24-11
23-17
17-15
24-19
11-22
17-4
22-16
17-23
20-13
15-13
12-9
17-25
19-11
16-19
28-30
148.2Avg total
77.2Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.069.0144.0+6.067%
Season at home (5)75.671.2146.8+4.460%
Season away (4)74.266.2140.5+8.075%
Last 10 (10)77.271.0148.2+6.270%
Last 5 (5)74.269.2143.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.473.6142.0-5.231%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.673.4142.0-4.727%
vs Weaker (6)81.771.2152.8+10.5100%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
Stadio ItalianoLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A08/06
LNB 2
73.1Avg total
37.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.168.6+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.434.069.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (18)34.034.168.1-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.873.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.269.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.036.268.2-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.934.770.6+1.143%-
vs Weaker (11)36.531.467.9+5.273%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H08/06
LNB 2
77.5Avg total
40.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.136.872.8-0.745%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.435.973.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (13)34.537.872.2-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.277.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.674.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.937.870.8-4.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.936.371.2-1.436%-
vs Weaker (6)44.535.580.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.419.7
42.5%
46.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.0
27.6%
27.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.212.9
63.9%
64.0%12.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.3
51.5%
46.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.9
31.7%
27.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
64.0%14.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stadio Italiano
WWLLWLLWWL
Luis Matte Larrain
LWWWLWWWLW
#9
League position
#5
-1.5
Net rating
+8.3
87.1
Offensive rating
97.5
88.5
Defensive rating
89.2
42.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
23.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.6%
3-point %
31.7%
64.2%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence87.1 · 97.5Defence88.5 · 89.2Shooting42.1% · 49.9%3-point %27.6% · 31.7%Ball care18.2% · 23.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Stadio Italiano   ■ Luis Matte Larrain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stadio Italiano wins
5
Luis Matte Larrain wins
DateGameScore
08/06/25Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano80-85
25/05/25Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano74-61
18/04/25Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain74-86
13/07/24Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain60-59
12/05/24Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano62-51
23/07/23Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain74-53
28/05/23Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano73-65
26/06/22Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano62-78
08/05/22Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain62-71
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/25ALuis Matte Larrain85-80
01/06/25HBrisas63-55
25/05/25ALuis Matte Larrain61-74
10/05/25ABoston C. C.67-73
03/05/25HSergio Ceppi73-59
26/04/25ABrisas63-65 OT
18/04/25HLuis Matte Larrain74-86
05/04/25HBoston C. C.71-68
28/03/25ASergio Ceppi90-69
24/08/24HColo Colo57-91
Luis Matte Larrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/25HStadio Italiano80-85
02/06/25ASergio Ceppi64-58
25/05/25HStadio Italiano74-61
17/05/25ABrisas82-60
03/05/25HBoston C. C.71-82
26/04/25HSergio Ceppi90-71
18/04/25AStadio Italiano86-74
12/04/25HBrisas63-57
29/03/25ABoston C. C.65-73
21/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game71.970.273.2
Allowed / game69.967.072.2
Point differential+2.0+3.2+1.0
Avg total141.8137.2145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game75.075.674.2
Allowed / game69.071.266.2
Point differential+6.0+4.4+8.0
Avg total144.0146.8140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Truenos De Talca990100%79.964.8+15.1
2 Puerto Montt109190%91.768.0+23.7
3 Boston C. C.98189%77.462.4+15.0
4 Arabe Valparaiso108280%74.761.5+13.2
5 Luis Matte Larrain96367%75.069.0+6.0
6 Aleman96367%73.869.2+4.6
7 Illapel96367%69.768.7+1.0
8 Liceo Curico95456%61.859.4+2.3
9 Stadio Italiano95456%71.969.9+2.0
10 Municipal Chillan95456%56.758.4-1.8
11 Omega95456%61.164.9-3.8
12 Quilpue Basquetbol94544%68.967.6+1.3
13 Arturo Prat San Felipe93633%68.281.7-13.4
14 The Sharks103730%72.074.5-2.5
15 CDSB Constitucion92722%72.777.9-5.2
16 Sergio Ceppi92722%64.974.4-9.6
17 CD Huachipato92722%64.275.4-11.2
18 Regional Temuco102820%72.686.8-14.2
19 Tinguiririca91811%63.273.8-10.6
20 Brisas91811%59.874.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Stadio Italiano17102322880
Luis Matte Larrain191520181082
← all games of the day
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