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Truenos De Talca vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 66-73
17-36 23-20 13-6 13-11
Position#2
Record16-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game67.0
Truenos De Talca
Chile
vs
Stadio Italiano 🏆
Chile
Position#4
Record14-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game63.4
ChileLNB 2LNB 2 - Semi-finals· Cendyr Sur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano
10 Aug 2024
TRUE64
STAD70
28 Jul 2024
TRUE66
STAD73
27 Jul 2024
TRUE66
STAD58
16 Jul 2024
TRUE78
STAD62
23 Oct 2021
TRUE69
STAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
67avg 65
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
90-62
90
62
+28
86avg 65
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
62avg 65
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 65
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
49avg 65
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
112-69
112
69
+43
114avg 65
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
83avg 65
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
75avg 65
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 65
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
58avg 65
H27/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-11
24-14
21-17
15-12
24-15
22-9
26-16
18-22
13-15
21-22
14-25
20-15
15-8
26-13
15-18
23-19
17-13
12-17
16-15
18-14
29-11
19-21
39-18
25-19
32-10
21-15
21-20
10-17
21-17
23-14
19-17
15-14
15-30
20-15
26-16
25-18
18-12
14-18
17-20
17-8
143.8Avg total
79.8Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.767.0141.6+7.770%
Season at home (12)75.966.3142.2+9.683%
Season away (11)73.367.6140.9+5.655%
Last 10 (10)79.864.0143.8+15.890%
Last 5 (5)85.266.0151.2+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.780.7144.3-17.00%
vs Similar (5)69.864.0133.8+5.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)77.065.2142.2+11.879%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 59
A09/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
58-68
58
68
-10
51avg 59
H15/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 59
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-47
97
47
+50
100avg 59
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
58avg 59
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
64-45
64
45
+19
63avg 59
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
52avg 59
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 59
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
46avg 59
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
46avg 59
A27/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
15-12
24-24
15-21
14-21
15-19
24-12
5-16
21-24
19-17
23-18
13-13
28-17
20-15
18-6
31-9
22-12
9-16
16-8
10-18
21-9
16-11
12-13
15-12
20-16
10-17
19-7
11-19
12-28
24-16
22-9
21-15
17-21
14-23
17-19
14-15
12-18
18-14
20-17
8-17
130.3Avg total
67.8Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.463.4130.8+4.061%
Season at home (11)72.764.4137.1+8.473%
Season away (12)62.562.5125.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)67.862.5130.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)64.663.2127.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.682.8146.5-19.218%
vs Similar (8)64.860.0124.8+4.862%
vs Weaker (11)70.958.7129.6+12.282%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
Truenos De TalcaStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H14/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/07
LNB 2
69.8Avg total
39.8Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.232.868.9+3.448%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.930.167.1+6.857%-
Last 30 away (15)35.535.270.7+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.830.069.8+9.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.675.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.737.270.8-3.533%-
vs Similar (5)34.429.864.2+4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.532.169.6+5.456%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A09/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A16/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A27/07
LNB 2
67.7Avg total
34.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)33.033.166.1-0.152%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.933.270.1+3.854%-
Last 30 away (14)29.433.162.5-3.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.767.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.667.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.338.669.9-7.222%-
vs Similar (8)32.930.163.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker (10)34.630.765.3+3.970%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.8
51.0%
44.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.3
35.1%
28.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.09.5
59.4%
63.6%9.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.817.9
41.8%
44.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.4
29.2%
28.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.311.6
67.1%
63.6%11.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WWWWWWWLWW
Stadio Italiano
LLWWWWWWLL
#2
League position
#4
+20.7
Net rating
+6.3
103.6
Offensive rating
89.9
82.9
Defensive rating
83.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
42.5%
37.7%
Opp. effective FG%
41.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.1%
3-point %
29.2%
54.8%
Assist %
67.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 89.9Defence82.9 · 83.6Shooting51.6% · 42.5%3-point %35.1% · 29.2%Ball care18.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Truenos De Talca wins
2
Stadio Italiano wins
DateGameScore
27/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano66-58
16/07/24Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano78-62
20/04/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca78-75
03/12/21Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca68-62
23/10/21Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano69-67
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/24HStadio Italiano66-58
21/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain86-79
16/07/24HStadio Italiano78-62
14/07/24HBrisas84-62
07/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe112-69
29/06/24HBoston C. C.63-59
23/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol79-58
20/06/24AAleman68-77
15/06/24HSergio Ceppi90-62
08/06/24AMunicipal Chillan72-54
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/24ATruenos De Talca58-66
16/07/24ATruenos De Talca62-78
14/07/24AArabe Valparaiso79-68
13/07/24HLuis Matte Larrain60-59
08/07/24ABrisas64-45
30/06/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-54
29/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe97-47
23/06/24HBoston C. C.76-72
15/06/24HAleman58-68
09/06/24ASergio Ceppi67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%83%55%
Points / game74.775.973.3
Allowed / game67.066.367.6
Point differential+7.7+9.6+5.6
Avg total141.6142.2140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game67.472.762.5
Allowed / game63.464.462.5
Point differential+4.0+8.4+0.0
Avg total130.8137.1125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo23230100%82.563.9+18.7
2 Truenos De Talca2316770%74.767.0+7.7
3 Stadio Italiano2314961%67.463.4+4.0
4 Aleman2213959%74.471.6+2.8
5 Sergio Ceppi23131057%73.372.6+0.7
6 Boston C. C.22121055%71.368.0+3.3
7 Quilpue Basquetbol22101245%64.968.6-3.7
8 Municipal Chillan2291341%63.066.5-3.5
9 Luis Matte Larrain2281436%68.973.9-5.0
10 Arabe Valparaiso2281436%66.072.3-6.3
11 Brisas2371630%67.870.4-2.6
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe232219%69.886.3-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca1723131366
Stadio Italiano362061173
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