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Truenos De Talca vs Stadio Italiano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 78-62
21-17 23-14 19-17 15-14
Position#2
Record13-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game67.0
Truenos De Talca 🏆
Chile
vs
Stadio Italiano
Chile
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game62.6
ChileLNB 2· Cendyr Sur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano
10 Aug 2024
TRUE64
STAD70
28 Jul 2024
TRUE66
STAD73
27 Jul 2024
TRUE66
STAD58
16 Jul 2024
TRUE78
STAD62
23 Oct 2021
TRUE69
STAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stadio Italiano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
32avg 64
H19/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
47avg 64
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 64
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
67avg 64
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
90-62
90
62
+28
86avg 64
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
62avg 64
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 64
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
63-59
63
59
+4
49avg 64
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
112-69
112
69
+43
114avg 64
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
83avg 64
H14/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
20-15
16-20
22-26
23-16
6-13
12-7
16-7
10-16
15-18
16-24
21-20
12-11
24-14
21-17
15-12
24-15
22-9
26-16
18-22
13-15
21-22
14-25
20-15
15-8
26-13
15-18
23-19
17-13
12-17
16-15
18-14
29-11
19-21
39-18
25-19
32-10
21-15
21-20
10-17
139.6Avg total
76.2Scored
63.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.367.0141.4+7.365%
Season at home (10)76.767.6144.3+9.180%
Season away (10)72.066.5138.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.263.4139.6+12.880%
Last 5 (5)81.265.0146.2+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.381.0145.3-16.70%
vs Similar (5)69.864.0133.8+5.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)76.864.3141.1+12.678%
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaliano
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A25/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
61-54
61
54
+7
49avg 61
A01/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 61
A09/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
58-68
58
68
-10
51avg 61
H15/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 61
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-47
97
47
+50
100avg 61
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
58avg 61
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
64-45
64
45
+19
63avg 61
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
52avg 61
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 61
A14/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
8-19
20-29
22-20
16-9
15-17
14-10
16-18
13-11
15-12
24-24
15-21
14-21
15-19
24-12
5-16
21-24
19-17
23-18
13-13
28-17
20-15
18-6
31-9
22-12
9-16
16-8
10-18
21-9
16-11
12-13
15-12
20-16
10-17
19-7
11-19
12-28
24-16
22-9
21-15
130.9Avg total
68.3Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.162.6130.7+5.567%
Season at home (11)72.764.4137.1+8.473%
Season away (10)63.060.6123.6+2.460%
Last 10 (10)68.362.6130.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)71.454.6126.0+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.483.2149.5-16.827%
vs Similar (8)64.860.0124.8+4.862%
vs Weaker (11)70.958.7129.6+12.282%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
Truenos De TalcaStadio Italiano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H19/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A08/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H15/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H23/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H29/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H14/07
LNB 2
66.1Avg total
37.8Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.032.468.4+3.548%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.430.566.9+5.953%-
Last 30 away (14)35.534.570.0+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)37.828.366.1+9.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.029.070.0+12.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.738.372.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (5)34.429.864.2+4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.430.868.2+6.559%-
This opponent (Stadio Italiano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stadio ItalianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colo Colo
#1
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A25/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A01/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A09/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H29/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A30/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/07
LNB 2
66.1Avg total
33.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)33.232.866.0+0.456%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.933.270.1+3.854%-
Last 30 away (12)29.232.361.5-3.258%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.966.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.467.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.638.770.3-7.129%-
vs Similar (8)32.930.163.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker (10)34.630.765.3+3.970%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.5
52.4%
44.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.6
30.0%
28.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.812.0
63.8%
63.6%12.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stadio Italianotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stadio Italiano: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.616.4
39.4%
44.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.9
30.9%
28.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.7%
63.6%13.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WWWWLWWLWW
Stadio Italiano
WWWWWWLLWL
#2
League position
#4
+17.3
Net rating
+6.7
100.9
Offensive rating
88.2
83.6
Defensive rating
81.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
41.9%
38.2%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
20.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.0%
3-point %
30.9%
52.3%
Assist %
69.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 88.2Defence83.6 · 81.5Shooting49.5% · 41.9%3-point %30.0% · 30.9%Ball care18.0% · 20.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Stadio Italiano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Truenos De Talca wins
2
Stadio Italiano wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca78-75
03/12/21Stadio Italiano v Truenos De Talca68-62
23/10/21Truenos De Talca v Stadio Italiano69-67
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/24HBrisas84-62
07/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe112-69
29/06/24HBoston C. C.63-59
23/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol79-58
20/06/24AAleman68-77
15/06/24HSergio Ceppi90-62
08/06/24AMunicipal Chillan72-54
02/06/24HColo Colo62-78
25/05/24AArabe Valparaiso57-43
19/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain75-72
Stadio Italianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/07/24AArabe Valparaiso79-68
13/07/24HLuis Matte Larrain60-59
08/07/24ABrisas64-45
30/06/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-54
29/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe97-47
23/06/24HBoston C. C.76-72
15/06/24HAleman58-68
09/06/24ASergio Ceppi67-68
01/06/24AMunicipal Chillan61-54
25/05/24AColo Colo64-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game74.376.772.0
Allowed / game67.067.666.5
Point differential+7.3+9.1+5.5
Avg total141.4144.3138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stadio Italiano
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game68.172.763.0
Allowed / game62.664.460.6
Point differential+5.5+8.4+2.4
Avg total130.7137.1123.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%36%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo21210100%82.863.4+19.4
2 Stadio Italiano2114767%68.162.6+5.5
3 Truenos De Talca2013765%74.367.0+7.3
4 Sergio Ceppi2113862%73.771.9+1.8
5 Boston C. C.2112957%71.667.6+4.0
6 Aleman2011955%75.172.4+2.7
7 Quilpue Basquetbol2091145%64.969.0-4.1
8 Municipal Chillan1981142%62.266.1-3.9
9 Luis Matte Larrain2071335%67.072.5-5.5
10 Arabe Valparaiso2071335%66.073.0-7.0
11 Brisas1941521%65.871.1-5.3
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe2021810%69.686.5-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca2123191578
Stadio Italiano1714171462
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