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Stephen F. Austin vs UTRGV Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 85-75
32-28 53-47
Position#244
Record11-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game65.7
vs
Position#186
Record13-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v UTRGV
03 Dec 2025
STEP73
UTRG60
10 Feb 2025
STEP85
UTRG75
08 Feb 2024
STEP92
UTRG84
25 Jan 2023
STEP83
UTRG66
11 Jan 2022
STEP86
UTRG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A12/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
54-57 OT
54
57
-3
H25/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-40
47-43
32-37
40-26
26-31
33-35
33-39
28-34
26-43
33-36
20-22
29-27
44-34
35-38
24-41
38-26
29-35
45-39
43-26
35-38
139.4Avg total
68.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.065.7131.7+0.246%
Season at home (13)69.263.2132.3+6.054%
Season away (11)62.268.7130.9-6.536%
Last 10 (10)68.570.9139.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)72.269.0141.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)59.466.7126.1-7.320%
vs Similar (6)66.872.2139.0-5.350%
vs Weaker (9)80.064.4144.4+15.6100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A11/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
63-93
63
93
-30
H25/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
37-43
26-41
48-38
26-27
31-28
24-27
33-39
33-37
52-41
26-40
37-53
34-30
41-52
39-30
44-43
23-37
40-42
33-38
35-32
145.4Avg total
70.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.272.7149.9+4.554%
Season at home (13)79.467.7147.1+11.777%
Season away (11)74.678.5153.2-3.927%
Last 10 (10)70.075.4145.4-5.430%
Last 5 (5)70.479.4149.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.779.3143.0-15.711%
vs Similar (9)71.781.9153.6-10.211%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.562.8144.3+18.792%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -1.3-1.3
Stephen F. AustinUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#304
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A12/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H25/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H08/02
NCAA
65.1Avg total
30.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.830.960.7-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.428.861.2+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)26.833.260.0-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)30.334.865.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)32.031.663.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)26.932.058.9-5.127%-
vs Similar (6)26.331.257.5-4.833%-
vs Weaker (9)37.028.865.8+8.289%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A11/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H14/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H25/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/02
NCAA
64.5Avg total
30.2Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.267.6+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.829.565.3+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)33.136.869.9-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)30.234.364.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.066.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.935.366.2-4.433%-
vs Similar (9)33.738.672.2-4.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.727.565.2+10.283%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Stephen F. Austin wins
1
UTRGV wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HTexas A&M-CC78-64
04/02/25ANew Orleans88-85 OT
01/02/25HLamar62-67
28/01/25HTX A&M Commerce79-72
25/01/25HNorthwestern St.54-57 OT
20/01/25AMcNeese State59-79
18/01/25ANicholls State61-73
14/01/25HSE Louisiana59-66
12/01/25ALamar72-63
07/01/25HHouston Christian73-83
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25ALamar68-70
04/02/25ANorthwestern St.63-79
01/02/25HTexas A&M-CC83-73
28/01/25HNicholls State75-82
25/01/25HMcNeese State63-93
20/01/25AIncarnate Word85-78
18/01/25AHouston Christian57-66
14/01/25HTX A&M Commerce57-55
11/01/25ATexas A&M-CC74-79
07/01/25ASE Louisiana75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeLLWLW54%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%54%36%
Points / game66.069.262.2
Allowed / game65.763.268.7
Point differential+0.2+6.0-6.5
Avg total131.7132.3130.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%15%9%
UTRGV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL54%
HomeWWLLW77%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %54%77%27%
Points / game77.279.474.6
Allowed / game72.767.778.5
Point differential+4.5+11.7-3.9
Avg total149.9147.1153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2519676%76.063.9+12.2
2 Nicholls State2415962%74.369.2+5.1
3 SE Louisiana2415962%72.568.8+3.8
4 Texas A&M-CC25151060%78.869.3+9.4
5 Lamar24141058%72.067.7+4.4
6 UTRGV24131154%77.272.7+4.5
7 Incarnate Word24111346%75.169.8+5.2
8 Stephen F. Austin24111346%66.065.7+0.2
9 Northwestern St.24111346%68.968.9-0.0
10 Houston Christian24111346%68.570.8-2.3
11 New Orleans2442017%70.283.2-12.9
12 TX A&M Commerce2532212%63.977.6-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin325385
UTRGV284775
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