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Starogard Gdanski vs Krosno Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game87.7
Poland1 LigaRound 14· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2026-27
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Krosno
18 Dec 2026
STAR v KROS
upcoming
22 Jan 2025
STAR70
KROS73
24 Feb 2024
STAR77
KROS81
08 Feb 2023
STAR82
KROS63
08 Jan 2022
STAR72
KROS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Krosno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 78
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 78
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
83-101
83
101
-18
75avg 78
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
102-89
102
89
+13
97avg 78
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
74avg 78
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
82avg 78
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
L
88-104
88
104
-16
81avg 78
A24/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
72avg 78
H31/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
97-94
97
94
+3
no box
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
101-108
101
108
-7
no box
H14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
26-28
13-19
15-15
16-20
16-22
22-23
22-25
12-20
29-29
25-27
17-25
29-27
26-26
26-19
21-17
27-22
18-24
11-20
24-19
30-21
8-24
29-25
18-24
22-24
30-25
16-27
20-28
18-22
20-28
23-11
16-18
24-20
34-20
15-31
24-23
35-26
20-30
16-25
30-27
179.0Avg total
86.8Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.793.8181.4-6.122%
Season at home (5)89.694.2183.8-4.620%
Season away (4)85.293.2178.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)86.892.2179.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)89.695.8185.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.589.3172.8-5.817%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.483.1163.6-2.743%
vs Weaker (11)91.682.8174.5+8.873%
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
56avg 76
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#15
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
75avg 76
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
98-107
98
107
-9
93avg 76
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 76
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 76
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
67avg 76
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 76
A24/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
92-73
92
73
+19
90avg 76
H31/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
78-95
78
95
-17
no box
A05/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H14/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-21
17-19
14-24
17-17
27-18
19-29
14-13
20-28
25-19
21-38
32-22
23-31
28-15
21-15
25-28
23-23
16-23
27-15
14-30
22-13
16-20
18-23
16-21
21-16
25-20
7-22
20-24
25-24
24-21
24-15
19-13
18-31
20-20
13-20
27-24
16-17
25-25
20-20
17-22
169.6Avg total
81.9Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.787.7171.3-4.022%
Season at home (4)85.085.2170.2-0.225%
Season away (5)82.689.6172.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)81.987.7169.6-5.820%
Last 5 (5)78.682.2160.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)81.691.0172.6-9.48%
vs Similar ◀ (4)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
Starogard GdanskiKrosno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A24/10
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H31/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H14/11
1 Liga
93.9Avg total
46.5Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.486.8+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.144.689.6+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)43.839.983.6+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)46.547.493.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)48.248.096.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.244.187.2-0.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.341.184.4+2.157%-
vs Weaker (11)46.641.387.9+5.473%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Bytom
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/09
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/10
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H18/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H31/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/11
1 Liga
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.386.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.344.086.3-1.746%-
Last 30 away (17)42.244.686.8-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)41.245.186.2-3.928%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)47.039.286.2+7.875%-
vs Weaker (1)51.046.097.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.0
56.8%
53.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.714.2
65.4%
70.8%14.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.3
56.4%
53.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.2
33.3%
33.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
LWLLLLWLLW
Krosno
LLWLLLWLLL
#14
League position
#13
-3.8
Net rating
-5.2
94.7
Offensive rating
96.2
98.6
Defensive rating
101.4
56.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
33.3%
68.3%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 96.2Defence98.6 · 101.4Shooting56.2% · 53.4%3-point %36.8% · 33.3%Ball care17.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Krosno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Starogard Gdanski wins
5
Krosno wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPelplin101-108
08/11/26APolonia Warszawa97-94
31/10/26HR. Rzeszow77-79
24/10/26AWKK Wroclaw88-104
17/10/26HLeszno85-94
11/10/26AInowroclaw80-85
03/10/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg102-89
30/09/26HLKS Lodz83-101
26/09/26ALancut76-90
23/05/26ASpojnia Stargard79-78
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HInowroclaw78-84
05/11/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg78-95
31/10/26HLancut92-73
24/10/26ALKS Lodz73-82
18/10/26HSpojnia Stargard72-77
09/10/26APelplin80-91
04/10/26APoli. Opolska97-89
26/09/26HPoznan98-107
19/09/26ABytom85-91 OT
06/05/26HSlask Wroclaw66-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game87.789.685.2
Allowed / game93.894.293.2
Point differential-6.1-4.6-8.0
Avg total181.4183.8178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Krosno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game83.785.082.6
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-4.0-0.2-7.0
Avg total171.3170.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno990100%89.274.3+14.9
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Poznan96367%91.985.2+6.7
5 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
6 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 WKK Wroclaw95456%82.283.4-1.2
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska91811%79.289.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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