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Starogard Gdanski vs Lancut Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game83.5
Poland1 LigaRound 17· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2026-27
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Lancut
09 Jan 2027
STAR v LANC
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
STAR91
LANC90
18 Apr 2026
STAR94
LANC81
31 Jan 2026
STAR78
LANC86
14 Dec 2024
STAR86
LANC88
13 Nov 2021
STAR98
LANC112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
103-82
103
82
+21
H09/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H16/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A24/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
35-27
20-16
21-21
10-14
21-19
18-23
21-16
24-13
23-34
19-19
28-36
25-16
26-28
13-19
15-15
16-20
16-22
22-23
22-25
12-20
29-29
25-27
17-25
29-27
26-26
26-19
21-17
27-22
18-24
11-20
24-19
30-21
8-24
29-25
18-24
22-24
30-25
16-27
20-28
175.7Avg total
86.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.793.8179.5-8.217%
Season at home (3)90.094.7184.7-4.733%
Season away (3)81.393.0174.3-11.70%
Last 10 (10)86.089.7175.7-3.730%
Last 5 (5)87.694.6182.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.987.6169.5-5.718%
vs Similar (7)78.981.6160.4-2.743%
vs Weaker (12)90.583.1173.6+7.467%
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A18/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
A19/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
104-84
104
84
+20
A25/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
25-23
13-22
17-25
28-26
16-25
26-16
20-24
25-22
16-19
18-18
23-22
25-24
20-23
19-16
18-28
12-34
28-31
29-16
24-14
20-16
22-16
23-22
25-22
23-14
20-15
17-17
18-19
25-24
15-23
23-22
21-22
20-22
19-21
17-15
24-32
26-24
28-20
26-14
24-26
172.2Avg total
86.4Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.283.5171.7+4.750%
Season at home (2)87.083.5170.5+3.550%
Season away (4)88.883.5172.2+5.250%
Last 10 (10)86.485.8172.2+0.640%
Last 5 (5)87.281.2168.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.789.7171.3-8.033%
vs Similar (14)87.988.9176.9-1.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.982.3172.1+7.671%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Starogard GdanskiLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H09/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H16/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A24/10
1 Liga
90.7Avg total
45.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.685.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.987.5+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.383.2+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.390.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.494.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.143.085.1-0.936%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.682.9+1.757%-
vs Weaker (12)46.240.887.1+5.475%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A18/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A19/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#8
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A21/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/09
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#12
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A03/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H11/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A25/10
1 Liga
88.5Avg total
43.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.489.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.041.884.8+1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)45.148.193.2-2.935%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.688.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.446.689.0-4.122%-
vs Similar (14)45.044.489.4+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.945.790.6-0.943%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.7
55.9%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.1
65.6%
70.3%14.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.5
55.7%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.6
74.4%
70.3%18.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
LLLWLLWLLW
Lancut
WLLWWLLWLL
#14
League position
#9
-4.3
Net rating
+0.7
94.3
Offensive rating
95.2
98.6
Defensive rating
94.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.4%
3-point %
33.1%
71.0%
Assist %
68.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 95.2Defence98.6 · 94.5Shooting55.4% · 53.0%3-point %36.4% · 33.1%Ball care17.3% · 16.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Starogard Gdanski wins
6
Lancut wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AWKK Wroclaw88-104
17/10/26HLeszno85-94
11/10/26AInowroclaw80-85
03/10/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg102-89
30/09/26HLKS Lodz83-101
26/09/26ALancut76-90
23/05/26ASpojnia Stargard79-78
16/05/26HSpojnia Stargard94-102
10/05/26HBydgoszcz70-72
09/05/26HBydgoszcz103-82
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26APoli. Opolska104-84
18/10/26APoznan80-90
11/10/26HBytom84-91
03/10/26AGKS Tychy78-65
26/09/26HStarogard Gdanski90-76
21/09/26APolonia Warszawa93-95
26/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-91
25/04/26HStarogard Gdanski82-81
19/04/26AStarogard Gdanski90-91
18/04/26AStarogard Gdanski81-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game85.790.081.3
Allowed / game93.894.793.0
Point differential-8.2-4.7-11.7
Avg total179.5184.7174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lancut
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.287.088.8
Allowed / game83.583.583.5
Point differential+4.7+3.5+5.2
Avg total171.7170.5172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno660100%91.073.0+18.0
2 LKS Lodz65183%86.773.8+12.8
3 Spojnia Stargard65183%90.784.0+6.7
4 WKK Wroclaw64267%86.279.8+6.3
5 Poznan64267%92.787.0+5.7
6 Inowroclaw64267%80.578.0+2.5
7 Pelplin64267%90.389.0+1.3
8 Polonia Warszawa64267%87.790.8-3.2
9 Lancut63350%88.283.5+4.7
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg62433%89.892.5-2.7
11 Bytom62433%82.385.5-3.2
12 GKS Tychy62433%74.882.0-7.2
13 Krosno61517%84.289.5-5.3
14 Starogard Gdanski61517%85.793.8-8.2
15 Poli. Opolska61517%81.294.8-13.7
16 R. Rzeszow6060%76.391.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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