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Luis Matte Larrain vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 80-85
17-25 19-11 16-19 28-30
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game67.0
Luis Matte Larrain
Chile
vs
Stadio Italiano 🏆
Chile
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game68.6
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2025-26
Meetings · Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano
15 Jun 2025
LUIS74
STAD82
08 Jun 2025
LUIS80
STAD85
25 May 2025
LUIS74
STAD61
11 May 2024
LUIS62
STAD51
27 May 2023
LUIS73
STAD65
25 Jun 2022
LUIS62
STAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 65
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
96avg 65
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 65
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
53avg 65
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 65
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-71
90
71
+19
100avg 65
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 65
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
82-60
82
60
+22
83avg 65
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
74-61
74
61
+13
70avg 65
H25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
64-58
64
58
+6
59avg 65
A02/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
15-20
16-26
18-25
20-19
32-23
22-11
23-36
19-17
13-21
20-9
13-26
17-20
22-9
10-14
14-14
26-20
22-20
25-8
13-26
22-22
22-18
17-14
29-17
14-27
24-15
19-27
14-13
18-17
24-11
23-17
17-15
24-19
11-22
17-4
22-16
17-23
20-13
15-13
12-9
148.2Avg total
77.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.467.0141.4+7.475%
Season at home (4)74.567.8142.2+6.875%
Season away (4)74.266.2140.5+8.075%
Last 10 (10)77.171.1148.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)76.266.4142.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.672.4139.9-4.836%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.572.2139.7-4.730%
vs Weaker (6)81.771.2152.8+10.5100%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
56-76
56
76
-20
44avg 59
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
34avg 59
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
90-69
90
69
+21
87avg 59
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 59
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 59
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
63-65 OT
63
65
-2
47avg 59
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
73-59
73
59
+14
65avg 59
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
55avg 59
A10/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
61-74
61
74
-13
56avg 59
A25/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-55
63
55
+8
52avg 59
H01/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
11-26
15-18
16-15
14-26
23-20
14-28
6-17
27-17
24-21
18-10
21-21
15-12
14-21
21-20
21-15
20-26
20-22
8-25
26-13
11-23
17-9
18-14
14-14
22-9
16-17
26-16
9-17
19-23
17-10
15-21
16-19
19-24
22-11
4-17
16-22
18-12
19-19
18-15
8-9
139.1Avg total
67.5Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.268.6138.9+1.650%
Season at home (4)70.267.0137.2+3.275%
Season away (4)70.270.2140.5+0.025%
Last 10 (10)67.571.6139.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)65.465.2130.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.471.6135.0-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (7)66.667.6134.1-1.043%
vs Weaker (11)71.858.9130.7+12.982%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Luis Matte LarrainStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A18/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A02/06
LNB 2
78.3Avg total
41.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.136.772.8-0.648%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.973.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (14)34.637.572.1-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.178.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.237.570.7-4.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.836.371.1-1.540%-
vs Weaker (6)44.535.580.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A19/08
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A28/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A26/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/06
LNB 2
72.7Avg total
36.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.768.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.233.368.5+1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)33.934.067.9-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.572.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.031.467.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.036.268.2-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.433.168.6+2.357%-
vs Weaker (11)36.531.467.9+5.273%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.8
51.8%
46.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.9
31.1%
27.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.1
74.4%
64.0%13.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.119.0
41.2%
46.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.05.5
26.2%
27.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws20.712.9
62.3%
64.0%12.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
WWWLWWWLWL
Stadio Italiano
WLLWLLWWLL
#5
League position
#9
+8.1
Net rating
-4.6
97.7
Offensive rating
83.6
89.7
Defensive rating
88.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
40.6%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
22.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
26.2%
63.5%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 83.6Defence89.7 · 88.2Shooting49.8% · 40.6%3-point %31.1% · 26.2%Ball care22.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 24.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Luis Matte Larrain wins
3
Stadio Italiano wins
DateGameScore
25/05/25Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano74-61
18/04/25Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain74-86
13/07/24Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain60-59
12/05/24Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano62-51
23/07/23Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain74-53
28/05/23Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano73-65
26/06/22Luis Matte Larrain v Stadio Italiano62-78
08/05/22Stadio Italiano v Luis Matte Larrain62-71
Luis Matte Larrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/25ASergio Ceppi64-58
25/05/25HStadio Italiano74-61
17/05/25ABrisas82-60
03/05/25HBoston C. C.71-82
26/04/25HSergio Ceppi90-71
18/04/25AStadio Italiano86-74
12/04/25HBrisas63-57
29/03/25ABoston C. C.65-73
21/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe97-89
21/07/24HTruenos De Talca79-86
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/25HBrisas63-55
25/05/25ALuis Matte Larrain61-74
10/05/25ABoston C. C.67-73
03/05/25HSergio Ceppi73-59
26/04/25ABrisas63-65 OT
18/04/25HLuis Matte Larrain74-86
05/04/25HBoston C. C.71-68
28/03/25ASergio Ceppi90-69
24/08/24HColo Colo57-91
19/08/24AColo Colo56-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game74.474.574.2
Allowed / game67.067.866.2
Point differential+7.4+6.8+8.0
Avg total141.4142.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game70.270.270.2
Allowed / game68.667.070.2
Point differential+1.6+3.2+0.0
Avg total138.9137.2140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Truenos De Talca990100%79.964.8+15.1
2 Puerto Montt98189%91.067.1+23.9
3 Boston C. C.98189%77.462.4+15.0
4 Arabe Valparaiso97278%75.861.4+14.3
5 Luis Matte Larrain86275%74.467.0+7.4
6 Aleman96367%73.869.2+4.6
7 Illapel96367%69.768.7+1.0
8 Liceo Curico95456%61.859.4+2.3
9 Municipal Chillan95456%56.758.4-1.8
10 Omega95456%61.164.9-3.8
11 Stadio Italiano84450%70.268.6+1.6
12 Quilpue Basquetbol94544%68.967.6+1.3
13 The Sharks93633%73.175.6-2.4
14 Arturo Prat San Felipe93633%68.281.7-13.4
15 CDSB Constitucion92722%72.777.9-5.2
16 Sergio Ceppi92722%64.974.4-9.6
17 CD Huachipato92722%64.275.4-11.2
18 Regional Temuco92722%72.285.6-13.3
19 Tinguiririca91811%63.273.8-10.6
20 Brisas91811%59.874.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain1719162880
Stadio Italiano2511193085
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