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Stjarnan vs Akranes IA Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 113-102
34-28 30-29 26-21 23-24
Position#3
Record14-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#12
Record4-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game100.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 21· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akranes IA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
W
100-77
100
77
+23
99avg 91
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
W
116-98
116
98
+18
no box
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 91
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
125-87
125
87
+38
123avg 91
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
106avg 91
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#1
L
84-100
84
100
-16
71avg 91
H07/02
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
113-103
113
103
+10
117avg 91
H12/02
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 91
A20/02
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
127-68
127
68
+59
133avg 91
H06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 91
A13/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
25-11
21-27
22-19
36-15
33-35
27-21
20-27
28-25
39-29
31-25
20-30
35-19
28-20
35-23
27-25
27-24
20-21
27-29
21-21
22-29
21-27
22-18
19-26
35-26
31-26
22-24
25-27
24-26
25-18
16-26
25-18
32-22
37-17
27-23
31-6
30-19
23-25
18-25
17-25
200.2Avg total
107.1Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)104.393.2197.4+11.170%
Season at home (10)110.489.5199.9+20.990%
Season away (10)98.296.8195.0+1.450%
Last 10 (10)107.193.1200.2+14.080%
Last 5 (5)100.490.6191.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar (10)99.989.1189.0+10.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)101.992.6194.4+9.378%
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Akranes IAIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIA
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 77
A19/12
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
75-105
75
105
-30
61avg 77
A03/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
91-94
91
94
-3
79avg 77
H08/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
69avg 77
A22/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
98-120
98
120
-22
92avg 77
H29/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
85-102
85
102
-17
76avg 77
A12/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
97-96
97
96
+1
90avg 77
H19/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
73avg 77
A06/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
86-115
86
115
-29
76avg 77
H14/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
22-28
26-25
20-22
20-26
21-32
19-23
15-24
23-25
26-20
21-21
21-28
17-19
19-25
17-25
18-15
28-22
12-19
25-27
18-21
20-29
27-28
23-26
28-37
17-21
28-24
17-26
23-31
31-27
14-28
29-22
23-19
23-25
27-20
21-16
12-25
23-23
19-37
17-27
27-28
184.5Avg total
85.2Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.2100.0187.2-12.820%
Season at home (10)93.1100.8193.9-7.740%
Season away (10)81.399.1180.4-17.80%
Last 10 (10)85.299.3184.5-14.110%
Last 5 (5)89.8103.8193.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)87.499.8187.3-12.421%
vs Similar (1)83.0102.0185.0-19.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.5-4.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.5-4.5
StjarnanAkranes IA
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H07/02
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/02
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A20/02
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
69-39
69
39
+30
H06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A13/03
Premier league
103.7Avg total
58.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.546.799.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.145.698.8+7.575%-
Last 30 away (14)51.948.099.9+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)58.345.4103.7+12.990%-
Last 5 (5)56.047.0103.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (10)47.848.296.0-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)56.145.4101.6+10.789%-
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Akranes IALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A19/12
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A03/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A22/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H29/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H19/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A06/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H14/03
Premier league
93.7Avg total
43.2Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)42.450.592.9-8.119%-
Last 30 at home (11)44.050.794.7-6.727%-
Last 30 away (10)40.650.390.9-9.710%-
Last 10 (10)43.250.593.7-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)45.852.498.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)43.050.493.4-7.421%-
vs Similar (1)37.055.092.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.128.3
60.1%
54.6%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.7
33.0%
34.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws25.019.5
78.0%
74.2%19.5
They take 76.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akranes IAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akranes IA: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.3
29.1%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.5
73.2%
74.2%14.5
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LWWWLWWWWW
Akranes IA
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#12
+11.4
Net rating
-17.6
102.9
Offensive rating
92.8
91.5
Defensive rating
110.4
56.0%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.0%
3-point %
29.1%
70.5%
Assist %
56.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 92.8Defence91.5 · 110.4Shooting56.0% · 49.2%3-point %33.0% · 29.1%Ball care13.3% · 15.1%Off. rebounds- · 20.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Akranes IA
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Stjarnan wins
0
Akranes IA wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Akranes IA v Stjarnan85-115
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AGrindavik88-94
06/03/26HThorl127-68
20/02/26AArmann90-88
12/02/26HNjardvik113-103
07/02/26HKR Basket84-100
03/02/26AKeflavik110-107 OT
30/01/26HTindastoll125-87
22/01/26AIR Reykjavik118-109
15/01/26HKeflavik116-98
11/01/26HGrindavik100-77
Akranes IAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HTindastoll86-115
06/03/26AIR Reykjavik83-86
19/02/26HKeflavik97-96
12/02/26AValur85-102
29/01/26HKR Basket98-120
22/01/26AAlftanes83-89
16/01/26ANjardvik71-84
08/01/26HGrindavik91-94
03/01/26AThorl75-105
19/12/25AArmann83-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game104.3110.498.2
Allowed / game93.289.596.8
Point differential+11.2+20.9+1.4
Avg total197.4199.9195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Akranes IA
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game87.293.181.3
Allowed / game100.0100.899.1
Point differential-12.8-7.7-17.8
Avg total187.2193.9180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik2117481%93.189.0+4.1
2 Tindastoll2015575%101.890.8+11.1
3 Stjarnan2014670%104.393.2+11.2
4 Valur2114767%91.089.8+1.1
5 KR Basket2112957%99.895.4+4.4
6 Keflavik21111052%95.292.1+3.0
7 IR Reykjavik21101148%91.191.5-0.4
8 Njardvik2181338%95.997.2-1.3
9 Alftanes2071335%90.891.0-0.3
10 Thorl2161529%88.896.0-7.2
11 Armann2161529%87.099.4-12.5
12 Akranes IA2041620%87.2100.0-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan34302623113
Akranes IA28292124102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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