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Starogard Gdanski vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-72
10-14 21-19 18-23 21-16
Position#3
Record25-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#1
Record32-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game77.8
Poland1 Liga1. Liga - Semi-finals· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Bydgoszcz
10 May 2026
STAR70
BYDG72
09 May 2026
STAR103
BYDG82
11 Apr 2026
STAR74
BYDG78
29 Dec 2024
STAR77
BYDG103
16 Mar 2024
STAR82
BYDG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
98-82
98
82
+16
100avg 79
A08/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 79
H11/04
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
111-80
111
80
+31
116avg 79
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
94-81
94
81
+13
87avg 79
H18/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
87avg 79
H19/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
76avg 79
A25/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 79
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
74avg 79
A02/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
53avg 79
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
103-82
103
82
+21
103avg 79
H09/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
34-19
22-17
19-26
15-24
19-15
21-18
19-21
16-17
37-18
25-22
33-23
24-26
23-25
22-13
25-17
26-28
25-16
16-26
24-20
22-25
19-16
18-18
22-23
24-25
23-20
16-19
28-18
14-25
26-16
19-28
19-32
16-9
17-22
17-20
12-17
27-18
35-27
20-16
21-21
170.9Avg total
88.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)85.080.6165.6+4.464%
Season at home (19)89.982.4172.3+7.579%
Season away (20)80.378.8159.1+1.550%
Last 10 (10)88.382.6170.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)83.083.0166.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.280.0159.2-0.840%
vs Similar (8)78.284.1162.4-5.938%
vs Weaker (17)89.181.5170.5+7.671%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
W
93-84
93
84
+9
100avg 83
H07/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
78-74
78
74
+4
74avg 83
A11/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
81avg 83
H15/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
73avg 83
H19/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
106-79
106
79
+27
102avg 83
H20/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
94-84
94
84
+10
89avg 83
A25/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
99-68
99
68
+31
99avg 83
A26/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
101-78
101
78
+23
93avg 83
H02/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
68-62
68
62
+6
66avg 83
H03/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
82-103
82
103
-21
79avg 83
A09/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
23-13
18-27
25-22
24-15
15-19
18-21
21-19
20-24
18-18
19-14
27-16
19-20
16-20
21-16
18-18
17-21
31-14
23-22
35-22
25-25
22-24
21-17
26-18
25-15
26-14
19-21
29-18
25-14
16-26
28-19
32-19
9-16
22-17
20-17
17-12
18-27
27-35
16-20
21-21
168.8Avg total
89.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)88.677.8166.4+10.782%
Season at home (20)91.078.0168.9+13.085%
Season away (19)86.077.7163.7+8.379%
Last 10 (10)89.379.5168.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)89.278.5167.7+10.879%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +6.6+6.6
Starogard GdanskiBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A08/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/04
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A15/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H18/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H19/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A25/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H09/05
1 Liga
87.6Avg total
46.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.984.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.541.988.4+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.240.180.3+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.187.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.685.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
vs Similar (8)39.843.082.8-3.238%-
vs Weaker (17)45.640.586.1+5.171%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H07/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A11/04
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H19/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H20/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A25/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A26/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H03/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A09/05
1 Liga
82.4Avg total
42.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.682.7+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.139.583.6+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)41.839.781.5+2.146%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.982.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.685.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)43.439.482.8+3.959%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.0
56.3%
52.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws26.418.7
70.8%
70.0%18.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.1
38.4%
31.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.217.0
73.3%
70.0%17.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WLLWLWWWLW
Bydgoszcz
LWWWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+11.9
100.0
Offensive rating
102.6
93.3
Defensive rating
90.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
58.5%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.9%
3-point %
38.4%
73.2%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 102.6Defence93.3 · 90.7Shooting54.1% · 58.5%3-point %33.9% · 38.4%Ball care15.3% · 16.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Starogard Gdanski wins
6
Bydgoszcz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HBydgoszcz103-82
03/05/26ABydgoszcz62-68
02/05/26ABydgoszcz78-101
26/04/26ALancut91-82
25/04/26ALancut81-82
19/04/26HLancut91-90
18/04/26HLancut94-81
15/04/26AZubry Bialystok111-80
11/04/26HBydgoszcz74-78
08/04/26APoli. Opolska98-82
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26AStarogard Gdanski82-103
03/05/26HStarogard Gdanski68-62
02/05/26HStarogard Gdanski101-78
26/04/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg99-68
25/04/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg94-84
20/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg106-79
19/04/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg88-91 OT
15/04/26HGKS Tychy84-72
11/04/26AStarogard Gdanski78-74
07/04/26HMiners Katowice93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %64%79%50%
Points / game85.089.980.3
Allowed / game80.682.478.8
Point differential+4.4+7.5+1.6
Avg total165.6172.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %82%85%79%
Points / game88.691.086.0
Allowed / game77.878.077.7
Point differential+10.7+13.1+8.3
Avg total166.4168.9163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%65%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz3932782%88.677.8+10.7
2 LKS Lodz39271269%86.778.5+8.2
3 Starogard Gdanski39251464%85.080.6+4.4
4 Spojnia Stargard40251562%83.180.9+2.2
5 Lancut36221461%86.087.1-1.1
6 GKS Tychy36211558%82.181.0+1.1
7 Pelplin37211657%85.184.0+1.0
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg36171947%81.580.6+1.0
9 R. Rzeszow32141844%81.782.6-1.0
10 WKK Wroclaw32141844%80.781.8-1.2
11 Polonia Warszawa32141844%80.182.5-2.4
12 Leszno32131941%78.682.9-4.3
13 Poli. Opolska32122038%82.085.1-3.0
14 Inowroclaw32122038%79.282.7-3.5
15 Poznan32112134%79.982.2-2.4
16 Miners Katowice3292328%80.485.6-5.2
17 Zubry Bialystok3262619%77.888.3-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski1021182170
Bydgoszcz1419231672
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