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Stjarnan vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 127-68
32-22 37-17 27-23 31-6
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game94.5
Stjarnan 🏆
Iceland
vs
Thorl
Iceland
Position#11
Record5-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game96.6
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stjarnan v Thorl
06 Mar 2026
STJA127
THOR68
30 Nov 2024
STJA124
THOR82
12 Oct 2023
STJA80
THOR84
24 Mar 2023
STJA84
THOR98
21 Oct 2021
STJA92
THOR97
09 Jun 2021
STJA78
THOR58
03 Jun 2021
STJA90
THOR94
22 Jan 2021
STJA100
THOR111
05 Jan 2020
STJA84
THOR70
01 Nov 2018
STJA89
THOR73
25 Jan 2018
STJA79
THOR86
16 Feb 2017
STJA86
THOR78
12 Nov 2015
STJA76
THOR86
27 Nov 2014
STJA85
THOR79
16 Jan 2014
STJA97
THOR95
25 Oct 2012
STJA77
THOR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
98-96
98
96
+2
92avg 90
H03/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
105-102
105
102
+3
98avg 90
A08/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
100-77
100
77
+23
99avg 90
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
W
116-98
116
98
+18
no box
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 90
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
125-87
125
87
+38
123avg 90
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
106avg 90
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#1
L
84-100
84
100
-16
71avg 90
H07/02
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
113-103
113
103
+10
117avg 90
H12/02
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 90
A20/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
21-22
20-30
27-23
35-21
26-19
18-26
26-36
32-20
25-11
21-27
22-19
36-15
33-35
27-21
20-27
28-25
39-29
31-25
20-30
35-19
28-20
35-23
27-25
27-24
20-21
27-29
21-21
22-29
21-27
22-18
19-26
35-26
31-26
22-24
25-27
24-26
25-18
16-26
25-18
202.6Avg total
105.9Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)103.994.5198.4+9.472%
Season at home (9)108.691.9200.4+16.789%
Season away (9)99.397.1196.4+2.256%
Last 10 (10)105.996.7202.6+9.290%
Last 5 (5)104.497.0201.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar (9)101.288.6189.8+12.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)99.594.6194.1+4.868%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
L
85-110
85
110
-25
79avg 81
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 81
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
94-106
94
106
-12
87avg 81
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
105-75
105
75
+30
107avg 81
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 81
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
no box
H15/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
71-80 OT
71
80
-9
58avg 81
A22/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
68avg 81
H30/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
65avg 81
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
89avg 81
H19/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
19-25
19-20
21-31
27-33
26-18
20-19
20-22
23-19
28-26
24-26
19-35
26-20
32-21
23-19
24-15
22-28
23-15
15-24
15-30
30-31
35-27
29-20
17-33
19-18
16-12
13-23
17-12
29-24
22-18
12-23
15-33
19-20
24-14
19-23
16-18
30-16
19-27
20-31
26-24
185.4Avg total
89.7Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.796.6186.3-6.928%
Season at home (9)97.9100.7198.6-2.833%
Season away (9)81.492.6174.0-11.122%
Last 10 (10)89.795.7185.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)89.095.4184.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)90.896.5187.3-5.830%
vs Similar (6)97.3105.3202.7-8.00%
vs Weaker (4)95.596.5192.0-1.050%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -6.3-6.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -6.3-6.3
StjarnanThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A08/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H07/02
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/02
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A20/02
Premier league
102.7Avg total
57.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.047.399.3+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.046.898.8+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)52.047.999.9+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)57.345.4102.7+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)53.647.2100.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (9)47.248.795.9-1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)55.146.2101.3+8.984%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H15/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A22/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/02
Premier league
94.1Avg total
49.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.147.895.8+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.145.894.9+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)47.249.596.7-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)49.544.694.1+4.990%-
Last 5 (5)48.641.490.0+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)46.045.191.1+0.855%-
vs Similar (6)51.354.8106.2-3.533%-
vs Weaker (4)53.850.2104.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.928.6
58.5%
54.6%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.4
34.3%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.019.4
77.6%
74.2%19.4
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.7
52.7%
54.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.613.5
35.0%
34.0%40.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.9%
74.2%11.0
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WWLWWWWWWW
Thorl
LWLLLLWLWL
#3
League position
#11
+7.9
Net rating
-6.1
107.5
Offensive rating
99.3
99.6
Defensive rating
105.4
56.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.3%
3-point %
35.0%
64.7%
Assist %
59.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 99.3Defence99.6 · 105.4Shooting56.0% · 52.6%3-point %34.3% · 35.0%Ball care12.7% · 14.3%Off. rebounds35.6% · 21.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stjarnan wins
7
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
20/11/25Thorl v Stjarnan99-97
28/02/25Thorl v Stjarnan94-91 OT
09/12/24Thorl v Stjarnan81-108
30/11/24Stjarnan v Thorl124-82
12/01/24Thorl v Stjarnan98-92
12/10/23Stjarnan v Thorl80-84
24/03/23Stjarnan v Thorl84-98
15/12/22Thorl v Stjarnan128-104
19/03/22Thorl v Stjarnan85-93
28/01/22Thorl v Stjarnan88-75
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26AArmann90-88
12/02/26HNjardvik113-103
07/02/26HKR Basket84-100
03/02/26AKeflavik110-107 OT
30/01/26HTindastoll125-87
22/01/26AIR Reykjavik118-109
15/01/26HKeflavik116-98
11/01/26HGrindavik100-77
08/01/26AValur105-102
03/01/26HKR Basket98-96
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HTindastoll95-98
12/02/26AIR Reykjavik78-75
30/01/26HKeflavik78-98
22/01/26AValur71-80 OT
15/01/26HKR Basket123-126 OT
09/01/26AAlftanes75-97
03/01/26HAkranes IA105-75
18/12/25HGrindavik94-106
12/12/25ANjardvik93-92
06/12/25AArmann85-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game103.9108.699.3
Allowed / game94.591.997.1
Point differential+9.4+16.7+2.2
Avg total198.4200.4196.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game89.797.981.4
Allowed / game96.6100.792.6
Point differential-6.9-2.8-11.1
Avg total186.3198.6174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %17%22%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1816289%93.788.1+5.7
2 Tindastoll1813572%101.691.2+10.4
3 Stjarnan1813572%103.994.5+9.4
4 Valur1812667%91.888.9+2.8
5 KR Basket1811761%99.994.7+5.3
6 Keflavik1810856%94.691.3+3.3
7 Alftanes1871139%90.690.1+0.4
8 IR Reykjavik1871139%90.791.7-1.1
9 Njardvik1861233%96.098.2-2.2
10 Thorl1851328%89.796.6-6.9
11 Akranes IA1841422%87.599.9-12.4
12 Armann1841422%86.5101.3-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan32372731127
Thorl221723668
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