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Starogard Gdanski vs Poznan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game93.8
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game87.0
Poland1 LigaRound 27· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2026-27
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Poznan
20 Mar 2027
STAR v POZN
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
STAR93
POZN84
19 Oct 2024
STAR81
POZN69
18 Oct 2023
STAR71
POZN79
11 Mar 2023
STAR100
POZN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Starogard Gdanski
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.0
87.6▲ 2.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.0
94.6▲ 9.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.5
21.6▲ 0.1
🔥 Form · Poznan
5.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.9
92.0▲ 7.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.2
89.4▲ 2.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
59%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.1
18.0▼ 0.1
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
103-82
103
82
+21
H09/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H16/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A24/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
35-27
20-16
21-21
10-14
21-19
18-23
21-16
24-13
23-34
19-19
28-36
25-16
26-28
13-19
15-15
16-20
16-22
22-23
22-25
12-20
29-29
25-27
17-25
29-27
26-26
26-19
21-17
27-22
18-24
11-20
24-19
30-21
8-24
29-25
18-24
22-24
30-25
16-27
20-28
175.7Avg total
86.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.793.8179.5-8.217%
Season at home (3)90.094.7184.7-4.733%
Season away (3)81.393.0174.3-11.70%
Last 10 (10)86.089.7175.7-3.730%
Last 5 (5)87.694.6182.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.987.6169.5-5.718%
vs Similar (7)78.981.6160.4-2.743%
vs Weaker (12)90.583.1173.6+7.467%
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H29/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H08/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A12/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H15/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H19/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
107-98
107
98
+9
A26/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H04/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A11/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
A25/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
22-27
19-25
28-22
30-17
19-29
11-30
19-21
17-30
28-19
13-18
17-10
18-17
23-23
24-17
9-22
24-16
22-20
24-12
26-27
28-20
19-25
38-21
22-32
31-17
18-26
13-27
32-29
12-18
24-23
24-22
19-23
22-20
21-19
15-17
32-24
21-26
20-16
20-20
18-17
173.3Avg total
86.8Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.787.0179.7+5.767%
Season at home (3)93.384.7178.0+8.767%
Season away (3)92.089.3181.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)86.886.5173.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)92.089.4181.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.987.8167.6-7.912%
vs Similar (17)82.184.5166.6-2.441%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.482.6174.0+8.880%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
Starogard GdanskiPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H09/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H16/05
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A23/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A26/09
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/09
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H03/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A11/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#4
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A24/10
1 Liga
90.7Avg total
45.4Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.685.4+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.987.5+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.383.2+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.390.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.494.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.143.085.1-0.936%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.682.9+1.757%-
vs Weaker (12)46.240.887.1+5.475%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zubry Bialystok
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H29/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H08/04
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H15/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#3
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H04/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
1 Liga
85.8Avg total
43.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.982.7+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.183.7+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.781.8+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.840.483.1+2.450%-
vs Similar (17)41.541.783.2-0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.639.080.6+2.660%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.7
55.9%
53.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
33.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.1
65.6%
70.3%14.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.2
51.0%
53.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.9
39.0%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.814.4
63.2%
70.3%14.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
LLLWLLWLLW
Poznan
WWLLWWLLLL
#14
League position
#5
-4.3
Net rating
+0.0
94.3
Offensive rating
96.2
98.6
Defensive rating
96.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
39.0%
71.0%
Assist %
58.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 96.2Defence98.6 · 96.2Shooting55.4% · 53.8%3-point %36.4% · 39.0%Ball care17.3% · 14.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Starogard Gdanski wins
2
Poznan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AWKK Wroclaw88-104
17/10/26HLeszno85-94
11/10/26AInowroclaw80-85
03/10/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg102-89
30/09/26HLKS Lodz83-101
26/09/26ALancut76-90
23/05/26ASpojnia Stargard79-78
16/05/26HSpojnia Stargard94-102
10/05/26HBydgoszcz70-72
09/05/26HBydgoszcz103-82
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg90-84 OT
18/10/26HLancut90-80
11/10/26ALKS Lodz79-86
04/10/26HSpojnia Stargard94-99
26/09/26AKrosno107-98
19/09/26HPoli. Opolska96-75
15/04/26HMiners Katowice74-79
12/04/26AR. Rzeszow75-77
08/04/26HPelplin79-97
29/03/26HZubry Bialystok84-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game85.790.081.3
Allowed / game93.894.793.0
Point differential-8.2-4.7-11.7
Avg total179.5184.7174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poznan
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game92.793.392.0
Allowed / game87.084.789.3
Point differential+5.7+8.7+2.7
Avg total179.7178.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno660100%91.073.0+18.0
2 LKS Lodz65183%86.773.8+12.8
3 Spojnia Stargard65183%90.784.0+6.7
4 WKK Wroclaw64267%86.279.8+6.3
5 Poznan64267%92.787.0+5.7
6 Inowroclaw64267%80.578.0+2.5
7 Pelplin64267%90.389.0+1.3
8 Polonia Warszawa64267%87.790.8-3.2
9 Lancut63350%88.283.5+4.7
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg62433%89.892.5-2.7
11 Bytom62433%82.385.5-3.2
12 GKS Tychy62433%74.882.0-7.2
13 Krosno61517%84.289.5-5.3
14 Starogard Gdanski61517%85.793.8-8.2
15 Poli. Opolska61517%81.294.8-13.7
16 R. Rzeszow6060%76.391.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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