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Stoja vs Omis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-88
21-22 20-17 18-21 17-28
Position#13
Record3-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Omis 🏆
Croatia
Position#10
Record9-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· Stoja Sports Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Stoja v Omis
16 Mar 2024
STOJ76
OMIS88
05 Nov 2022
STOJ89
OMIS93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Omis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 70
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
28avg 70
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 70
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 70
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 70
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
94avg 70
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 70
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 70
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 70
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 70
A09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
25-27
20-21
18-15
10-25
10-25
16-17
12-23
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
16-31
17-25
15-28
22-12
22-23
20-24
27-22
25-18
23-28
22-33
18-14
22-17
16-24
24-12
20-19
20-26
32-38
29-23
11-17
15-14
15-26
25-20
16-11
21-28
168.6Avg total
76.8Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.790.3169.0-11.514%
Season at home (11)79.090.5169.5-11.518%
Season away (11)78.590.1168.5-11.69%
Last 10 (10)76.891.8168.6-15.010%
Last 5 (5)84.687.4172.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)84.894.5179.3-9.724%
vs Similar (5)75.884.8160.6-9.020%
vs Weaker (4)79.879.5159.2+0.250%
This opponent (Omis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OmisCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmis
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
70avg 68
H13/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
98-79
98
79
+19
86avg 68
H20/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
68avg 68
A24/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
79avg 68
H27/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
60-108
60
108
-48
49avg 68
A04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
81avg 68
H10/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
64avg 68
A18/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
76-110
76
110
-34
64avg 68
H24/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
59-78
59
78
-19
48avg 68
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
H09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
13-28
21-27
18-19
28-21
23-8
25-21
22-29
18-20
25-25
17-17
19-21
17-27
23-16
26-15
15-16
15-25
20-26
13-32
12-25
22-16
17-18
17-6
24-25
24-22
14-14
12-21
22-19
10-25
24-26
17-30
25-29
20-17
3-26
19-20
17-15
18-26
21-18
22-18
12-11
160.0Avg total
75.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.581.0157.5-4.541%
Season at home (11)82.581.1163.5+1.464%
Season away (11)70.680.9151.5-10.318%
Last 10 (10)75.684.4160.0-8.830%
Last 5 (5)73.282.4155.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.183.2152.3-14.116%
vs Similar (6)74.776.3151.0-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.471.0162.4+20.4100%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
StojaOmis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A04/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A18/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H03/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A09/03
Prva Liga
90.0Avg total
39.4Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.448.589.9-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.645.789.2-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)38.951.890.7-12.90%-
Last 10 (10)39.450.690.0-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)45.650.295.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.750.392.0-8.624%-
vs Similar (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
vs Weaker (4)40.542.883.2-2.225%-
This opponent (Omis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OmisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H20/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H10/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A18/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H24/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H09/03
Prva Liga
79.3Avg total
37.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.477.1-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.937.979.8+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)33.540.974.4-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.879.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.641.676.2-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.840.676.5-4.826%-
vs Similar (6)36.741.778.3-5.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.423.8
49.2%
52.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.5
31.7%
32.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws13.59.4
69.6%
71.2%9.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Omistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omis: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.2
57.1%
52.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.4
29.8%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
71.2%11.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stoja
LLLLWLLLLL
Omis
LLLLWLWLWL
#13
League position
#10
-18.7
Net rating
-13.5
96.7
Offensive rating
98.2
115.4
Defensive rating
111.7
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
21.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.7%
3-point %
29.8%
61.4%
Assist %
66.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 98.2Defence115.4 · 111.7Shooting48.7% · 51.5%3-point %31.7% · 29.8%Ball care18.4% · 21.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Stoja   ■ Omis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Stoja wins
3
Omis wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Omis v Stoja93-82
04/02/23Omis v Stoja84-69
05/11/22Stoja v Omis89-93
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AGorica77-85
03/03/24HSamobor87-92
28/02/24HKastela80-81
18/02/24AMladost85-92
10/02/24HHermes94-87
04/02/24AOsijek70-96
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
20/01/24HKK Zagreb48-90
14/01/24HMarsonia80-88
Omislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HKastela79-83 OT
03/03/24AMladost59-78
24/02/24HHermes76-110
18/02/24AOsijek72-76
10/02/24HCrikvenica80-65
04/02/24AJazine60-108
27/01/24HKK Zagreb81-74
24/01/24AMarsonia79-83
20/01/24HPodstrana98-79
13/01/24HKvarner72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %14%18%9%
Points / game78.779.078.5
Allowed / game90.390.590.1
Point differential-11.5-11.5-11.6
Avg total169.0169.5168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Omis
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%64%18%
Points / game76.582.570.6
Allowed / game81.081.180.9
Point differential-4.5+1.4-10.3
Avg total157.5163.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2321291%90.072.7+17.3
2 Osijek2321291%87.574.5+13.0
3 Gorica2316770%81.274.8+6.4
4 Samobor2315865%84.983.1+1.8
5 KK Zagreb2314961%79.172.7+6.4
6 Kastela23131057%79.474.5+4.9
7 Jazine23111248%86.385.0+1.3
8 Hermes22101245%89.690.0-0.4
9 Omis2291341%76.581.0-4.5
10 Marsonia2281436%79.385.6-6.3
11 Mladost2271532%78.884.4-5.6
12 Crikvenica2361726%73.484.1-10.7
13 Podstrana2241818%71.084.9-13.9
14 Stoja2231914%78.790.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stoja2120181776
Omis2217212888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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