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Stephen F. Austin vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-65
46-31 44-34
Position#12
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#98
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stephen F. Austin v Arkansas State
07 Nov 2025
STEP90
ARKA65
16 Dec 2020
STEP v ARKA
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H08/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A15/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H01/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H04/03
NCAA
Millsaps
#450
W
103-76
103
76
+27
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
45-39
43-26
35-38
32-28
53-47
40-31
30-37
39-36
37-38
32-34
29-29
25-28
31-44
33-46
37-48
37-46
27-49
57-35
46-41
151.7Avg total
75.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)103.076.0179.0+27.0100%
Season at home (1)103.076.0179.0+27.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.176.6151.7-1.560%
Last 5 (5)70.880.0150.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)62.569.5132.0-7.124%
vs Similar (6)64.567.3131.8-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.069.2149.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
94-67
94
67
+27
A01/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H08/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A10/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H19/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A04/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-25
0-0
35-35
0-0
50-29
0-0
45-41
0-0
44-28
0-0
39-36
0-0
41-28
0-0
53-39
0-0
39-36
0-0
38-38
0-0
37-34
0-0
37-37
0-0
43-41
0-0
38-53
0-0
50-37
0-0
53-41
0-0
33-34
0-0
30-31
0-0
32-39
0-0
57-46
154.3Avg total
81.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.085.0174.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.085.0174.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.572.8154.3+8.770%
Last 5 (5)82.078.6160.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)76.176.3152.4-0.244%
vs Weaker (20)80.267.8148.1+12.480%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +2.8+2.8
Stephen F. AustinArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H08/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H01/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Millsaps
#450
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H03/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.363.3-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.832.064.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)29.032.761.7-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.571.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.633.361.9-4.624%-
vs Similar (6)28.029.757.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.331.868.2+4.583%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#83
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A01/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#31
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/03
NIT
North Texas
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
NCAA
72.1Avg total
39.0Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.132.971.0+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.829.769.5+10.179%-
Last 30 away (16)36.635.772.3+0.962%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.172.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.076.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (9)34.336.971.2-2.656%-
vs Weaker (20)39.230.970.1+8.375%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stephen F. Austin wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25HMillsaps103-76
04/03/25HMcNeese State64-95
01/03/25HNicholls State70-94
25/02/25AHouston Christian56-72
22/02/25AIncarnate Word61-63
18/02/25ATX A&M Commerce76-74
15/02/25ANorthwestern St.70-68
11/02/25HUTRGV85-75
08/02/25HTexas A&M-CC78-64
04/02/25ANew Orleans88-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25AOhio89-85
23/03/25ANorth Texas63-65
19/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens103-78
10/03/25ATroy81-94
09/03/25ASouth Alabama74-71
08/03/25HMarshall77-74
01/03/25ALouisiana Monroe94-67
27/02/25ALouisiana Lafayette83-64
22/02/25HLouisiana Monroe95-70
20/02/25HSouth Alabama56-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+27.0+27.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total174.0-174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State110100%127.065.0+62.0
2 Lamar110100%93.053.0+40.0
3 Stephen F. Austin110100%103.076.0+27.0
4 Houston Christian110100%74.070.0+4.0
5 New Orleans110100%78.074.0+4.0
6 Texas A&M-CC21150%70.562.5+8.0
7 Incarnate Word21150%84.079.0+5.0
8 UTRGV1010%81.096.0-15.0
9 Nicholls State1010%51.077.0-26.0
10 Northwestern St.2020%60.589.0-28.5
11 SE Louisiana1010%58.088.0-30.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall110100%78.072.0+6.0
2 Troy110100%103.097.0+6.0
3 Arkansas State110100%89.085.0+4.0
4 South Alabama220100%76.072.0+4.0
5 Appalachian State21150%79.064.0+15.0
6 Southern Miss21150%86.071.0+15.0
7 Old Dominion21150%82.570.0+12.5
8 Texas State21150%81.069.0+12.0
9 James Madison21150%70.570.5+0.0
10 Georgia Southern1010%89.092.0-3.0
11 Coastal Carolina1010%71.076.0-5.0
12 Louisiana Lafayette1010%64.075.0-11.0
13 Louisiana Monroe1010%82.0102.0-20.0
14 Georgia State1010%49.071.0-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Stephen F. Austin464490
Arkansas State313465
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