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Stjarnan vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 116-98
36-15 33-35 27-21 20-27
Position#3
Record8-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#5
Record8-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game88.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 14
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stjarnan v Keflavik
12 Nov 2026
STJA v KEFL
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
STJA116
KEFL98
12 Dec 2024
STJA97
KEFL93
26 Oct 2023
STJA87
KEFL81
11 Jan 2023
STJA89
KEFL83
13 Oct 2022
STJA86
KEFL92
16 Mar 2022
STJA95
KEFL93
21 Jan 2022
STJA98
KEFL95
29 Jan 2021
STJA115
KEFL75
25 Oct 2019
STJA91
KEFL103
27 Jan 2019
STJA99
KEFL83
05 Mar 2018
STJA99
KEFL67
28 Oct 2016
STJA99
KEFL82
10 Mar 2016
STJA73
KEFL71
15 Jan 2015
STJA99
KEFL92
24 Mar 2014
STJA98
KEFL89
10 Oct 2013
STJA63
KEFL88
28 Mar 2013
STJA82
KEFL77
21 Mar 2013
STJA102
KEFL86
11 Oct 2012
STJA101
KEFL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
105-101
105
101
+4
97avg 89
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
114-88
114
88
+26
118avg 89
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
97-99
97
99
-2
92avg 89
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
118-67
118
67
+51
123avg 89
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
115-85
115
85
+30
129avg 89
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
W
94-74
94
74
+20
88avg 89
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
108avg 89
H19/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
98-96
98
96
+2
92avg 89
H03/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
105-102
105
102
+3
98avg 89
A08/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
100-77
100
77
+23
99avg 89
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
29-20
19-32
25-23
33-25
28-38
30-12
23-13
22-25
31-25
30-24
14-25
24-27
33-20
31-15
30-5
36-19
31-24
26-20
22-22
26-21
19-25
26-15
23-13
23-35
28-13
34-28
23-28
30-21
21-22
20-30
27-23
35-21
26-19
18-26
26-36
32-20
25-11
21-27
22-19
194.7Avg total
105.4Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)100.793.5194.2+7.262%
Season at home (6)103.889.8193.7+14.083%
Season away (7)98.096.7194.7+1.343%
Last 10 (10)105.489.3194.7+16.190%
Last 5 (5)101.090.6191.6+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)97.489.1186.5+8.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)96.191.8187.9+4.467%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
75avg 84
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
92-104
92
104
-12
77avg 84
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 84
H13/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
104avg 84
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
91-111
91
111
-20
88avg 84
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
102-71
102
71
+31
108avg 84
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
84avg 84
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 84
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
94avg 84
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
28-17
13-21
27-18
25-27
22-26
26-22
19-29
22-21
29-13
32-26
13-12
28-20
27-25
27-19
19-26
25-22
26-19
24-20
29-24
24-30
20-25
24-32
23-24
29-18
20-18
22-21
31-14
15-14
27-30
21-17
30-22
24-29
21-25
25-25
16-10
23-27
25-21
23-25
23-20
182.5Avg total
94.5Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.488.8182.2+4.767%
Season at home (7)94.980.9175.7+14.0100%
Season away (5)91.499.8191.2-8.420%
Last 10 (10)94.588.0182.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)93.289.4182.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)87.396.2183.5-8.930%
vs Similar (12)93.094.8187.8-1.842%
vs Weaker (7)97.687.6185.1+10.086%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
StjarnanKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H19/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A08/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
102.1Avg total
56.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.946.696.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.646.395.9+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)50.446.997.3+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)56.445.7102.1+10.780%-
Last 5 (5)53.041.694.6+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)46.149.996.0-3.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)51.645.497.0+6.271%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H13/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
93.1Avg total
47.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.548.195.7-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.644.291.8+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)47.552.199.5-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)47.845.393.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)44.950.295.1-5.330%-
vs Similar (12)47.449.096.4-1.625%-
vs Weaker (7)51.345.496.7+5.986%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.430.2
61.1%
54.6%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.4
34.0%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.019.2
73.8%
74.2%19.2
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.7
53.4%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.3
33.9%
34.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws27.322.1
81.0%
74.2%22.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WWWWWWWLWW
Keflavik
WLWWLWWWLW
#3
League position
#5
+18.5
Net rating
+8.2
119.1
Offensive rating
113.6
100.6
Defensive rating
105.4
57.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.0%
3-point %
33.9%
67.1%
Assist %
63.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 113.6Defence100.6 · 105.4Shooting57.8% · 52.2%3-point %34.0% · 33.9%Ball care14.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds32.8% · 30.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stjarnan wins
6
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
17/10/25Keflavik v Stjarnan92-71
14/03/25Keflavik v Stjarnan107-98
12/12/24Stjarnan v Keflavik97-93
19/03/24Keflavik v Stjarnan113-94
26/01/24Keflavik v Stjarnan97-89
26/10/23Stjarnan v Keflavik87-81
20/01/23Keflavik v Stjarnan115-87
11/01/23Stjarnan v Keflavik89-83
13/10/22Stjarnan v Keflavik86-92
16/03/22Stjarnan v Keflavik95-93 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HGrindavik100-77
08/01/26AValur105-102
03/01/26HKR Basket98-96
19/12/25HAlftanes108-104
15/12/25HAlftanes94-74
11/12/25AAkranes IA115-85
07/12/25HGrindavik118-67
20/11/25AThorl97-99
13/11/25HArmann114-88
06/11/25ANjardvik105-101
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26AValur94-93
04/01/26AIR Reykjavik86-89
18/12/25HNjardvik93-83
14/12/25AAkranes IA102-71
11/12/25AValur91-111
05/12/25HKR Basket104-85
21/11/25HAlftanes101-90
13/11/25HAkranes IA96-72
07/11/25AGrindavik92-104
30/10/25HThorl86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game100.7103.898.0
Allowed / game93.589.896.7
Point differential+7.2+14.0+1.3
Avg total194.2193.7194.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%100%20%
Points / game93.494.991.4
Allowed / game88.880.999.8
Point differential+4.7+14.0-8.4
Avg total182.2175.7191.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1312192%96.288.7+7.5
2 Tindastoll129375%103.088.8+14.2
3 Valur139469%93.791.2+2.5
4 Keflavik128467%93.488.8+4.7
5 Stjarnan138562%100.793.5+7.2
6 Alftanes136746%92.389.2+3.1
7 KR Basket136746%97.595.4+2.2
8 IR Reykjavik136746%88.890.8-2.0
9 Njardvik134931%96.697.6-1.0
10 Thorl134931%89.997.1-7.2
11 Akranes IA1331023%87.8100.5-12.8
12 Armann1321115%86.4103.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan36332720116
Keflavik1535212798
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