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Valur vs Akranes IA Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 102-85
21-17 24-28 26-17 31-23
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game89.3
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#12
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game100.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 17· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akranes IA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 83
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
111-91
111
91
+20
106avg 83
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
73avg 83
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 83
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
101avg 83
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
106avg 83
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
82avg 83
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
70avg 83
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 83
A29/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
26-22
24-22
20-13
30-24
25-20
32-24
24-23
25-26
22-18
20-16
18-9
19-19
22-27
27-16
17-20
31-14
17-30
13-22
28-23
21-35
19-26
26-18
36-26
27-23
21-25
25-23
20-23
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
18-19
12-16
23-13
12-17
16-23
15-19
18-19
18-17
177.1Avg total
90.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)90.189.3179.4+0.862%
Season at home (8)89.186.6175.8+2.562%
Season away (8)91.192.0183.1-0.962%
Last 10 (10)90.286.9177.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)83.888.4172.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.191.6174.7-8.414%
vs Similar (12)90.785.8176.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.781.7172.4+9.090%
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Akranes IAIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIA
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
96-89
96
89
+7
no box
H21/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 76
A05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
85-115
85
115
-30
66avg 76
H11/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
71-102
71
102
-31
62avg 76
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 76
A19/12
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
75-105
75
105
-30
61avg 76
A03/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
91-94
91
94
-3
79avg 76
H08/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
69avg 76
A22/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
98-120
98
120
-22
92avg 76
H29/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
27-15
22-16
25-43
27-30
15-25
26-28
19-19
19-36
24-31
20-26
22-22
18-29
18-20
21-22
14-31
15-27
22-28
26-25
20-22
20-26
21-32
19-23
15-24
23-25
26-20
21-21
21-28
17-19
19-25
17-25
18-15
28-22
12-19
25-27
18-21
20-29
27-28
23-26
28-37
184.2Avg total
84.0Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.1100.0187.1-12.919%
Season at home (8)93.599.6193.1-6.138%
Season away (8)80.6100.4181.0-19.80%
Last 10 (10)84.0100.2184.2-16.210%
Last 5 (5)83.698.4182.0-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)87.399.9187.2-12.520%
vs Similar (1)83.0102.0185.0-19.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -6.2-6.2
ValurAkranes IA
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/01
Premier league
88.9Avg total
42.4Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.587.3+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.943.888.7+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.385.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.446.588.9-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.647.283.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.649.688.1-11.014%-
vs Similar (12)46.342.488.8+3.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.040.684.6+3.450%-
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Akranes IALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H11/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A19/12
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A03/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A22/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H29/01
Premier league
92.1Avg total
42.0Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)41.650.492.0-8.718%-
Last 30 at home (9)44.149.293.3-5.133%-
Last 30 away (8)38.951.690.5-12.80%-
Last 10 (10)42.050.192.1-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)42.649.091.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.350.192.5-7.820%-
vs Similar (1)37.055.092.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.524.2
52.0%
54.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.5
35.4%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
74.2%12.5
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akranes IAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akranes IA: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.6
49.6%
54.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.210.6
29.3%
34.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.614.8
71.8%
74.2%14.8
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWLLLWWWWW
Akranes IA
LLLLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#12
+6.8
Net rating
-21.4
105.8
Offensive rating
95.1
99.0
Defensive rating
116.5
52.4%
Effective FG%
46.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
12.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.4%
3-point %
29.3%
59.4%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 95.1Defence99.0 · 116.5Shooting52.4% · 46.7%3-point %35.4% · 29.3%Ball care12.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 24.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Valur   ■ Akranes IA
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valur wins
0
Akranes IA wins
DateGameScore
06/11/25Akranes IA v Valur81-83
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AGrindavik67-78
22/01/26HThorl80-71 OT
15/01/26AArmann77-94
12/01/26HKeflavik93-94
08/01/26HStjarnan102-105
03/01/26ATindastoll108-99 OT
18/12/25AIR Reykjavik85-82
15/12/25HIR Reykjavik85-69
11/12/25HKeflavik111-91
05/12/25HNjardvik94-86
Akranes IAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HKR Basket98-120
22/01/26AAlftanes83-89
16/01/26ANjardvik71-84
08/01/26HGrindavik91-94
03/01/26AThorl75-105
19/12/25AArmann83-102
14/12/25HKeflavik71-102
11/12/25HStjarnan85-115
05/12/25ATindastoll87-102
21/11/25HIR Reykjavik96-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game90.189.191.1
Allowed / game89.386.692.0
Point differential+0.8+2.5-0.9
Avg total179.4175.8183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %19%12%25%
Akranes IA
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%38%0%
Points / game87.193.580.6
Allowed / game100.099.6100.4
Point differential-12.9-6.1-19.8
Avg total187.1193.1181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1614288%92.686.9+5.7
2 Stjarnan1611569%104.294.4+9.9
3 Tindastoll1611569%101.191.9+9.2
4 Keflavik1610662%94.290.1+4.1
5 Valur1610662%90.189.3+0.8
6 KR Basket169756%100.495.8+4.7
7 Alftanes167944%91.489.2+2.2
8 IR Reykjavik167944%91.492.1-0.7
9 Njardvik1661038%95.896.8-1.0
10 Thorl1641225%90.197.9-7.8
11 Armann1641225%87.1101.2-14.2
12 Akranes IA1631319%87.1100.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur21242631102
Akranes IA1728172385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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