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Stanford vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 95-90
45-47 50-43
Position#103
Record13-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game70.6
Stanford 🏆
USA
vs
North Carolina
USA
Position#45
Record14-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stanford v North Carolina
14 Jan 2026
STAN95
NORT90
01 Dec 2020
STAN63
NORT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stanford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#253
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H02/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-31
43-41
39-38
35-37
44-36
42-46
40-25
36-35
33-35
44-33
33-38
55-42
17-22
23-25
35-34
45-42
24-31
45-37
34-41
21-29
143.7Avg total
73.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.970.6147.6+6.376%
Season at home (11)79.269.8149.0+9.473%
Season away (6)72.872.2145.0+0.783%
Last 10 (10)73.969.8143.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)66.468.2134.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.177.1145.3-9.043%
vs Similar (17)73.870.0143.8+3.865%
vs Weaker (5)78.265.4143.6+12.880%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A03/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H07/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H13/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H17/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A20/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
99-51
99
51
+48
H23/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A03/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
30-41
31-31
36-33
44-39
37-22
37-28
43-34
38-30
39-28
34-31
37-39
49-26
50-25
40-34
39-32
39-39
44-58
49-38
38-46
146.9Avg total
78.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.767.1148.8+14.688%
Season at home (12)85.764.0149.7+21.7100%
Season away (4)69.876.2146.0-6.550%
Last 10 (10)78.268.7146.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)83.873.6157.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.380.3148.7-12.00%
vs Similar (13)76.468.5144.8+7.977%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.867.2155.0+20.6100%
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +3.5+3.5
StanfordNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#253
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H02/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A10/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.332.867.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.731.267.9+5.574%-
Last 30 away (11)30.135.665.7-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.168.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)28.633.261.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.639.072.6-5.443%-
vs Similar (17)32.932.465.2+0.553%-
vs Weaker (5)37.826.664.4+11.280%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A03/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H07/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H13/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H17/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H23/12
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/01
NCAA
71.8Avg total
38.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.733.473.1+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.231.673.8+10.689%-
Last 30 away (12)36.036.072.0+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.932.971.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.675.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.045.778.7-12.70%-
vs Similar (13)36.432.068.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.232.076.2+12.2100%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stanford wins
1
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25North Carolina v Stanford71-72
01/12/20Stanford v North Carolina63-67
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AVirginia55-70
08/01/26AVirginia Tech69-68
03/01/26HLouisville80-76
31/12/25HNotre Dame40-47
28/12/25HCS Northridge88-80
21/12/25AColorado77-68
18/12/25HUT Arlington76-60
14/12/25ASan Jose State86-82
07/12/25HUNLV74-75
02/12/25HPortland94-72
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HWake Forest87-84
03/01/26ASMU Mustangs83-97
31/12/25HFlorida State79-66
23/12/25HEast Carolina99-51
20/12/25AOhio State71-70
17/12/25HEast Tennessee St77-58
13/12/25HUSC Upstate80-62
07/12/25HGeorgetown81-61
03/12/25AKentucky67-64
27/11/25AMichigan State58-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stanford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL76%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %76%73%83%
Points / game76.979.272.8
Allowed / game70.669.872.2
Point differential+6.3+9.4+0.7
Avg total147.6149.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %88%100%50%
Points / game81.785.769.8
Allowed / game67.164.076.2
Point differential+14.6+21.7-6.5
Avg total148.8149.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%92%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1615194%86.866.6+20.2
2 Miami (FL)1715288%87.869.2+18.6
3 North Carolina1614288%81.767.1+14.6
4 Virginia1815383%83.069.2+13.8
5 Clemson1815383%77.664.8+12.8
6 California1713476%79.870.0+9.8
7 Virginia Tech1713476%82.373.8+8.5
8 Stanford1713476%76.970.6+6.3
9 SMU Mustangs1612475%89.177.1+12.1
10 Louisville1712571%87.270.2+17.1
11 NC State1712571%86.571.2+15.3
12 Syracuse1712571%75.966.9+9.0
13 Wake Forest1710759%81.875.4+6.4
14 Notre Dame1710759%73.268.1+5.1
15 Georgia Tech1810856%75.473.0+2.4
16 Pittsburgh178947%74.169.4+4.8
17 Florida State1771041%83.182.1+1.1
18 Boston College1771041%67.968.2-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stanford455095
North Carolina474390
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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