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Luis Matte Larrain vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 May 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 74-61
24-19 11-22 17-4 22-16
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game69.5
Luis Matte Larrain 🏆
Chile
vs
Stadio Italiano
Chile
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game70.0
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2025-26
Meetings · Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano
15 Jun 2025
LUIS74
STAD82
08 Jun 2025
LUIS80
STAD85
25 May 2025
LUIS74
STAD61
11 May 2024
LUIS62
STAD51
27 May 2023
LUIS73
STAD65
25 Jun 2022
LUIS62
STAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
59-60
59
60
-1
54avg 64
A13/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
55-66
55
66
-11
42avg 64
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 64
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
96avg 64
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 64
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
53avg 64
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 64
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-71
90
71
+19
100avg 64
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 64
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
82-60
82
60
+22
83avg 64
A17/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
17-10
7-19
19-11
15-14
12-23
17-16
11-13
30-15
15-20
16-26
18-25
20-19
32-23
22-11
23-36
19-17
13-21
20-9
13-26
17-20
22-9
10-14
14-14
26-20
22-20
25-8
13-26
22-22
22-18
17-14
29-17
14-27
24-15
19-27
14-13
18-17
24-11
23-17
17-15
146.5Avg total
74.7Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.269.5145.7+6.767%
Season at home (3)74.770.0144.7+4.767%
Season away (3)77.769.0146.7+8.767%
Last 10 (10)74.771.8146.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)78.468.8147.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.574.6141.1-8.133%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.873.4140.2-6.722%
vs Weaker (6)79.873.8153.7+6.083%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 59
A11/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
56avg 59
A18/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
44avg 59
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
34avg 59
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-69
90
69
+21
87avg 59
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 59
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 59
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
63-65 OT
63
65
-2
47avg 59
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
73-59
73
59
+14
65avg 59
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
55avg 59
A10/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
16-19
22-13
20-18
18-19
20-21
16-22
16-15
14-17
11-26
15-18
16-15
14-26
23-20
14-28
6-17
27-17
24-21
18-10
21-21
15-12
14-21
21-20
21-15
20-26
20-22
8-25
26-13
11-23
17-9
18-14
14-14
22-9
16-17
26-16
9-17
19-23
17-10
15-21
16-19
141.9Avg total
69.1Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.070.0143.0+3.050%
Season at home (3)72.771.0143.7+1.767%
Season away (3)73.369.0142.3+4.333%
Last 10 (10)69.172.8141.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)69.670.2139.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.471.6135.0-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.365.4130.7-0.143%
vs Weaker (11)72.258.7130.9+13.582%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
Luis Matte LarrainStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A13/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/05
LNB 2
76.1Avg total
40.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)35.836.972.7-1.146%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.635.673.2+2.157%-
Last 30 away (14)34.038.272.2-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.176.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.878.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.237.570.7-4.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.835.870.6-1.044%-
vs Weaker (6)43.237.280.3+6.083%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A11/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/05
LNB 2
72.2Avg total
35.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.667.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.133.568.6+1.650%-
Last 30 away (18)33.333.767.0-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.272.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.468.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.036.268.2-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.133.066.1+0.143%-
vs Weaker (11)36.731.368.0+5.573%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.2
49.2%
46.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.1%
27.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
64.0%12.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.818.3
41.8%
46.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
27.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.313.3
62.4%
64.0%13.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
WLWWWLWLLL
Stadio Italiano
LWLLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#9
+3.6
Net rating
-3.9
95.5
Offensive rating
87.1
91.9
Defensive rating
90.9
48.8%
Effective FG%
42.4%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.6%
21.6%
Turnover %
19.7%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
29.0%
62.2%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 87.1Defence91.9 · 90.9Shooting48.8% · 42.4%3-point %32.1% · 29.0%Ball care21.6% · 19.7%Off. rebounds27.6% · 25.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Luis Matte Larrain wins
3
Stadio Italiano wins
DateGameScore
18/04/25Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain74-86
13/07/24Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain60-59
12/05/24Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano62-51
23/07/23Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain74-53
28/05/23Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano73-65
26/06/22Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano62-78
08/05/22Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain62-71
Luis Matte Larrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25ABrisas82-60
03/05/25HBoston C. C.71-82
26/04/25HSergio Ceppi90-71
18/04/25AStadio Italiano86-74
12/04/25HBrisas63-57
29/03/25ABoston C. C.65-73
21/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe97-89
21/07/24HTruenos De Talca79-86
14/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol55-66
13/07/24AStadio Italiano59-60
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ABoston C. C.67-73
03/05/25HSergio Ceppi73-59
26/04/25ABrisas63-65 OT
18/04/25HLuis Matte Larrain74-86
05/04/25HBoston C. C.71-68
28/03/25ASergio Ceppi90-69
24/08/24HColo Colo57-91
19/08/24AColo Colo56-76
18/08/24AColo Colo70-77
11/08/24ATruenos De Talca70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game76.274.777.7
Allowed / game69.570.069.0
Point differential+6.7+4.7+8.7
Avg total145.7144.7146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game73.072.773.3
Allowed / game70.071.069.0
Point differential+3.0+1.7+4.3
Avg total143.0143.7142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Truenos De Talca770100%78.965.4+13.4
2 Boston C. C.87188%77.963.2+14.6
3 Puerto Montt76186%88.767.7+21.0
4 Arabe Valparaiso86275%75.262.8+12.5
5 Illapel75271%70.368.0+2.3
6 Omega75271%59.059.6-0.6
7 Luis Matte Larrain64267%76.269.5+6.7
8 Liceo Curico85362%69.564.4+5.1
9 Aleman74357%71.768.1+3.6
10 Stadio Italiano63350%73.070.0+3.0
11 Municipal Chillan84450%61.265.8-4.5
12 The Sharks73443%78.375.9+2.4
13 Quilpue Basquetbol73443%71.169.1+2.0
14 CDSB Constitucion62433%78.276.8+1.3
15 Sergio Ceppi72529%67.176.0-8.9
16 Regional Temuco72529%73.082.4-9.4
17 Brisas71614%60.376.4-16.1
18 Arturo Prat San Felipe71614%65.386.3-21.0
19 CD Huachipato81712%65.077.8-12.8
20 Tinguiririca7070%62.778.0-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain2411172274
Stadio Italiano192241661
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